OddsFilter

Ceara vs Criciuma• Serie B, Brazil

#151.4:1.222:30Today · Estadio Castelão, Fortaleza1.0:1.6#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.83PINX3.20B36522.78SBOMargin at best2.6%Books10Markets79Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Oct 20:26 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.833.142.733.8%
Dafabet2.703.202.705.3%
Bet3652.753.202.625.8%
Betano2.673.102.657.4%
Betfair2.633.102.638.3%
1xBet2.603.102.648.6%
Marathonbet2.603.102.648.6%
William Hill2.702.902.629.7%
BetVictor2.603.002.5511.0%
SBO2.272.852.7815.1%
Best of all books2.833.202.782.6%
Average2.643.072.668.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CearaCriciuma
Last 10#15Table position#41.26Points per game1.718Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 51.658Attack rating4257Defence rating4357Form rating4385H2H rating1548Goals model5262Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Oct 20:01 UTC

Ceara

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

3 OctAAvai1-0W
26 SepAOperario-PR2-2D
18 SepHNovorizontino2-1W
13 SepAFortaleza EC1-1D
10 SepAAtletico Goianiense1-2L
5 SepHSport Recife2-1W
30 AugAVila Nova0-2L
22 AugHLondrina2-1W
19 AugANautico Recife0-1L
15 AugHCuiaba1-3L

Criciuma

4W 1D 5L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

2 OctALondrina2-0W
27 SepHAvai3-0W
22 SepHOperario-PR0-2L
13 SepAAtletico Goianiense0-4L
9 SepHJuventude0-2L
4 SepHCuiaba2-0W
30 AugACRB1-2L
23 AugHFortaleza EC0-2L
20 AugABotafogo SP1-1D
15 AugHGoias1-0W

Head to head

5Ceara wins
4draws
2Criciuma wins

11 meetings · goals 16:14 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Ceara

16 Jun 2026Serie BSerie BCriciuma1-1Ceara
2 Sep 2023Serie BSerie BCeara1-0Criciuma
21 May 2023Serie BSerie BCriciuma1-2Ceara
18 Nov 2017Serie BSerie BCriciuma1-1Ceara
2 Aug 2017Serie BSerie BCeara3-1Criciuma
8 Nov 2016Serie BSerie BCriciuma2-3Ceara
16 Jul 2016Serie BSerie BCeara1-0Criciuma
17 Oct 2015Serie BSerie BCriciuma3-0Ceara
10 Jul 2015Serie BSerie BCeara1-1Criciuma
6 Oct 2012Serie BSerie BCriciuma2-1Ceara

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 8 Oct 02:41 UTC

In the Serie B table, Ceara sit 15th with 39 points from 31 games, while Criciuma are 4th with 53 points from 31.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Juventude32178737:19+1859
2Vila Nova31176844:31+1357
3Novorizontino31159752:27+2554
4Criciuma31158833:27+653
5Fortaleza EC311411636:27+953
6Atletico Goianiense311410739:27+1252
7Sport Recife321311844:34+1050
8CRB311461146:44+248
9Operario-PR321391044:43+148
10Cuiaba311113732:25+746
11Goias321361332:40-845
12São Bernardo321291144:34+1045
13Nautico Recife311191139:38+142
14Athletic Club3210121038:37+142
15Ceara311091234:39-539
16Botafogo SP321081436:38-238
17Avai32961732:43-1133
18Londrina32771840:47-728
19America Mineiro31452221:52-3117
20Ponte Preta32342517:68-5113

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.64X30%3.07235%2.66

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

5 Oct 00:018 Oct 20:311 2.64X 3.072 2.66
12.25 → 2.64 +17.3%X3.13 → 3.07 -1.9%23.23 → 2.66 -17.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.391.614.0%
Bet3652.301.606.0%
Betano2.301.606.0%
1xBet2.271.587.3%
Marathonbet2.271.587.3%
Betfair2.251.578.1%
BetVictor2.211.578.9%
Best of all books2.391.614.0%
Average2.281.596.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.911.807.9%
Betfair1.911.807.9%
1xBet1.921.797.9%
Betano1.931.788.0%
BetVictor1.931.788.0%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
Marathonbet1.921.778.6%
Best of all books1.931.855.9%
Average1.911.808.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ceara 45%Draw 45%Criciuma 10%

The statistical model rates Ceara at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Criciuma at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.64 | 3.07 | 2.66, which imply roughly 37.9% for a Ceara win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Ceara are 15th (39 pts, 34-39 goals), Criciuma 4th (53 pts, 33-27).

Over their last five matches, Ceara averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Criciuma averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ceara or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Ceara

4-2-3-1

Coach: Daniel Paulista

Goalkeeper

  • 1Richard

Defence

  • 18Júlio
  • 4Luiz Otávio
  • 13Luiz Otávio
  • 12Sanchez

Midfield

  • 25Vinicius Zanocelo
  • 81Joao Gabriel
  • 60Enzo
  • 29Vina
  • 8Matheus Araújo

Attack

  • 94R. López
Substitutes (12)
  • 26Richardson
  • 23Caíque França
  • 33Éder
  • 11N. Ferreira
  • 7Giovanni Pavani
  • 77Lenny Lobato
  • 10L. Mugni
  • 99Lucca
  • 22Matheus Nogueira
  • 78Janderson Gabriel De Oliveira Martins
  • 16Rian Bonfim De Santana
  • 2Rafael Ramos

Criciuma

4-3-3

Coach: Umberto Louzer

Goalkeeper

  • 32Airton

Defence

  • 6Marcinho
  • 3Rodrigo
  • 4Luciano Castán
  • 22Marcelo Hermes

Midfield

  • 14Ronald
  • 41Jean Irmer
  • 7Fellipe Mateus

Attack

  • 10Jhonata Robert
  • 33Yuri
  • 91R. Otero
Substitutes (11)
  • 5Eduardo
  • 37César Martins
  • 88Cauê
  • 34Bruno Alves
  • 1Alisson
  • 21João Carlos
  • 11Romarinho
  • 50Thiaguinho
  • 97Willean Lepo
  • 70Pedro
  • 31Hiago Accinelli da Roza

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.643.072.66

Double chance

1XX212
1.421.451.33

Draw no bet

12
1.851.85

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.911.80

1st half

1X2
3.281.983.40

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.057.232.07

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.30
1.51.402.75
2.52.281.59
3.54.311.18
4.58.581.04
5.518.31.01
6.550.5–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.066.35
11.085.70
1.251.233.42
1.751.532.36
21.722.04
2.252.001.75
2.752.651.42
33.361.24
3.253.721.20
3.755.151.10
47.301.03
4.257.571.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.753.121.33
-0.52.681.45
-0.252.181.65
01.891.86
+0.251.582.28
+0.51.482.61
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.21.02
-29.201.02
-1.757.001.06
-1.55.531.11
-1.255.011.14
-14.691.16
+0.751.313.22
+11.164.66
+1.251.125.08
+1.51.115.66
+1.751.037.20
+2.51.0211.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.51.752.02
5.52.001.73

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.046.30
7.51.134.42
8.51.342.94
9.51.612.19
10.52.011.73
11.52.551.45
12.53.611.24
13.54.741.10
14.57.221.01
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.046.04
71.026.93
7.251.075.34
7.751.144.22
81.164.01
8.251.233.38
8.751.342.82
91.392.66
9.251.482.40
9.751.652.10
101.791.98
10.251.841.86
10.752.061.68
112.231.61
11.252.341.51
11.752.691.38
123.011.30
12.253.161.27
12.753.741.19
134.381.13
13.254.561.12
13.755.541.06
146.801.02
14.257.011.02