OddsFilter

Ponte Preta vs Juventude• Serie B, Brazil

#200.2:2.40-2FTToday · Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas1.4:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

112.0BFRX5.20PIN21.37BTNMargin at best0.6%Books7Markets59Rating20 · 80Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 20:28 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet9.305.081.354.5%
Betano10.84.851.316.3%
Bet36511.05.251.258.1%
Marathonbet8.604.701.328.7%
Betfair11.05.001.259.1%
William Hill10.05.001.2510.0%
BetVictor10.04.751.2511.1%
Best of all books11.05.251.352.2%
Average10.14.951.288.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ponte PretaJuventude
Last 10#20Table position#10.41Points per game1.843Form pts · last 590.2Goals for · last 51.42.4Goals against · last 50.813Attack rating8825Defence rating7525Form rating7515H2H rating8524Goals model7620Overall rating80

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 21:51 UTC

Ponte Preta

1W 1D 8L · goals 2:25 · per match 0.2 for, 2.5 against

3 OctACuiaba0-2L
29 SepABotafogo SP0-2L
20 SepHCRB1-0W
15 SepALondrina0-6L
11 SepASport Recife0-2L
6 SepHSão Bernardo0-2L
30 AugAAmerica Mineiro0-2L
23 AugHAvai0-2L
19 AugAVila Nova0-6L
14 AugHNautico Recife1-1D

Juventude

5W 3D 2L · goals 12:7 · per match 1.2 for, 0.7 against

2 OctHOperario-PR3-0W
28 SepAAmerica Mineiro1-0W
19 SepASport Recife1-2L
13 SepHAthletic Club0-2L
9 SepACriciuma2-0W
5 SepHAtletico Goianiense2-2D
1 SepALondrina0-0D
25 AugHCRB2-1W
19 AugAGoias1-0W
15 AugHFortaleza EC0-0D

Head to head

1Ponte Preta wins
2draws
4Juventude wins

7 meetings · goals 3:9 · last 7: 1W 2D 4L for Ponte Preta

14 Jun 2026Serie BSerie BJuventude3-0Ponte Preta
18 Nov 2023Serie BSerie BJuventude0-0Ponte Preta
19 Jul 2023Serie BSerie BPonte Preta0-0Juventude
30 Dec 2020Serie BSerie BJuventude2-1Ponte Preta
4 Oct 2020Serie BSerie BPonte Preta1-3Juventude
9 Nov 2018Serie BSerie BJuventude0-1Ponte Preta
24 Jul 2018Serie BSerie BPonte Preta0-1Juventude

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 7 Oct 04:51 UTC

In the Serie B table, Ponte Preta sit 20th with 13 points from 32 games, while Juventude are 1st with 59 points from 32.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Juventude32178737:19+1859
2Vila Nova31176844:31+1357
3Novorizontino31159752:27+2554
4Criciuma31158833:27+653
5Fortaleza EC311411636:27+953
6Atletico Goianiense311410739:27+1252
7Sport Recife321311844:34+1050
8CRB311461146:44+248
9Operario-PR31139943:41+248
10Cuiaba311113732:25+746
11Goias321361332:40-845
12São Bernardo321291144:34+1045
13Nautico Recife311191139:38+142
14Athletic Club3210121038:37+142
15Ceara311091234:39-539
16Botafogo SP31981434:37-335
17Avai31861730:42-1230
18Londrina31771739:45-628
19America Mineiro31452221:52-3117
20Ponte Preta32342517:68-5113

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg19%9.97X19%4.78271%1.30

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Oct 00:017 Oct 00:211 9.97X 4.782 1.30
110.1 → 9.97 -1.2%X4.95 → 4.78 -3.4%21.28 → 1.30 +1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.861.955.0%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betano1.821.956.2%
Marathonbet1.821.917.3%
BetVictor1.781.908.8%
Best of all books1.862.003.8%
Average1.821.946.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.501.506.7%
William Hill2.301.558.0%
1xBet2.161.628.0%
Betano2.251.578.1%
Marathonbet2.161.608.8%
BetVictor2.301.538.8%
Best of all books2.501.621.7%
Average2.281.567.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ponte Preta 0%Draw 50%Juventude 50%

The statistical model rated Ponte Preta at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Juventude at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 9.97 | 4.78 | 1.30, which imply roughly 20.9% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Ponte Preta are 20th (13 pts, 17-68 goals), Juventude 1st (59 pts, 37-19).

Over their last five matches, Ponte Preta averaged 0.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Juventude averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Juventude.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Ponte Preta

4-1-4-1

Coach: Gilson Kleina

Goalkeeper

  • 30Vinicius

Defence

  • 15Gabriel Caran de Oliveira
  • 23S. Palacios
  • 4Diego Monteiro Leao
  • 13Diego Porfírio

Midfield

  • 5Rodrigo Souza
  • 7Emanuell Silva Ferreira
  • 19Danilo
  • 22Denis
  • 14Danilo Barcelos

Attack

  • 9Brandão
Substitutes (10)
  • 18Joao Damiao
  • 44Gustavo Almeida
  • 16Nicolas Silva
  • 32Felipe Di Mauro Reis Coutinho
  • 35Gustavo Lopes
  • 17Miguel
  • 6Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade
  • 1Guilherme Viana
  • 2Julio
  • 20Thevyn Dos Anjos Souza

Juventude

3-5-2

Coach: Maurício Barbieri

Goalkeeper

  • 93Jandrei

Defence

  • 34Rodrigo Sam
  • 4Messias
  • 97Gabriel Pinheiro

Midfield

  • 13Aderlan
  • 75Raí
  • 29Gabriel Pires
  • 44Mandaca
  • 16Diogo Barbosa

Attack

  • 11Fábio Lima
  • 25Alisson Safira
Substitutes (12)
  • 17M. Castro
  • 3Titi
  • 10Marcos Paulo
  • 8Lucas Mineiro
  • 2Raí Ramos
  • 9Alan Kardec
  • 22Nathan
  • 12Pedro Rocha
  • 70Juan Christian
  • 6Wadson
  • 5Luan Gonçalves
  • 18L. Amarilla

Match Statistics

Ponte PretaJuventude
284Passes accurate342
5Shots insidebox9
6Shots outsidebox6
5Blocked Shots4
19Free Kicks18
2Shots on Goal6
3Goalkeeper Saves2
4Shots off Goal5
2Offsides2
341Total passes411
11Total Shots15
4Yellow Cards3
4Corner Kicks6
18Fouls20
0Red Cards0
45%Ball Possession55%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
10.14.951.28

Double chance

1XX212
3.431.051.16

Draw no bet

12
8.481.06

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.281.56

1st half

1X2
9.052.441.74

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
4.0312.31.28

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0410.3
1.51.243.62
2.51.821.94
3.52.991.34
4.55.691.11
5.510.81.05
6.517.41.02
7.551.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.75–9.10
11.018.80
1.251.135.05
1.751.283.08
21.382.71
2.251.602.22
2.751.991.72
32.351.52
3.252.701.41
3.753.581.21
44.901.11
4.255.351.10
4.757.101.04
59.001.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+12.601.44
+1.252.081.69
+1.51.811.93
+1.751.632.18
+21.422.64
+2.251.362.92
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
06.551.05
+0.254.421.17
+0.53.701.26
+0.752.921.35
+2.51.283.31
+2.751.184.17
+31.095.92
+3.251.086.35
+3.51.076.60

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
9.51.802.00