Changwon City vs Yangpyeong• K3 League, South-Korea

#81.2:2.22-1FT03/101.4:2.8#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00BTNX3.741XB23.97PINMargin at best1.9%Books7Markets46Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.93	3.81	3.72	4.9%
Betano	2.05	3.30	3.50	7.7%
Pinnacle	1.88	3.33	3.86	9.1%
Betfair	2.05	3.10	3.30	11.3%
Bet365	2.00	3.30	3.20	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.86	3.30	3.55	12.2%
William Hill	1.85	3.30	3.50	12.9%
Best of all books	2.05	3.81	3.86	0.9%
Average	1.95	3.35	3.52	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Changwon CityYangpyeong

Last 10#8Table position#131.21Points per game0.833Form pts · last 511.2Goals for · last 51.42.2Goals against · last 52.846Attack rating5456Defence rating4450Form rating5071H2H rating2967Goals model3362Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 05:50 UTC

Changwon City

2W 3D 5L · goals 15:20 · per match 1.5 for, 2.0 against

3 Oct	H	Yangpyeong	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Gyeongju HNP	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Siheung Citizen	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Daejeon Korail	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	Busan Transportation	3-4	L
26 Jul	H	Jeonbuk Motors II	1-1	D
15 Jul	H	Gimhae City	1-5	L
12 Jul	H	Chuncheon	1-1	D
4 Jul	H	Geumsan Insam	3-0	W
27 Jun	H	Yeoju Sejong	2-2	D

Yangpyeong

2W 2D 6L · goals 24:26 · per match 2.4 for, 2.6 against

3 Oct	A	Changwon City	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Pocheon	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Siheung Citizen	1-3	L
29 Aug	A	Daejeon Korail	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Gyeongju HNP	3-3	D
26 Jul	H	Busan Transportation	2-4	L
15 Jul	A	Hwaseong	3-4	L
12 Jul	H	Jeonbuk Motors II	5-2	W
4 Jul	A	Ulsan FC	5-1	W
27 Jun	A	Chuncheon	3-3	D

Head to head

4Changwon City wins

1draws

2Yangpyeong wins

7 meetings · goals 9:4 · last 7: 4W 1D 2L for Changwon City

9 May 2026K3 League	K3 League	Yangpyeong1-0Changwon City
27 Jul 2025K3 League	K3 League	Changwon City1-0Yangpyeong
6 Apr 2025K3 League	K3 League	Yangpyeong0-0Changwon City
18 Aug 2024K3 League	K3 League	Yangpyeong1-5Changwon City
21 Apr 2024K3 League	K3 League	Changwon City2-0Yangpyeong
2 Jul 2023K3 League	K3 League	Yangpyeong2-0Changwon City
18 Mar 2023K3 League	K3 League	Changwon City1-0Yangpyeong

K3 League tableK3 Leagueupdated 10 Oct 14:06 UTC

In the K3 League table, Changwon City sit 8th with 29 points from 24 games, while Yangpyeong are 13th with 20 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Siheung Citizen	23	17	4	2	37:20	+17	55
2	Pocheon	24	14	7	3	41:20	+21	49
3	Daejeon Korail	24	12	5	7	33:19	+14	41
4	Busan Transportation	24	11	7	6	42:30	+12	40
5	Gyeongju HNP	23	9	8	6	35:31	+4	35
6	Dangjin Citizen	24	10	4	10	47:39	+8	34
7	Chuncheon	24	9	6	9	42:37	+5	33
8	Changwon City	24	7	8	9	27:31	-4	29
9	Ulsan Citizen	24	8	4	12	25:28	-3	28
10	Yeoju Sejong	24	7	7	10	27:31	-4	28
11	Gangneung City	23	7	6	10	21:32	-11	27
12	Mokpo City	23	5	9	9	22:36	-14	24
13	Yangpyeong	24	4	8	12	30:46	-16	20
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	24	1	7	16	25:54	-29	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.88X27%3.33224%3.73

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.95 → 1.88 -3.6%X3.35 → 3.33 -0.6%23.52 → 3.73 +6.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.97	1.82	5.7%
Betano	1.95	1.78	7.5%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Best of all books	2.00	1.90	2.6%
Average	1.95	1.80	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
1xBet	1.76	1.91	9.2%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.88	10.0%
Best of all books	1.78	2.00	6.2%
Average	1.76	1.93	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Changwon City 45%Draw 45%Yangpyeong 10%

The statistical model rated Changwon City at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Yangpyeong at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.88 | 3.33 | 3.73, which imply roughly 53.2% for a Changwon City win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the K3 League table: Changwon City are 8th (29 pts, 27-31 goals), Yangpyeong 13th (20 pts, 30-46).

Over their last five matches, Changwon City averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Yangpyeong averaged 1.4 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Changwon City or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.95	3.35	3.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.73	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.47	2.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.93

1st half

1	X	2
2.59	2.12	4.05

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.69	8.70	2.40

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.35
1.5	1.29	3.23
2.5	1.94	1.80
3.5	3.29	1.29
4.5	6.31	1.08
5.5	10.9	1.02
6.5	11.3	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.80
1	1.05	6.85
1.25	1.16	4.42
1.75	1.35	2.83
2	1.48	2.46
2.25	1.72	2.04
2.75	2.19	1.59
3	2.67	1.41
3.25	2.96	1.34
3.75	3.94	1.17
4	5.38	1.10
4.25	5.83	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.03	1.31
-1	2.65	1.39
-0.75	2.18	1.60
-0.5	1.94	1.83
-0.25	1.69	2.07
0	1.39	2.70

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.90	1.04
-2.25	6.55	1.05
-2	6.15	1.06
-1.75	4.30	1.15
-1.5	3.34	1.24
+0.25	1.31	3.08
+0.75	1.14	4.45
+1	1.04	6.85
+1.25	1.03	7.30
+1.5	1.02	7.70
+1.75	1.02	8.30