Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino• Serie B, Brazil

#131.6:2.022:30Today · Estadio dos Aflitos, Recife1.6:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.01PINX3.91PIN22.06SBOMargin7.4%Books10Markets86Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Oct 20:26 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	5.01	3.91	1.70	4.4%
Dafabet	4.70	3.85	1.74	4.7%
Betano	4.70	3.75	1.70	6.8%
Bet365	4.75	3.80	1.67	7.2%
1xBet	4.54	3.84	1.67	7.9%
Betfair	4.60	3.75	1.67	8.3%
William Hill	4.60	3.60	1.70	8.3%
Marathonbet	4.55	3.84	1.65	8.6%
BetVictor	4.40	3.70	1.65	10.4%
SBO	2.94	3.09	2.06	14.9%
Best of all books	5.01	3.91	2.06	-5.9%
Average	4.48	3.71	1.72	7.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nautico RecifeNovorizontino

Last 10#13Table position#31.35Points per game1.745Form pts · last 581.6Goals for · last 51.62.0Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5029Defence rating7138Form rating6250H2H rating5035Goals model6540Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Oct 20:01 UTC

Nautico Recife

4W 4D 2L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against

3 Oct	A	Fortaleza EC	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Sport Recife	3-1	W
22 Sep	A	Cuiaba	0-3	L
15 Sep	H	Operario-PR	3-3	D
9 Sep	A	America Mineiro	1-2	L
3 Sep	H	Botafogo SP	1-0	W
28 Aug	H	Athletic Club	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	São Bernardo	1-1	D
19 Aug	H	Ceara	1-0	W
14 Aug	A	Ponte Preta	1-1	D

Novorizontino

6W 3D 1L · goals 20:7 · per match 2.0 for, 0.7 against

2 Oct	H	Goias	3-0	W
25 Sep	H	São Bernardo	0-0	D
18 Sep	A	Ceara	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Cuiaba	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Botafogo SP	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	Avai	3-1	W
28 Aug	H	Sport Recife	2-1	W
24 Aug	A	Athletic Club	4-1	W
20 Aug	H	America Mineiro	3-0	W
16 Aug	A	CRB	0-0	D

Head to head

1Nautico Recife wins

1draws

1Novorizontino wins

3 meetings · goals 5:9 · last 3: 1W 1D 1L for Nautico Recife

14 Jun 2026Serie B	Serie B	Novorizontino2-2Nautico Recife
15 Oct 2022Serie B	Serie B	Novorizontino6-0Nautico Recife
2 Jul 2022Serie B	Serie B	Nautico Recife3-1Novorizontino

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 8 Oct 02:41 UTC

In the Serie B table, Nautico Recife sit 13th with 42 points from 31 games, while Novorizontino are 3rd with 54 points from 31.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Juventude	32	17	8	7	37:19	+18	59
2	Vila Nova	31	17	6	8	44:31	+13	57
3	Novorizontino	31	15	9	7	52:27	+25	54
4	Criciuma	31	15	8	8	33:27	+6	53
5	Fortaleza EC	31	14	11	6	36:27	+9	53
6	Atletico Goianiense	31	14	10	7	39:27	+12	52
7	Sport Recife	32	13	11	8	44:34	+10	50
8	CRB	31	14	6	11	46:44	+2	48
9	Operario-PR	32	13	9	10	44:43	+1	48
10	Cuiaba	31	11	13	7	32:25	+7	46
11	Goias	32	13	6	13	32:40	-8	45
12	São Bernardo	32	12	9	11	44:34	+10	45
13	Nautico Recife	31	11	9	11	39:38	+1	42
14	Athletic Club	32	10	12	10	38:37	+1	42
15	Ceara	31	10	9	12	34:39	-5	39
16	Botafogo SP	32	10	8	14	36:38	-2	38
17	Avai	32	9	6	17	32:43	-11	33
18	Londrina	32	7	7	18	40:47	-7	28
19	America Mineiro	31	4	5	22	21:52	-31	17
20	Ponte Preta	32	3	4	25	17:68	-51	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.48X25%3.71254%1.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.58 → 4.48 +73.6%X3.37 → 3.71 +10.1%22.55 → 1.72 -32.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.79	2.09	3.7%
SBO	1.90	1.92	4.7%
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Betano	1.75	2.05	5.9%
1xBet	1.73	2.02	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.73	2.02	7.3%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Best of all books	1.90	2.09	0.5%
Average	1.76	2.02	6.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Betano	1.72	2.02	7.6%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.71	2.02	8.0%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.99	8.7%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.70	2.03	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nautico Recife 10%Draw 45%Novorizontino 45%

