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Atlético Ottawa vs Forge• Canadian Premier League, Canada

#31.2:1.41-2FTToday · TD Place Stadium, Ottawa2.6:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.551XBX4.31PIN21.65B365Margin at best1.8%Books6Markets58Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle5.474.311.489.1%
BetVictor5.254.201.509.5%
1xBet5.554.101.4610.9%
Bet3654.203.601.6512.2%
Marathonbet5.304.101.4512.2%
William Hill4.803.801.5312.5%
Best of all books5.554.311.651.8%
Average5.094.021.5110.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atlético OttawaForge
Last 10#3Table position#11.59Points per game2.119Form pts · last 591.2Goals for · last 52.61.4Goals against · last 51.032Attack rating6842Defence rating5850Form rating5050H2H rating5040Goals model6042Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:10 UTC

Atlético Ottawa

6W 1D 3L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

11 OctAPacific FC2-0W
30 SepHCavalry FC3-2W
26 SepAHFX Wanderers FC1-0W
20 SepHSupra du Quebec0-2L
12 SepAForge0-3L
5 SepHPacific FC0-0D
28 AugHYork United2-1W
22 AugACavalry FC1-3L
19 AugHVancouver FC4-0W
16 AugASupra du Quebec2-1W

Forge

4W 5D 1L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against

12 OctHYork United5-0W
7 OctHPacific FC3-0W
3 OctHHFX Wanderers FC3-3D
26 SepAVancouver FC1-1D
19 SepACavalry FC1-1D
15 SepHSupra du Quebec1-0W
12 SepHAtlético Ottawa3-0W
5 SepHYork United1-1D
1 SepASupra du Quebec1-1D
28 AugASupra du Quebec0-1L

Head to head

7Atlético Ottawa wins
7draws
15Forge wins

29 meetings · goals 24:47 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Atlético Ottawa

12 Sep 2026Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueForge3-0Atlético Ottawa
24 May 2026Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueAtlético Ottawa2-1Forge
4 Apr 2026Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueForge2-0Atlético Ottawa
26 Oct 2025Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueForge1-2Atlético Ottawa
21 Sep 2025Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueAtlético Ottawa1-1Forge
17 Aug 2025Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueForge2-0Atlético Ottawa
12 Jul 2025Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueAtlético Ottawa1-1Forge
13 May 2025Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueForge2-2Atlético Ottawa
2 Nov 2024Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueForge1-0Atlético Ottawa
12 Oct 2024Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueForge0-2Atlético Ottawa

Canadian Premier League tableCanadian Premier Leagueupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Canadian Premier League table, Atlético Ottawa sit 3rd with 43 points from 27 games, while Forge are 1st with 57 points from 27.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Forge27176448:21+2757
2Cavalry FC26166453:21+3254
3Atlético Ottawa271341041:43-243
4Vancouver FC271071039:36+337
5Supra du Quebec271051243:47-435
6HFX Wanderers FC27771341:46-528
7York United27691240:64-2427
8Pacific FC26281630:57-2714

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg119%4.86X22%4.13259%1.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16 Oct 02:4017 Oct 12:311 5.10X 4.022 1.51
13.75 → 5.10 +36.0%X3.50 → 4.02 +14.9%21.75 → 1.51 -13.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.602.306.0%
Pinnacle1.522.417.3%
BetVictor1.542.288.8%
1xBet1.492.3010.6%
Marathonbet1.492.3010.6%
Best of all books1.602.414.0%
Average1.532.328.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.622.207.2%
1xBet1.602.159.0%
BetVictor1.602.159.0%
William Hill1.602.159.0%
Marathonbet1.602.119.9%
Best of all books1.622.207.2%
Average1.602.158.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atlético Ottawa 10%Draw 45%Forge 45%

The statistical model rated Atlético Ottawa at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Forge at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.86 | 4.13 | 1.52, which imply roughly 24.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Canadian Premier League table: Atlético Ottawa are 3rd (43 pts, 41-43 goals), Forge 1st (57 pts, 48-21).

Over their last five matches, Atlético Ottawa averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Forge averaged 2.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Forge.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Atlético Ottawa

4-2-3-1

Coach: Gustavo Leal

Goalkeeper

  • 1T. Crampton

Defence

  • 37T. Arnaud
  • 3J. Dunn-Johnson
  • 84Sergei Kozlovskiy
  • 20Joaquim Coulanges

Midfield

  • 10M. Aparicio
  • 6D. Gutiérrez
  • 7E. García
  • 13B. Tabla
  • 30K. Habibullah

Attack

  • 21N. Fleuriau Chateau
Substitutes (7)
  • 4T. Walker
  • 19R. Khoury
  • 11G. Antinoro
  • 31C. Kalongo
  • 2J. Castro
  • 14J. Assi
  • 77R. Abraham

Forge

4-2-3-1

Coach: Bobby Smyrniotis

Goalkeeper

  • 36Dino Bontis

Defence

  • 24R. Rama
  • 5D. Nimick
  • 55Manjrekar James
  • 4D. Krutzen

Midfield

  • 8A. Batisse
  • 23A. Aromatario
  • 87M. Bourgeois
  • 22N. Jensen
  • 14L. Johnson

Attack

  • 90L. Cavallini
Substitutes (7)
  • 19T. Borges
  • 33Cuba Grant
  • 26A. Sadek
  • 6B. Paton
  • 7I. Oketokoun
  • 17H. Massunda
  • 3M. Jevremović

Match Statistics

Atlético OttawaForge
1.22Expected Goals2.89
386Passes accurate345
5Shots insidebox11
2Shots outsidebox8
11Free Kicks12
1Shots on Goal7
5Goalkeeper Saves0
6Shots off Goal8
459Total passes414
1Red Cards0
7Total Shots19
1Yellow Cards2
3Corner Kicks3
0Blocked Shots4
12Fouls12
52%Ball Possession48%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.104.021.51

Double chance

1XX212
2.301.111.17

Draw no bet

12
4.111.20

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.602.15

1st half

1X2
5.082.421.99

2nd half

1X2
4.692.801.84

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 18.9017.020.5
HT X11.76.634.42
HT 242.315.82.19

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.6516.01.48

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.8
1.51.144.72
2.51.532.32
3.52.311.53
4.54.111.18
5.57.431.05
6.510.51.02
7.517.0–
8.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0110.0
1.251.056.40
1.751.154.25
21.193.80
2.251.352.83
2.751.642.10
31.821.85
3.252.051.66
3.752.631.40
43.201.26
4.253.501.22
4.754.801.12
56.451.05
5.256.751.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.52.481.48
+0.752.191.59
+11.851.87
+1.251.672.05
+1.51.532.32
+1.751.402.69
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.651.01
-1.257.401.03
-19.251.01
-0.756.331.08
-0.55.501.15
-0.254.341.18
03.771.23
+0.252.951.34
+21.263.38
+2.251.223.70
+2.51.194.03
+2.751.125.12
+31.047.10
+3.51.027.80