Nõmme United II vs FCI Levadia II• Esiliiga A, Estonia

#81.4:1.20-1FTToday · Tallinn3.0:1.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.63BFRX4.20B36522.121XBMargin at best9.0%Books8Markets40Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:33 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.60	4.20	2.11	9.7%
Betfair	2.63	4.20	2.05	10.6%
Betano	2.60	4.00	2.12	10.6%
1xBet	2.57	4.05	2.12	10.8%
Bet365	2.55	4.20	2.05	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.51	4.05	2.10	12.2%
Pinnacle	2.56	4.12	2.04	12.4%
William Hill	2.50	3.75	2.10	14.3%
Best of all books	2.63	4.20	2.12	9.0%
Average	2.56	4.07	2.09	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nõmme United IIFCI Levadia II

Last 10#8Table position#51.16Points per game1.479Form pts · last 581.4Goals for · last 53.01.2Goals against · last 51.632Attack rating6857Defence rating4347Form rating5336H2H rating6449Goals model5144Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 14:10 UTC

Nõmme United II

5W 1D 4L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

21 Sep	A	Nõmme Kalju II	3-2	W
13 Sep	H	Viimsi	1-0	W
10 Sep	H	Tallinna Kalev	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	Maardu	1-2	L
3 Sep	H	Elva	0-1	L
24 Aug	A	Viimsi	1-4	L
20 Aug	A	FC Tallinn	1-1	D
17 Aug	H	Nõmme Kalju II	2-0	W
8 Aug	H	FCI Levadia II	1-2	L
1 Aug	H	Tartu Welco	2-1	W

FCI Levadia II

4W 3D 3L · goals 21:20 · per match 2.1 for, 2.0 against

19 Sep	H	Maardu	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	FC Tallinn	5-1	W
10 Sep	H	Tartu Welco	0-0	D
4 Sep	H	Flora II	6-2	W
29 Aug	A	Maardu	2-4	L
23 Aug	H	FC Tallinn	2-1	W
20 Aug	A	Tartu Welco	2-4	L
15 Aug	A	Viimsi	0-5	L
8 Aug	A	Nõmme United II	2-1	W
1 Aug	H	Elva	2-2	D

Head to head

1Nõmme United II wins

1draws

2FCI Levadia II wins

4 meetings · goals 6:8 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for Nõmme United II

8 Aug 2026Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Nõmme United II1-2FCI Levadia II
25 May 2026Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	FCI Levadia II4-2Nõmme United II
16 Mar 2026Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	FCI Levadia II0-1Nõmme United II
17 Jan 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	FCI Levadia II2-2Nõmme United II

Esiliiga A tableEsiliiga Aupdated 9 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the Esiliiga A table, Nõmme United II sit 8th with 36 points from 31 games, while FCI Levadia II are 5th with 44 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tartu Welco	31	20	5	6	85:39	+46	65
2	Viimsi	30	15	5	10	56:31	+25	50
3	Flora II	30	14	6	10	72:53	+19	48
4	Elva	31	14	6	11	47:48	-1	48
5	FCI Levadia II	30	14	2	14	61:55	+6	44
6	Maardu	28	12	5	11	47:59	-12	41
7	Tallinna Kalev	29	10	7	12	52:55	-3	37
8	Nõmme United II	31	10	6	15	50:63	-13	36
9	FC Tallinn	30	8	8	14	39:65	-26	32
10	Nõmme Kalju II	30	6	4	20	38:79	-41	22

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.57X22%4.07243%2.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.17 → 2.57 +18.4%X4.00 → 4.07 +1.8%22.63 → 2.09 -20.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.22	4.00	7.0%
Betfair	1.17	4.50	7.7%
1xBet	1.21	3.80	9.0%
Best of all books	1.22	4.50	4.2%
Average	1.20	4.10	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.20	4.20	7.1%
1xBet	1.20	3.91	8.9%
William Hill	1.22	3.60	9.7%
Marathonbet	1.20	3.78	9.8%
Best of all books	1.22	4.20	5.8%
Average	1.21	3.87	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nõmme United II 10%Draw 45%FCI Levadia II 45%

The statistical model rated Nõmme United II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FCI Levadia II at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.57 | 4.07 | 2.09, which imply roughly 24.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Esiliiga A table: Nõmme United II are 8th (36 pts, 50-63 goals), FCI Levadia II 5th (44 pts, 61-55).

Over their last five matches, Nõmme United II averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; FCI Levadia II averaged 3 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or FCI Levadia II.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.57	4.07	2.09

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.58	1.42	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.93	1.74

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.21	3.87

1st half

1	X	2
2.84	2.75	2.44

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.87	38.5	1.79

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	41.0
1.5	1.05	9.50
2.5	1.20	4.10
3.5	1.54	2.26
4.5	2.21	1.57
5.5	3.49	1.24
6.5	5.25	1.11

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.25	3.28
3.25	1.41	2.56
3.75	1.65	2.02
4	1.81	1.84
4.25	2.02	1.67
4.75	2.50	1.42
5	2.97	1.30
5.25	3.20	1.26
6	5.40	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.26	1.54
-0.25	2.19	1.60
0	1.98	1.74
+0.25	1.81	1.88
+0.5	1.68	2.03
+0.75	1.48	2.34

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.10	1.08
-2	7.80	1.02
-1.5	4.45	1.14
-1	3.50	1.23
-0.75	2.77	1.36
+1	1.34	2.82
+1.25	1.26	3.20
+1.5	1.22	3.50
+2	1.07	5.80
+2.5	1.09	5.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10.5	1.88	1.92