South MelbournevsDandenong Thunder• Victoria NPL,Australia
Victoria NPL, Australia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Tomorrow
05:30UTC
South Melbourne9th25 ptsVS
Dandenong Thunder13th12 ptsNot Started
Tomorrow
05:30UTC
Football
South Melbourne9th25 ptsVS
Dandenong Thunder13th12 ptsNot Started
In the Victoria NPL table, South Melbourne sit 9th with 25 points from 18 games, while Dandenong Thunder are 13th with 12 points from 18 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
South Melbourne 45%Draw 45%Dandenong Thunder 10%
The statistical model rates South Melbourne at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Dandenong Thunder at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.34 | 5.15 | 6.53, which imply roughly 74.6% for a South Melbourne win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Victoria NPL table: South Melbourne are 9th (25 pts, 28-32 goals), Dandenong Thunder 13th (12 pts, 20-41).
Over their last five matches, South Melbourne averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Dandenong Thunder averaged 1 scored and 4.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : South Melbourne or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
South Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder — model comparison
100%
Form
0%
64%
Attack
36%
68%
Defence
32%
40%
Head to head
60%
33%
Goals
67%
52.2%
Overall
47.8%
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
Head to Head
Since Apr 2019 • 13 matches
7
2
4
South Melbourne
7wins
Draws
2Dandenong Thunder
4wins
17
goals
TOTAL GOALS
16
goals
O2.5: 7/13BTTS: 6/13
Victoria NPL
2026/2027 Standings• Victoria NPL
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oakleigh Cannons | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 41 |
| 2 |  Hume City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 40 |
| 3 |  Preston Lions | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 |  Avondale | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 34 |
| 5 |  Heidelberg United | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 |
| 6 |  Melbourne City II | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 |  Dandenong City | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 |
| 8 |  Sunshine Georgies | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 |  South Melbourne | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 25 |
| 10 |  St. Albans Saints | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22 |
| 11 |  Altona Magic | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 |
| 12 |  Bentleigh Greens | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 |
| 13 |  Dandenong Thunder | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 |
| 14 |  Green Gully | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.34
X
5.15
2
6.53
Double chance
1X
1.09
X2
2.88
12
1.12
Both teams to score
Yes
1.49
No
2.39
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.29
Under 2.5
3.25
Over 3.5
1.81
Under 3.5
1.90
Over 4.5
2.78
Under 4.5
1.38
Over 1.5
1.07
Under 1.5
6.54
Over 1.75
1.06
Under 1.75
6.17
Over 2
1.08
Under 2
5.70
Over 2.25
1.18
Under 2.25
3.87
Over 2.75
1.35
Under 2.75
2.78
Over 3
1.44
Under 3
2.51
Over 3.25
1.62
Under 3.25
2.13
Over 3.75
1.96
Under 3.75
1.73
Over 4
2.24
Under 4
1.55
Over 4.25
2.44
Under 4.25
1.46
Over 4.75
3.11
Under 4.75
1.27
Over 5
3.93
Under 5
1.17
Over 5.5
4.61
Under 5.5
1.15
Over 5.25
4.22
Under 5.25
1.15
Over 6
7.55
Under 6
1.03
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
20.75
Over 1
1.01
Under 1
13.50
Over 6.5
6.65
Under 6.5
1.07
Over 7.5
9.50
Under 7.5
1.03
Draw no bet
1
1.14
2
5.02
Asian handicap
Away 4.5
1.01
1st half
1
1.76
X
2.77
2
5.57
First team to score
Home
1.37
No Goal
23.50
Away
2.94