OddsFilter

Nõmme Kalju II vs Nõmme United II• Esiliiga A, Estonia

#101.0:2.62-3FT21/09 · Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn1.0:1.6#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.33BFRX4.75B36521.64PINMargin at best5.1%Books1Markets11Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Sep 12:47 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.784.202.029.3%
Best of all books2.784.202.029.3%
Average2.784.202.029.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nõmme Kalju IINõmme United II
Last 10#10Table position#80.73Points per game1.163Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 51.02.6Goals against · last 51.650Attack rating5038Defence rating6233Form rating6767H2H rating3336Goals model6449Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Sep 12:51 UTC

Nõmme Kalju II

1W 0D 9L · goals 6:30 · per match 0.6 for, 3.0 against

14 SepATartu Welco0-3L
10 SepHFlora II1-5L
6 SepAElva0-1L
29 AugAFC Tallinn2-0W
23 AugHTartu Welco2-4L
20 AugHTallinna Kalev0-3L
17 AugANõmme United II0-2L
10 AugAFlora II0-3L
1 AugHMaardu1-4L
25 JulHFlora II0-5L

Nõmme United II

5W 1D 4L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

21 SepANõmme Kalju II3-2W
13 SepHViimsi1-0W
10 SepHTallinna Kalev2-1W
6 SepAMaardu1-2L
3 SepHElva0-1L
24 AugAViimsi1-4L
20 AugAFC Tallinn1-1D
17 AugHNõmme Kalju II2-0W
8 AugHFCI Levadia II1-2L
1 AugHTartu Welco2-1W

Head to head

2Nõmme Kalju II wins
0draws
1Nõmme United II wins

3 meetings · goals 7:3 · last 3: 2W 0D 1L for Nõmme Kalju II

17 Aug 2026Esiliiga AEsiliiga ANõmme United II2-0Nõmme Kalju II
15 Jun 2026Esiliiga AEsiliiga ANõmme Kalju II4-1Nõmme United II
24 Apr 2026Esiliiga AEsiliiga ANõmme United II0-3Nõmme Kalju II

Esiliiga A tableEsiliiga Aupdated 9 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the Esiliiga A table, Nõmme Kalju II sit 10th with 22 points from 30 games, while Nõmme United II are 8th with 36 points from 31.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Tartu Welco31205685:39+4665
2Viimsi301551056:31+2550
3Flora II301461072:53+1948
4Elva311461147:48-148
5FCI Levadia II301421461:55+644
6Maardu281251147:59-1241
7Tallinna Kalev291071252:55-337
8Nõmme United II311061550:63-1336
9FC Tallinn30881439:65-2632
10Nõmme Kalju II30642038:79-4122

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%3.91X20%4.39257%1.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

20 Sep 12:0121 Sep 14:111 3.91X 4.392 1.58
12.80 → 3.91 +39.6%X4.20 → 4.39 +4.5%21.99 → 1.58 -20.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.174.507.7%
Best of all books1.174.507.7%
Average1.174.507.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.204.117.7%
Best of all books1.204.117.7%
Average1.204.117.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nõmme Kalju II 10%Draw 45%Nõmme United II 45%

The statistical model rated Nõmme Kalju II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nõmme United II at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.91 | 4.39 | 1.58, which imply roughly 22.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Esiliiga A table: Nõmme Kalju II are 10th (22 pts, 38-79 goals), Nõmme United II 8th (36 pts, 50-63).

Over their last five matches, Nõmme Kalju II averaged 1 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Nõmme United II averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nõmme United II.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.784.202.02

Double chance

1XX212
1.671.361.17

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.204.11

1st half

1X2
3.062.802.42

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.5–46.0
1.51.049.50
2.51.174.50
3.51.502.50
4.52.201.62
5.53.251.29

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.061.65