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Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan• Super League, China

#160.8:2.60-3FT09/10 · Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Qingdao2.2:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.50BVCX5.38PIN21.461XBMargin at best2.5%Books10Markets95Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 08:27 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet6.005.201.464.4%
Pinnacle5.915.381.454.5%
1xBet6.065.031.464.9%
Bet3656.004.751.456.7%
Betano5.804.651.457.7%
Betfair6.005.001.408.1%
Marathonbet5.954.901.408.6%
BetVictor6.505.001.368.9%
William Hill6.004.801.408.9%
SBO5.424.501.3912.6%
Best of all books6.505.381.462.5%
Average5.964.921.427.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Qingdao JonoonBeijing Guoan
Last 10#16Table position#30.52Points per game1.520Form pts · last 5130.8Goals for · last 52.22.6Goals against · last 51.227Attack rating7332Defence rating680Form rating10038H2H rating6232Goals model6833Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:40 UTC

Qingdao Jonoon

0W 0D 10L · goals 6:29 · per match 0.6 for, 2.9 against

9 OctHBeijing Guoan0-3L
5 SepADalian Zhixing1-2L
29 AugHWuhan Three Towns1-5L
23 AugASHANGHAI SIPG1-2L
14 AugAShandong Luneng1-3L
8 AugHShanghai Shenhua0-1L
2 AugAQingdao Youth Island0-2L
25 JulHTianjin Teda0-2L
21 JulAShanghai Shenhua1-4L
17 JulAHenan Jianye1-5L

Beijing Guoan

7W 3D 0L · goals 25:8 · per match 2.5 for, 0.8 against

13 OctABuriram United1-0W
9 OctAQingdao Jonoon3-0W
15 SepHPohang Steelers3-1W
5 SepASHANGHAI SIPG0-0D
1 SepHRizhao Yuqi3-1W
28 AugADalian Zhixing1-1D
22 AugHYunnan Yukun3-3D
18 AugAShanghai Shenhua3-0W
15 AugATianjin Teda4-2W
7 AugHSichuan Jiuniu4-0W

Head to head

2Qingdao Jonoon wins
2draws
3Beijing Guoan wins

7 meetings · goals 11:17 · last 7: 2W 2D 3L for Qingdao Jonoon

15 May 2026Super LeagueSuper LeagueBeijing Guoan4-2Qingdao Jonoon
26 Oct 2025Super LeagueSuper LeagueBeijing Guoan2-4Qingdao Jonoon
17 May 2025Super LeagueSuper LeagueQingdao Jonoon1-1Beijing Guoan
19 Oct 2024Super LeagueSuper LeagueBeijing Guoan6-0Qingdao Jonoon
21 May 2024Super LeagueSuper LeagueQingdao Jonoon1-1Beijing Guoan
22 Jul 2023Super LeagueSuper LeagueBeijing Guoan2-0Qingdao Jonoon
25 Apr 2023Super LeagueSuper LeagueQingdao Jonoon3-1Beijing Guoan

Super League tableSuper Leagueupdated 16 Oct 15:50 UTC

In the Super League table, Qingdao Jonoon sit 16th with 14 points from 27 games, while Beijing Guoan are 3rd with 41 points from 27.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Chengdu Better City27157551:31+2052
2Dalian Zhixing271341042:42043
3Beijing Guoan271210552:33+1941
4Shandong Luneng27135947:44+338
5Yunnan Yukun271151155:58-338
6Qingdao Youth Island27814531:36-538
7SHANGHAI SIPG27118844:35+936
8Shanghai Shenhua27135959:47+1234
9Chongqing Tongliang Long27711928:33-532
10Tianjin Teda28118938:32+631
11Hangzhou Greentown271061147:47031
12Sichuan Jiuniu27851436:47-1129
13Henan Jianye288101035:38-328
14Shenyang Urban27751535:48-1326
15Wuhan Three Towns275121040:47-722
16Qingdao Jonoon27631834:56-2214

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%5.96X19%4.92265%1.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 00:019 Oct 10:101 5.96X 4.922 1.42
15.21 → 5.96 +14.4%X4.62 → 4.92 +6.5%21.51 → 1.42 -6.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.383.114.6%
Betfair1.363.105.8%
Bet3651.402.886.2%
Betano1.372.877.8%
BetVictor1.333.008.5%
Marathonbet1.322.8810.5%
1xBet1.332.8310.5%
Best of all books1.403.113.6%
Average1.362.957.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.502.555.9%
Bet3651.532.387.4%
Betano1.502.428.0%
1xBet1.492.448.1%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
William Hill1.502.408.3%
Marathonbet1.482.438.7%
Best of all books1.532.554.6%
Average1.502.437.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Qingdao Jonoon 0%Draw 50%Beijing Guoan 50%

The statistical model rated Qingdao Jonoon at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Beijing Guoan at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.96 | 4.92 | 1.42, which imply roughly 20.3% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Super League table: Qingdao Jonoon are 16th (14 pts, 34-56 goals), Beijing Guoan 3rd (41 pts, 52-33).

