America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC• Serie B, Brazil

#190.4:1.423:30Today · Arena Independência, Bello Harisanta1.4:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.33B365X3.68PIN21.95BTNMargin at best1.6%Books10Markets83Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Oct 20:14 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	4.03	3.54	1.96	4.1%
Dafabet	3.95	3.45	1.98	4.8%
Bet365	4.20	3.30	1.90	6.7%
Betfair	3.90	3.50	1.90	6.8%
Betano	3.80	3.30	1.98	7.1%
1xBet	3.96	3.46	1.86	7.9%
Marathonbet	3.94	3.46	1.84	8.6%
William Hill	3.80	3.25	1.91	9.4%
BetVictor	3.80	3.25	1.85	11.1%
SBO	3.53	3.08	1.92	12.9%
Best of all books	4.20	3.54	1.98	2.6%
Average	3.89	3.36	1.91	7.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

America MineiroFortaleza EC

Last 10#19Table position#50.55Points per game1.713Form pts · last 590.4Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 51.022Attack rating7842Defence rating5825Form rating7540H2H rating6033Goals model6735Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 15:51 UTC

America Mineiro

2W 0D 8L · goals 6:19 · per match 0.6 for, 1.9 against

3 Oct	A	Atletico Goianiense	0-2	L
28 Sep	H	Juventude	0-1	L
18 Sep	A	Vila Nova	0-1	L
14 Sep	H	São Bernardo	0-2	L
9 Sep	H	Nautico Recife	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	CRB	1-3	L
30 Aug	H	Ponte Preta	2-0	W
24 Aug	A	Sport Recife	0-3	L
20 Aug	A	Novorizontino	0-3	L
16 Aug	H	Athletic Club	1-3	L

Fortaleza EC

4W 6D 0L · goals 12:7 · per match 1.2 for, 0.7 against

3 Oct	H	Nautico Recife	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Athletic Club	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	Londrina	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Ceara	1-1	D
9 Sep	H	Avai	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Goias	1-0	W
31 Aug	H	Operario-PR	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Criciuma	2-0	W
19 Aug	H	São Bernardo	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Juventude	0-0	D

Head to head

4America Mineiro wins

0draws

7Fortaleza EC wins

11 meetings · goals 14:21 · last 10: 3W 0D 7L for America Mineiro

16 Jun 2026Serie B	Serie B	Fortaleza EC0-3America Mineiro
8 Oct 2023Serie A	Serie A	Fortaleza EC3-2America Mineiro
31 Aug 2023CONMEBOL Sudamericana	CONMEBOL Sudamericana	Fortaleza EC2-1America Mineiro
24 Aug 2023CONMEBOL Sudamericana	CONMEBOL Sudamericana	America Mineiro1-3Fortaleza EC
20 May 2023Serie A	Serie A	America Mineiro2-1Fortaleza EC
15 Oct 2022Serie A	Serie A	America Mineiro1-2Fortaleza EC
19 Jun 2022Serie A	Serie A	Fortaleza EC1-0America Mineiro
31 Oct 2021Serie A	Serie A	America Mineiro2-1Fortaleza EC
7 Jul 2021Serie A	Serie A	Fortaleza EC4-0America Mineiro
29 Jul 2016Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Fortaleza EC4-1America Mineiro

