Fakel U19 vs Chertanovo U20• Youth Championship, Russia

#160.6:2.42-1FT09/102.0:2.2#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.931XBX3.75DAF22.10DAFMargin at best8.4%Books3Markets46Rating30 · 70Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 08:23 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.80	3.75	2.10	10.0%
1xBet	2.93	3.50	2.09	10.5%
Marathonbet	2.86	3.50	2.07	11.8%
Best of all books	2.93	3.75	2.10	8.4%
Average	2.86	3.58	2.09	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Fakel U19Chertanovo U20

Last 10#16Table position#130.62Points per game0.882Form pts · last 530.6Goals for · last 52.02.4Goals against · last 52.223Attack rating7748Defence rating5225Form rating757H2H rating9348Goals model5230Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:40 UTC

Fakel U19

0W 4D 6L · goals 6:18 · per match 0.6 for, 1.8 against

18 Sep	A	CSKA Moskva U19	1-6	L
11 Sep	A	Akademiya Konoplev U20	0-3	L
4 Sep	H	Dinamo Moskva U19	0-1	L
28 Aug	A	Nizhny Novgorod U19	0-0	D
21 Aug	H	Almaz Antey U19	2-2	D
14 Aug	H	Lokomotiv Moskva U19	0-1	L
7 Aug	H	Spartak Moskva U19	1-1	D
31 Jul	H	Dynamo Makhachkala U19	1-1	D
24 Jul	H	Rubin Kazan U20	0-1	L
17 Jul	H	Zenit U19	1-2	L

Chertanovo U20

2W 0D 8L · goals 13:23 · per match 1.3 for, 2.3 against

9 Oct	A	Fakel U19	1-2	L
18 Sep	H	Dinamo Moskva U19	4-2	W
11 Sep	A	Nizhny Novgorod U19	3-4	L
4 Sep	H	Almaz Antey U19	1-2	L
28 Aug	A	Lokomotiv Moskva U19	1-3	L
21 Aug	H	Spartak Moskva U19	1-0	W
14 Aug	A	Dynamo Makhachkala U19	1-2	L
7 Aug	H	Rubin Kazan U20	0-2	L
31 Jul	A	Ural U20	1-3	L
24 Jul	H	Zenit U19	0-3	L

Head to head

0Fakel U19 wins

1draws

5Chertanovo U20 wins

6 meetings · goals 5:12 · last 6: 0W 1D 5L for Fakel U19

15 May 2026Youth Championship	Youth Championship	Chertanovo U202-1Fakel U19
26 Jul 2024Youth Championship	Youth Championship	Chertanovo U201-0Fakel U19
26 Apr 2024Youth Championship	Youth Championship	Fakel U191-1Chertanovo U20
1 Sep 2023Youth Championship	Youth Championship	Chertanovo U204-1Fakel U19
21 Oct 2022Youth Championship	Youth Championship	Chertanovo U202-1Fakel U19
11 Aug 2022Youth Championship	Youth Championship	Fakel U191-2Chertanovo U20

Youth Championship tableYouth Championshipupdated 16 Oct 16:31 UTC

In the Youth Championship table, Fakel U19 sit 16th with 16 points from 26 games, while Chertanovo U20 are 13th with 23 points from 26.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CSKA Moskva U19	26	20	2	4	84:35	+49	62
2	Krasnodar U19	26	18	2	6	79:41	+38	56
3	Zenit U19	25	17	3	5	71:33	+38	54
4	Rodina Moscow U19	26	17	3	6	70:34	+36	54
5	Lokomotiv Moskva U19	26	15	5	6	67:45	+22	50
6	Akademiya Konoplev U20	26	14	5	7	54:41	+13	47
7	Almaz Antey U19	25	12	5	8	51:53	-2	41
8	Spartak Moskva U19	26	7	10	9	40:46	-6	31
9	Rostov U19	25	9	4	12	37:44	-7	31
10	Dinamo Moskva U19	25	9	2	14	41:49	-8	29
11	Dynamo Makhachkala U19	26	8	3	15	35:59	-24	27
12	Ural U20	26	7	4	15	35:58	-23	25
13	Chertanovo U20	26	6	5	15	36:62	-26	23
14	Nizhny Novgorod U19	26	6	4	16	31:70	-39	22
15	Rubin Kazan U20	26	5	3	18	30:62	-32	18
16	Fakel U19	26	4	4	18	28:57	-29	16

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.86X25%3.58243%2.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.89 → 2.86 -1.0%X3.49 → 3.58 +2.6%22.10 → 2.09 -0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Best of all books	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Average	1.41	2.52	10.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.39	2.73	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.67	9.4%
Best of all books	1.39	2.73	8.6%
Average	1.39	2.70	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fakel U19 10%Draw 45%Chertanovo U20 45%

The statistical model rated Fakel U19 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Chertanovo U20 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.86 | 3.58 | 2.09, which imply roughly 27.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Youth Championship table: Fakel U19 are 16th (16 pts, 28-57 goals), Chertanovo U20 13th (23 pts, 36-62).

Over their last five matches, Fakel U19 averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Chertanovo U20 averaged 2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Chertanovo U20.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.86	3.58	2.09

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.58	1.31	1.21

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.39	2.70

1st half

1	X	2
3.46	2.29	2.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.07	17.5	1.74

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.5
1.5	1.09	5.25
2.5	1.41	2.52
3.5	2.06	1.65
4.5	3.34	1.24
5.5	6.00	1.06

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.50
1.75	1.11	4.80
2	1.14	4.35
2.25	1.28	3.08
2.75	1.52	2.28
3	1.64	2.02
3.25	1.85	1.79
3.75	2.33	1.48
4	2.81	1.33
4.25	3.08	1.28
4.75	4.10	1.16
5	5.40	1.09
5.25	5.70	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.48	1.44
0	2.17	1.58
+0.25	1.81	1.81
+0.75	1.47	2.35
+1	1.31	2.92
+1.25	1.25	3.28

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.10	1.04
-1.5	5.50	1.08
-1.25	5.10	1.10
-1	4.75	1.12
-0.75	3.42	1.23
+1.5	1.21	3.58
+1.75	1.13	4.55
+2	1.06	6.30
+2.5	1.04	7.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.18	3.86
8.5	1.37	2.66
9.5	1.67	2.03
10.5	2.08	1.60
11.5	2.74	1.35