Over their last five matches, Qingdao Jonoon averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Beijing Guoan averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Beijing Guoan.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Qingdao Jonoon

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

  • 28Pengfei Mu

Defence

  • 37Zixian Wei
  • 4Yangyang Jin
  • 23Long Song
  • 29Suda Li

Midfield

  • 20Ruicong Gong
  • 6Malcom Edjouma
  • 7Yaw Yeboah
  • 32Lazar Tufegdžić
  • 34Yonghao Jin

Attack

  • 9Xinyu Liu
Substitutes (12)
  • 43Mewlan Jappar
  • 1Jun Liu
  • 52Yi Xinyang
  • 16Hailong Li
  • 17Qiao Wang
  • 33Liu Jiashen
  • 14Zheng'ao Sun
  • 47Chuanhui Zheng
  • 30Shiwei Che
  • 22Cong Yang
  • 21Liu Guobao
  • 10Carlos Strandberg

Beijing Guoan

4-4-2

Goalkeeper

  • 34Hou Sen

Defence

  • 21Tze-Nam Yue
  • 25Uroš Spajić
  • 5Guilherme Ramos
  • 26Yang Bai

Midfield

  • 37Yongjing Cao
  • 7Sai Erjini'ao
  • 8Aboubacar Konte
  • 11Lin Liangming

Attack

  • 29Fabio Abreu
  • 9Zhang Yuning
Substitutes (12)
  • 31Shaoziyang Liu
  • 22Han Jiaqi
  • 30Shuangjie Fan
  • 27Gang Wang
  • 47Deng Jiefu
  • 24Abdugheni Abduhamit
  • 4Li Lei
  • 36Feifan Jia
  • 41Cheng Xi
  • 17Yang Liyu
  • 6Chi Zhongguo
  • 10Zhang Xizhe

Match Statistics

Qingdao JonoonBeijing Guoan
2Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal2
11Total Shots12
4Blocked Shots3
5Shots insidebox11
6Shots outsidebox1
12Fouls15
1Corner Kicks4
1Offsides4
34%Ball Possession66%
1Yellow Cards2
4Goalkeeper Saves3
316Total passes622
238Passes accurate552
75%Passes %89%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.964.921.42

Double chance

1XX212
2.751.111.15

Draw no bet

12
4.911.15

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.502.43

1st half

1X2
5.392.701.83

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.7925.51.40

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0116.0
1.51.096.42
2.51.362.95
3.51.931.83
4.53.091.33
5.55.521.12
6.510.11.05
7.517.71.01
8.545.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0212.5
1.751.075.85
21.095.35
2.251.213.60
2.751.462.52
31.542.34
3.251.772.00
3.752.191.61
42.501.47
4.252.741.35
4.753.651.21
54.801.12
5.255.121.10
69.20–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.52.681.46
+0.752.451.51
+12.201.63
+1.251.891.88
+1.51.702.09
+1.751.522.38
16 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.510.21.02
-18.901.02
-0.757.451.03
-0.55.751.14
-0.255.151.12
04.551.16
+0.253.331.29
+21.392.81
+2.251.303.22
+2.51.273.44
+2.751.164.38
+31.086.03
+3.251.106.80
+3.51.086.34
+41.0510.5
+4.51.0411.5

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.017.33
7.51.134.35
8.51.312.95
9.51.622.16
10.52.011.73
11.52.531.44
12.53.351.24
13.54.771.11
14.57.241.01
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.027.05
71.026.78
7.251.085.23
7.751.154.14
81.173.94
8.251.243.32
8.751.362.78
91.462.51
9.251.502.37
9.751.672.08
101.831.94
10.251.861.84
10.752.091.66
112.351.54
11.252.371.50
11.752.731.37
123.061.29
12.253.221.26
12.753.811.18
134.471.12
13.254.661.11
13.755.671.06
146.981.02
14.257.031.02