Fortaleza EC3rd52 pts
Nautico Recife14th41 pts
Fortaleza EC3rd52 pts
Nautico Recife14th41 ptsIn the Serie B table, Fortaleza EC sit 3rd with 52 points from 30 games, while Nautico Recife are 14th with 41 points from 30 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Fortaleza EC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nautico Recife at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.77 | 3.50 | 4.54, which imply roughly 56.5% for a Fortaleza EC win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie B table: Fortaleza EC are 3rd (52 pts, 35-26 goals), Nautico Recife 14th (41 pts, 38-37).
Over their last five matches, Fortaleza EC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Nautico Recife averaged 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Fortaleza EC or draw.
Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vila Nova | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 54 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53 |
| 3 |  Fortaleza EC | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 52 |
| 4 |  Novorizontino | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51 |
| 5 |  Criciuma | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 50 |
| 6 |  Atletico Goianiense | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 49 |
| 7 |  CRB | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 48 |
| 8 |  Operario-PR | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 48 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 44 |
| 10 |  Cuiaba | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 43 |
| 11 |  Goias | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42 |
| 12 |  São Bernardo | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 42 |
| 13 |  Athletic Club | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 42 |
| 14 |  Nautico Recife | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 41 |
| 15 |  Ceara | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 36 |
| 16 |  Botafogo SP | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 |
| 17 |  Avai | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 28 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 13 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.78
X
3.45
2
4.44
Double chance
1X
1.19
X2
1.96
12
1.28
Both teams to score
Yes
1.97
No
1.75
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.35
Under 1.5
2.98
Over 2.5
2.10
Under 2.5
1.69
Over 3.5
3.81
Under 3.5
1.24
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
8.38
Over 4.5
7.97
Under 4.5
1.06
Over 5.5
17.42
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
50.50
Over 1.75
1.43
Under 1.75
2.61
Over 2
1.56
Under 2
2.27
Over 2.25
1.84
Under 2.25
1.90
Over 2.75
2.39
Under 2.75
1.51
Over 0.75
1.02
Under 0.75
8.20
Over 1
1.03
Under 1
7.40
Over 1.25
1.17
Under 1.25
4.23
Over 3
2.94
Under 3
1.31
Over 3.25
3.35
Under 3.25
1.26
Over 3.75
4.70
Under 3.75
1.12
Over 4
6.75
Under 4
1.04
Over 4.25
7.38
Under 4.25
1.04
Draw no bet
1
1.32
2
3.23
Asian handicap
Away 3.5
1.01
1st half
1
2.41
X
2.09
2
4.94
First team to score
Home
1.59
No Goal
8.50
Away
2.71
Corners 2-Way
Over 13.25
5.31
Under 13.25
1.07
Cards in match
Over 5.5
2.10
Under 5.5
1.67