Vila Nova4th31 pts
Fortaleza EC5th31 pts
Vila Nova4th31 pts
Fortaleza EC5th31 ptsIn the Serie B table, Vila Nova sit 4th with 31 points from 18 games, while Fortaleza EC are 5th with 31 points from 18 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Vila Nova at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Fortaleza EC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.43 | 2.99 | 3.03, which imply roughly 33.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie B table: Vila Nova are 4th (31 pts, 25-21 goals), Fortaleza EC 5th (31 pts, 21-17).
Over their last five matches, Vila Nova averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Fortaleza EC averaged 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Fortaleza EC.
Vila Nova vs Fortaleza EC — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Criciuma | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 36 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 32 |
| 3 |  Operario-PR | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 32 |
| 4 |  Vila Nova | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 31 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 |  Novorizontino | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30 |
| 7 |  Goias | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 28 |
| 8 |  São Bernardo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 27 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 27 |
| 10 |  Atletico Goianiense | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 25 |
| 11 |  Cuiaba | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 24 |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 24 |
| 13 |  CRB | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 23 |
| 14 |  Nautico Recife | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 21 |
| 15 |  Botafogo SP | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 |
| 16 |  Londrina | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 |
| 17 |  Ceara | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19 |
| 18 |  Avai | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 |
| 19 |  Ponte Preta | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 |
| 20 |  America Mineiro | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 8 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.43
X
2.99
2
3.03
Double chance
1X
1.35
X2
1.52
12
1.34
Both teams to score
Yes
1.87
No
1.82
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.38
Under 1.5
2.82
Over 2.5
2.22
Under 2.5
1.62
Over 3.5
4.00
Under 3.5
1.21
Over 0.5
1.07
Under 0.5
7.23
Over 4.5
8.11
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 5.5
18.25
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
41.00
Over 1.75
1.49
Under 1.75
2.47
Over 2
1.66
Under 2
2.12
Over 2.25
1.95
Under 2.25
1.81
Over 2.75
2.57
Under 2.75
1.46
Over 0.75
1.06
Under 0.75
6.00
Over 1
1.09
Under 1
5.40
Over 1.25
1.23
Under 1.25
3.42
Over 3
3.16
Under 3
1.30
Over 3.25
3.49
Under 3.25
1.24
Over 3.75
4.95
Under 3.75
1.11
Over 4
7.10
Under 4
1.04
Over 4.25
7.50
Under 4.25
1.03
Draw no bet
1
1.68
2
2.07
Asian handicap
Away 2
1.02
1st half
1
3.06
X
1.99
2
3.68
First team to score
Home
1.92
No Goal
7.18
Away
2.23
Corners 2-Way
Over 13.25
5.00
Under 13.25
1.09
Cards in match
Over 6.5
2.58
Under 6.5
1.43