Vila Nova vs
Cuiaba• Serie B, Brazil
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 7 Oct 20:14 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.10 | 3.95 | 2.6% |
| Pinnacle | 2.15 | 3.18 | 3.86 | 3.9% |
| Dafabet | 2.18 | 3.10 | 3.75 | 4.8% |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.80 | 7.3% |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 7.7% |
| 1xBet | 2.00 | 3.22 | 3.72 | 7.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 3.10 | 3.54 | 8.6% |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 8.7% |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.00 | 3.50 | 10.7% |
| SBO | 2.16 | 2.83 | 3.17 | 13.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.22 | 3.22 | 3.95 | 1.4% |
| Average | 2.12 | 3.05 | 3.65 | 7.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 22:01 UTC
Vila Nova
7W 2D 1L · goals 17:6 · per match 1.7 for, 0.6 against
| 3 Oct | A | Botafogo SP | 1-0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Londrina | 2-0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | America Mineiro | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Avai | 1-1 | D |
| 10 Sep | H | Goias | 2-0 | W |
| 4 Sep | A | Athletic Club | 0-5 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Ceara | 2-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Operario-PR | 0-0 | D |
| 19 Aug | H | Ponte Preta | 6-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Atletico Goianiense | 2-0 | W |
Cuiaba
6W 2D 2L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against
| 3 Oct | H | Ponte Preta | 2-0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | CRB | 0-3 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Nautico Recife | 3-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Novorizontino | 1-1 | D |
| 8 Sep | H | Athletic Club | 3-0 | W |
| 4 Sep | A | Criciuma | 0-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Botafogo SP | 2-1 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Goias | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Aug | H | Operario-PR | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Ceara | 3-1 | W |
Head to head
13 meetings · goals 14:14 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Vila Nova
| 14 Jun 2026Serie B | Serie B | Cuiaba1-0Vila Nova |
| 24 Sep 2025Serie B | Serie B | Vila Nova2-2Cuiaba |
| 27 May 2025Serie B | Serie B | Cuiaba1-0Vila Nova |
| 11 May 2024Copa Verde | Copa Verde | Cuiaba4-2Vila Nova |
| 17 Apr 2024Copa Verde | Copa Verde | Vila Nova2-0Cuiaba |
| 22 Mar 2023Copa Verde | Copa Verde | Cuiaba1-1Vila Nova |
| 15 Mar 2023Copa Verde | Copa Verde | Vila Nova0-2Cuiaba |
| 8 Feb 2021Copa Verde | Copa Verde | Vila Nova3-0Cuiaba |
| 5 Feb 2021Copa Verde | Copa Verde | Cuiaba1-0Vila Nova |
| 30 Nov 2019Serie B | Serie B | Cuiaba1-2Vila Nova |
Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 7 Oct 04:51 UTC
In the Serie B table, Vila Nova sit 2nd with 57 points from 31 games, while Cuiaba are 10th with 46 points from 31.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | +18 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 44:31 | +13 | 57 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52:27 | +25 | 54 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | +6 | 53 |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36:27 | +9 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 39:27 | +12 | 52 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | +10 | 50 |
| 8 | CRB | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 46:44 | +2 | 48 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43:41 | +2 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 32:25 | +7 | 46 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | +10 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico Recife | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:38 | +1 | 42 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | +1 | 42 |
| 15 | Ceara | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34:39 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:37 | -3 | 35 |
| 17 | Avai | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 39:45 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21:52 | -31 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | -51 | 13 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.54 | 1.55 | 3.9% |
| Betano | 2.47 | 1.52 | 6.3% |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 6.7% |
| 1xBet | 2.46 | 1.50 | 7.3% |
| Marathonbet | 2.46 | 1.50 | 7.3% |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 1.50 | 7.5% |
| BetVictor | 2.34 | 1.51 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.54 | 1.55 | 3.9% |
| Average | 2.46 | 1.51 | 6.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.10 | 1.73 | 5.4% |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 7.5% |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 1.67 | 7.5% |
| Betano | 2.05 | 1.70 | 7.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 1.67 | 8.0% |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 1.67 | 8.7% |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 1.65 | 8.7% |
| Best of all books | 2.10 | 1.73 | 5.4% |
| Average | 2.08 | 1.68 | 7.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Vila Nova at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cuiaba at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.10 | 3.01 | 3.65, which imply roughly 47.6% for a Vila Nova win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie B table: Vila Nova are 2nd (57 pts, 44-31 goals), Cuiaba 10th (46 pts, 32-25).