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 7 Oct 04:51 UTC

In the Serie B table, America Mineiro sit 19th with 17 points from 31 games, while Fortaleza EC are 5th with 53 points from 31.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Juventude	32	17	8	7	37:19	+18	59
2	Vila Nova	31	17	6	8	44:31	+13	57
3	Novorizontino	31	15	9	7	52:27	+25	54
4	Criciuma	31	15	8	8	33:27	+6	53
5	Fortaleza EC	31	14	11	6	36:27	+9	53
6	Atletico Goianiense	31	14	10	7	39:27	+12	52
7	Sport Recife	32	13	11	8	44:34	+10	50
8	CRB	31	14	6	11	46:44	+2	48
9	Operario-PR	31	13	9	9	43:41	+2	48
10	Cuiaba	31	11	13	7	32:25	+7	46
11	Goias	32	13	6	13	32:40	-8	45
12	São Bernardo	32	12	9	11	44:34	+10	45
13	Nautico Recife	31	11	9	11	39:38	+1	42
14	Athletic Club	32	10	12	10	38:37	+1	42
15	Ceara	31	10	9	12	34:39	-5	39
16	Botafogo SP	31	9	8	14	34:37	-3	35
17	Avai	31	8	6	17	30:42	-12	30
18	Londrina	31	7	7	17	39:45	-6	28
19	America Mineiro	31	4	5	22	21:52	-31	17
20	Ponte Preta	32	3	4	25	17:68	-51	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.90X27%3.39249%1.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.45 → 3.90 +13.0%X3.34 → 3.39 +1.5%22.06 → 1.88 -8.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.11	1.77	3.9%
SBO	2.11	1.74	4.9%
Betfair	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Betano	2.05	1.75	5.9%
1xBet	1.99	1.75	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.75	7.4%
BetVictor	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Best of all books	2.11	1.77	3.9%
Average	2.05	1.74	6.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.90	1.90	5.3%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.84	1.86	8.1%
Betano	1.82	1.88	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.84	8.7%
BetVictor	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Average	1.85	1.86	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

America Mineiro 10%Draw 45%Fortaleza EC 45%

The statistical model rates America Mineiro at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Fortaleza EC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.90 | 3.39 | 1.88, which imply roughly 29.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: America Mineiro are 19th (17 pts, 21-52 goals), Fortaleza EC 5th (53 pts, 36-27).

Over their last five matches, America Mineiro averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Fortaleza EC averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fortaleza EC and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.89	3.36	1.91

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.85	1.22	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
2.85	1.38

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.86

1st half

1	X	2
4.48	2.10	2.48

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.58	8.35	1.65

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.60
1.5	1.33	3.14
2.5	2.05	1.74
3.5	3.58	1.26
4.5	7.20	1.07
5.5	14.7	1.02
6.5	34.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.70
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.16	4.10
1.75	1.41	2.72
2	1.53	2.36
2.25	1.79	1.97
2.75	2.31	1.55
3	2.76	1.38
3.25	3.05	1.28
3.75	4.15	1.16
4	5.70	1.08
4.25	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.92	1.38
+0.25	2.19	1.62
+0.5	1.88	1.92
+0.75	1.65	2.15
+1	1.42	2.71
+1.25	1.33	3.07

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.45	1.01
-1.5	8.37	1.02
-1.25	7.60	1.05
-1	7.13	1.06
-0.75	5.00	1.13
-0.5	4.00	1.25
-0.25	3.37	1.30
+1.5	1.27	3.48
+1.75	1.17	4.23
+2	1.08	6.13
+2.25	1.07	6.50
+2.5	1.05	6.93
+3.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.65	2.15
4.5	1.84	1.88

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.01	7.31
7.5	1.13	4.34
8.5	1.33	2.95
9.5	1.60	2.21
10.5	2.00	1.74
11.5	2.55	1.44
12.5	3.42	1.25
13.5	4.86	1.10
14.5	7.24	1.01

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	7.03
7	1.02	6.76
7.25	1.08	5.22
7.75	1.15	4.14
8	1.17	3.93
8.25	1.24	3.32
8.75	1.36	2.77
9	1.44	2.62
9.25	1.50	2.36
9.75	1.67	2.07
10	1.79	1.99
10.25	1.86	1.84
10.75	2.09	1.66
11	2.29	1.57
11.25	2.38	1.50
11.75	2.74	1.37
12	3.07	1.29
12.25	3.22	1.26
12.75	3.82	1.18
13	4.49	1.12
13.25	4.67	1.11
13.75	5.69	1.06
14	7.00	1.02
14.25	7.03	1.02