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Juventude vs Operario-PR• Serie B, Brazil

#31.2:1.23-0FT02/10 · Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias Sul2.4:1.2#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.82BTNX3.711XB25.06PINMargin at best1.7%Books6Markets77Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Sep 20:11 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.753.355.007.0%
Betfair1.733.405.007.2%
1xBet1.733.424.807.9%
Bet3651.733.305.008.1%
Marathonbet1.713.424.808.6%
William Hill1.753.254.808.7%
Best of all books1.753.425.006.4%
Average1.733.364.907.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

JuventudeOperario-PR
Last 10#3Table position#101.82Points per game1.4510Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 52.41.2Goals against · last 51.233Attack rating6750Defence rating5039Form rating6133H2H rating6769Goals model3142Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 01:50 UTC

Juventude

5W 3D 2L · goals 15:9 · per match 1.5 for, 0.9 against

11 OctHSão Bernardo2-2D
7 OctAPonte Preta2-0W
2 OctHOperario-PR3-0W
28 SepAAmerica Mineiro1-0W
19 SepASport Recife1-2L
13 SepHAthletic Club0-2L
9 SepACriciuma2-0W
5 SepHAtletico Goianiense2-2D
1 SepALondrina0-0D
25 AugHCRB2-1W

Operario-PR

3W 4D 3L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

11 OctHGoias0-2L
7 OctHBotafogo SP1-2L
2 OctAJuventude0-3L
26 SepHCeara2-2D
22 SepACriciuma2-0W
15 SepANautico Recife3-3D
9 SepHCRB3-0W
6 SepALondrina2-1W
31 AugAFortaleza EC1-1D
23 AugHVila Nova0-0D

Head to head

1Juventude wins
0draws
2Operario-PR wins

3 meetings · goals 2:5 · last 3: 1W 0D 2L for Juventude

5 Jun 2026Serie BSerie BOperario-PR2-1Juventude
22 Dec 2020Serie BSerie BOperario-PR3-0Juventude
29 Sep 2020Serie BSerie BJuventude1-0Operario-PR

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 17 Oct 02:41 UTC

In the Serie B table, Juventude sit 3rd with 60 points from 33 games, while Operario-PR are 10th with 48 points from 33.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Vila Nova33187846:31+1561
2Novorizontino33179759:28+3160
3Juventude33179739:21+1860
4Fortaleza EC341612641:29+1260
5Criciuma33168934:28+656
6Atletico Goianiense341412842:32+1054
7CRB331571151:47+452
8Sport Recife341312945:37+851
9Goias331461334:40-648
10Operario-PR331391144:45-148
11Cuiaba331114832:26+647
12São Bernardo3312101146:36+1046
13Athletic Club3310131040:39+143
14Nautico Recife331191339:42-342
15Ceara331191335:40-542
16Botafogo SP331181437:38-141
17Avai331061733:43-1036
18Londrina33781842:49-729
19America Mineiro33452421:54-3317
20Ponte Preta34352619:74-5514

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.75X27%3.44220%4.71

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Sep 00:012 Oct 19:311 1.76X 3.432 4.68
11.73 → 1.76 +1.7%X3.36 → 3.43 +2.1%24.90 → 4.68 -4.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.351.576.2%
Betano2.351.576.2%
1xBet2.291.577.4%
Marathonbet2.291.577.4%
Best of all books2.351.576.2%
Average2.321.576.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill2.151.657.1%
Bet3652.201.627.2%
Betano2.121.657.8%
1xBet2.131.647.9%
Marathonbet2.131.628.7%
Best of all books2.201.656.1%
Average2.151.647.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Juventude 10%Draw 45%Operario-PR 45%

The statistical model rated Juventude at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Operario-PR at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.75 | 3.44 | 4.71, which imply roughly 29.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Juventude are 3rd (60 pts, 39-21 goals), Operario-PR 10th (48 pts, 44-45).

Over their last five matches, Juventude averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Operario-PR averaged 2.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Operario-PR.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Juventude

3-5-2

Coach: Maurício Barbieri

Goalkeeper

  • 93Jandrei

Defence

  • 34Rodrigo Sam
  • 4Messias
  • 47Marcos Paulo

Midfield

  • 13Aderlan
  • 75Raí
  • 29Gabriel Pires
  • 44Mandaca
  • 30Patryck

Attack

  • 11Fábio Lima
  • 25Alisson Safira
Substitutes (12)
  • 97Gabriel Pinheiro
  • 18L. Amarilla
  • 17M. Castro
  • 3Titi
  • 10Marcos Paulo
  • 5Luan Gonçalves
  • 6Wadson
  • 70Juan Christian
  • 12Pedro Rocha
  • 8Lucas Mineiro
  • 9Alan Kardec
  • 2Raí Ramos

Operario-PR

4-2-3-1

Coach: Luizinho Lopes

Goalkeeper

  • 33Vagner

Defence

  • 2Mikael Doka
  • 22J. Cuenú
  • 43Joseph
  • 27Gabriel Feliciano

Midfield

  • 39Matheus Trindade
  • 20Vinícius Diniz
  • 14Hildeberto Pereira
  • 10Boschilia
  • 11Aylon

Attack

  • 99Caio Dantas
Substitutes (12)
  • 16Miranda
  • 6Moraes
  • 32Charles
  • 26Maguinho
  • 8J. Zuluaga
  • 30Pedro Vilhena
  • 5Índio
  • 21Brenno
  • 9Vinícius Mingotti
  • 1Elias Martello Curzel
  • 4Klaus
  • 88Neto Paraíba

Match Statistics

JuventudeOperario-PR
334Passes accurate373
18Shots insidebox10
7Shots outsidebox12
9Blocked Shots9
17Free Kicks26
6Shots on Goal4
4Goalkeeper Saves3
10Shots off Goal9
1Offsides1
396Total passes426
25Total Shots22
2Yellow Cards2
3Corner Kicks5
26Fouls17
0Red Cards0
49%Ball Possession51%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.733.364.90

Double chance

1XX212
1.162.021.30

Draw no bet

12
1.273.54

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.151.64

1st half

1X2
2.372.005.44

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.567.402.94

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.23
1.51.412.63
2.52.321.57
3.54.331.17
4.59.201.06
5.520.11.01
6.550.5–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.047.00
11.066.20
1.251.223.50
1.751.522.32
21.702.00
2.252.011.73
2.752.671.38
33.501.22
3.253.921.18
3.755.551.08
48.301.01
4.258.651.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.151.30
-1.252.791.39
-12.421.53
-0.751.941.77
-0.51.742.07
-0.251.482.46
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.512.01.02
-2.57.051.06
-2.256.531.07
-26.031.08
-1.754.031.18
01.243.46
+0.251.184.07
+0.51.184.80
+0.751.076.67
+11.038.50
+1.51.0210.1

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.085.14
7.51.263.41
8.51.492.44
9.51.831.89
10.52.371.53
11.53.181.30
12.54.641.11
13.57.161.01
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.094.90
71.114.66
7.251.183.80
7.751.283.10
81.322.92
8.251.422.58
8.751.582.22
91.662.09
9.251.771.94
9.751.981.74
102.131.63
10.252.251.56
10.752.591.41
112.901.32
11.253.061.29
11.753.631.20
124.261.14
12.254.451.12
12.755.441.07
136.721.02
13.256.941.02