Novorizontino3rd50 pts
São Bernardo12th41 pts
Novorizontino3rd50 pts
São Bernardo12th41 ptsIn the Serie B table, Novorizontino sit 3rd with 50 points from 29 games, while São Bernardo are 12th with 41 points from 29 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Novorizontino at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and São Bernardo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.51 | 4.02 | 6.23, which imply roughly 66.2% for a Novorizontino win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie B table: Novorizontino are 3rd (50 pts, 49-27 goals), São Bernardo 12th (41 pts, 40-31).
Over their last five matches, Novorizontino averaged 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; São Bernardo averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Novorizontino or draw.
Novorizontino vs São Bernardo — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vila Nova | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 51 |
| 2 |  Fortaleza EC | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 51 |
| 3 |  Novorizontino | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 |  Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 50 |
| 5 |  Operario-PR | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 |  Criciuma | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 47 |
| 7 |  Atletico Goianiense | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 46 |
| 8 |  CRB | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 45 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 |  Cuiaba | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 43 |
| 11 |  Goias | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 42 |
| 12 |  São Bernardo | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41 |
| 13 |  Athletic Club | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 41 |
| 14 |  Nautico Recife | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 35 |
| 16 |  Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 |
| 17 |  Avai | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 28 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 13 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.54
X
3.89
2
5.57
Double chance
1X
1.12
X2
2.33
12
1.22
Both teams to score
Yes
1.82
No
1.87
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.24
Under 1.5
3.62
Over 2.5
1.81
Under 2.5
1.97
Over 3.5
2.92
Under 3.5
1.35
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
9.64
Over 4.5
5.34
Under 4.5
1.12
Over 7.5
50.50
Over 5.5
10.70
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
21.25
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.27
Under 1.75
3.14
Over 2
1.39
Under 2
2.81
Over 2.25
1.58
Under 2.25
2.28
Over 2.75
1.99
Under 2.75
1.76
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
8.78
Over 1
1.01
Under 1
8.40
Over 1.25
1.12
Under 1.25
4.80
Over 3
2.33
Under 3
1.54
Over 3.25
2.59
Under 3.25
1.42
Over 3.75
3.34
Under 3.75
1.24
Over 4
4.50
Under 4
1.13
Over 4.25
4.85
Under 4.25
1.11
Over 5
8.90
Under 5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.19
2
4.35
Asian handicap
Away 3.5
1.02
1st half
1
2.06
X
2.28
2
5.52
First team to score
Home
1.47
No Goal
11.75
Away
2.95