Maardu6th41 pts
Tallinna Kalev7th36 pts
Maardu6th41 pts
Tallinna Kalev7th36 ptsIn the Esiliiga A table, Maardu sit 6th with 41 points from 28 games, while Tallinna Kalev are 7th with 36 points from 28 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Maardu at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tallinna Kalev at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.94 | 3.90 | 2.92, which imply roughly 51.5% for a Maardu win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Esiliiga A table: Maardu are 6th (41 pts, 47-59 goals), Tallinna Kalev 7th (36 pts, 50-53).
Over their last five matches, Maardu averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Tallinna Kalev averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Maardu or draw.
Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tartu Welco | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 56 |
| 2 |  Viimsi | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 50 |
| 3 |  Flora II | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 |  Elva | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 47 |
| 5 |  FCI Levadia II | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 41 |
| 6 |  Maardu | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 41 |
| 7 |  Tallinna Kalev | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 36 |
| 8 |  Nõmme United II | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 |
| 9 |  FC Tallinn | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 |
| 10 |  Nõmme Kalju II | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.30
X
4.20
2
2.30
Double chance
1X
1.53
X2
1.53
12
1.17
Both teams to score
Yes
1.25
No
3.64
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.04
Under 1.5
9.50
Over 2.5
1.20
Under 2.5
4.00
Over 3.5
1.57
Under 3.5
2.25
Under 0.5
41.00
Over 4.5
2.25
Under 4.5
1.57
Over 5.5
3.75
Under 5.5
1.22
Asian handicap
Home
1.81
Away
1.89
1st half
1
2.70
X
2.80
2
2.70