Over their last five matches, Vila Nova averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Cuiaba averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Vila Nova or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.12 | 3.05 | 3.65 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.26 | 1.67 | 1.34 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.48 | 2.50 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.08 | 1.68 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.81 | 1.93 | 4.38 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.79 | 6.63 | 2.51 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.08 | 6.96 |
| 1.5 | 1.46 | 2.56 |
| 2.5 | 2.46 | 1.51 |
| 3.5 | 4.81 | 1.16 |
| 4.5 | 9.77 | 1.04 |
| 5.5 | 20.2 | 1.01 |
| 6.5 | 50.5 | – |
11 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.06 | 6.05 |
| 1 | 1.09 | 5.35 |
| 1.25 | 1.26 | 3.20 |
| 1.75 | 1.60 | 2.21 |
| 2 | 1.84 | 1.89 |
| 2.25 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 2.75 | 2.89 | 1.33 |
| 3 | 3.84 | 1.19 |
| 3.25 | 4.25 | 1.15 |
| 3.75 | 5.95 | 1.07 |
| 4 | 8.80 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 3.34 | 1.29 |
| -0.75 | 2.49 | 1.48 |
| -0.5 | 2.13 | 1.70 |
| -0.25 | 1.80 | 1.97 |
| 0 | 1.48 | 2.56 |
| +0.25 | 1.34 | 3.03 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9.37 | 1.03 |
| -2.25 | 8.73 | 1.01 |
| -2 | 8.70 | 1.01 |
| -1.75 | 5.63 | 1.10 |
| -1.5 | 4.33 | 1.17 |
| -1.25 | 3.85 | 1.22 |
| +0.5 | 1.27 | 3.76 |
| +0.75 | 1.16 | 4.72 |
| +1 | 1.03 | 7.30 |
| +1.25 | 1.02 | 7.88 |
| +1.5 | 1.03 | 8.27 |
Cards in match
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 1.83 | 1.89 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.03 | 6.42 |
| 7.5 | 1.21 | 3.78 |
| 8.5 | 1.42 | 2.63 |
| 9.5 | 1.74 | 2.00 |
| 10.5 | 2.17 | 1.62 |
| 11.5 | 2.89 | 1.35 |
| 12.5 | 3.75 | 1.19 |
| 13.5 | 5.53 | 1.06 |
21 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.75 | 1.04 | 6.15 |
| 7 | 1.05 | 5.89 |
| 7.25 | 1.11 | 4.64 |
| 7.75 | 1.19 | 3.71 |
| 8 | 1.22 | 3.52 |
| 8.25 | 1.30 | 3.02 |
| 8.75 | 1.43 | 2.55 |
| 9 | 1.50 | 2.43 |
| 9.25 | 1.59 | 2.20 |
| 9.75 | 1.77 | 1.94 |
| 10 | 1.90 | 1.86 |
| 10.25 | 1.98 | 1.73 |
| 10.75 | 2.24 | 1.56 |
| 11 | 2.47 | 1.49 |
| 11.25 | 2.58 | 1.42 |
| 11.75 | 3.00 | 1.30 |
| 12 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| 12.25 | 3.58 | 1.20 |
| 12.75 | 4.30 | 1.13 |
| 13 | 5.14 | 1.08 |
| 13.25 | 5.33 | 1.07 |