The statistical model rates Nautico Recife at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Novorizontino at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.48 | 3.71 | 1.72, which imply roughly 27% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Nautico Recife are 13th (42 pts, 39-38 goals), Novorizontino 3rd (54 pts, 52-27).

Over their last five matches, Nautico Recife averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Novorizontino averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Novorizontino.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Nautico Recife

4-2-3-1

Coach: Bruno Pivetti

Goalkeeper

1Muriel

Defence

2Arnaldo
15Léo Índio
3Alberto
23Igor Fernandes

Midfield

8Wenderson
41Samuel
29Júnior Todinho
10Jean Carlos
7Vinícius

Attack

72Derek

Substitutes (12)

24B. Borasi
11Victor Andrade
34Wanderson
5Auremir
55G. Guruceaga
46Gustavo Henrique
93Reginaldo Lopes
22P. Núñez
27Luiz Felipe
6Ryan
9Paulo Sérgio
19Kaua Almeida da Costa

Novorizontino

4-4-2

Coach: Enderson Moreira

Goalkeeper

93Jordi

Defence

2Madson
26Gabriel Bahia
4Patrick
5Sander

Midfield

41Reidiney
17Matheus Bianqui
6Luis Oyama
30Nicolas Careca

Attack

10Romulo
11Robson

Substitutes (11)

7Ronald Barcellos
66Maykon
28Marlon
18Léo Naldi
50Juninho
77Hélio Borges
14Eduardo Brock
31César
9Carlão
3Carlinhos
19Diego Galo

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.48	3.71	1.72

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.04	1.19	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
3.40	1.27

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
4.60	2.26	2.28

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.61	12.9	1.54

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.8
1.5	1.21	3.92
2.5	1.76	2.02
3.5	2.82	1.38
4.5	5.30	1.13
5.5	10.1	1.04
6.5	19.2	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.88
1	1.03	8.65
1.25	1.09	5.25
1.75	1.24	3.34
2	1.37	2.88
2.25	1.56	2.32
2.75	1.95	1.79
3	2.22	1.59
3.25	2.49	1.46
3.75	3.28	1.25
4	4.40	1.14
4.25	4.75	1.12
4.75	6.40	1.05
5	9.00	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.36	1.59
+0.5	2.17	1.67
+0.75	1.82	1.99
+1	1.65	2.17
+1.25	1.48	2.47
+1.5	1.38	2.82

17 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	11.5	1.01
-2	10.0	1.01
-1.75	9.13	1.01
-1.5	8.68	1.04
-1.25	7.60	1.05
-1	8.33	1.10
-0.75	5.50	1.13
-0.5	4.36	1.22
-0.25	3.58	1.28
0	3.42	1.27
+1.75	1.27	3.44
+2	1.15	4.57
+2.25	1.13	4.97
+2.5	1.11	5.55
+2.75	1.06	7.17
+3	1.01	10.0
+3.5	1.02	10.5

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.71	2.04
5.5	2.20	1.62

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.09	5.05
8.5	1.26	3.33
9.5	1.49	2.46
10.5	1.82	1.93
11.5	2.28	1.56
12.5	3.01	1.32
13.5	4.12	1.15
14.5	6.11	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.10	4.83
8	1.11	4.61
8.25	1.18	3.80
8.75	1.27	3.14
9	1.31	2.97
9.25	1.40	2.63
9.75	1.54	2.28
10	1.61	2.21
10.25	1.72	2.00
10.75	1.91	1.79
11	2.04	1.73
11.25	2.15	1.62
11.75	2.44	1.47
12	2.69	1.38
12.25	2.82	1.34
12.75	3.30	1.25
13	3.80	1.18
13.25	3.96	1.16
13.75	4.76	1.10
14	5.72	1.06
14.25	5.91	1.05