OddsFilter

Forge vs HFX Wanderers FC• Canadian Premier League, Canada

#21.2:0.83-3FT03/10 · Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton2.0:1.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.52BTNX4.781XB26.201XBMargin at best2.8%Books8Markets54Rating69 · 31Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 02:40 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.474.786.205.1%
Betano1.474.406.007.4%
Bet3651.484.205.758.8%
Pinnacle1.464.305.759.1%
BetVictor1.454.206.009.4%
Betfair1.404.336.0011.2%
Marathonbet1.434.055.7012.2%
William Hill1.404.205.5013.4%
Best of all books1.484.786.204.6%
Average1.454.315.869.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ForgeHFX Wanderers FC
Last 10#2Table position#62.00Points per game1.089Form pts · last 561.2Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 51.838Attack rating6369Defence rating3150Form rating5093H2H rating774Goals model2669Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 19:31 UTC

Forge

4W 5D 1L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against

3 OctHHFX Wanderers FC3-3D
26 SepAVancouver FC1-1D
19 SepACavalry FC1-1D
15 SepHSupra du Quebec1-0W
12 SepHAtlético Ottawa3-0W
5 SepHYork United1-1D
1 SepASupra du Quebec1-1D
28 AugASupra du Quebec0-1L
22 AugHPacific FC2-0W
19 AugHSupra du Quebec3-2W

HFX Wanderers FC

3W 1D 6L · goals 17:18 · per match 1.7 for, 1.8 against

26 SepHAtlético Ottawa0-1L
20 SepHYork United4-1W
12 SepASupra du Quebec2-0W
7 SepHCavalry FC1-3L
30 AugAPacific FC3-4L
22 AugHVancouver FC1-0W
16 AugAYork United3-4L
8 AugAAtlético Ottawa1-2L
2 AugHForge0-0D
24 JulHSupra du Quebec2-3L

Head to head

16Forge wins
9draws
4HFX Wanderers FC wins

29 meetings · goals 46:21 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for Forge

2 Aug 2026Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueHFX Wanderers FC0-0Forge
10 Jun 2026Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueForge1-0HFX Wanderers FC
9 May 2026Canadian ChampionshipCanadian ChampionshipForge4-0HFX Wanderers FC
2 May 2026Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueHFX Wanderers FC1-3Forge
6 Sep 2025Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueForge1-0HFX Wanderers FC
25 Jul 2025Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueHFX Wanderers FC1-2Forge
8 Jun 2025Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueForge2-1HFX Wanderers FC
7 May 2025Canadian ChampionshipCanadian ChampionshipForge3-1HFX Wanderers FC
3 May 2025Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueHFX Wanderers FC0-0Forge
14 Sep 2024Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueHFX Wanderers FC3-0Forge

Canadian Premier League tableCanadian Premier Leagueupdated 7 Oct 19:11 UTC

In the Canadian Premier League table, Forge sit 2nd with 48 points from 24 games, while HFX Wanderers FC are 6th with 27 points from 25.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Cavalry FC25165451:19+3253
2Forge24146438:20+1848
3Atlético Ottawa25124938:41-340
4Vancouver FC25961035:33+233
5Supra du Quebec25941238:45-731
6HFX Wanderers FC25761238:42-427
7York United25691040:56-1627
8Pacific FC24281430:52-2214

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.46X22%4.16216%5.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

2 Oct 04:313 Oct 16:311 1.46X 4.132 5.63
11.45 → 1.46 +0.7%X4.31 → 4.13 -4.2%25.86 → 5.63 -3.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.652.225.7%
1xBet1.662.205.7%
Bet3651.652.206.1%
Pinnacle1.622.236.6%
Betfair1.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.602.159.0%
BetVictor1.612.139.1%
Best of all books1.662.254.7%
Average1.622.207.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.801.917.9%
Betano1.751.958.4%
Betfair1.751.958.4%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
William Hill1.702.008.8%
1xBet1.721.969.2%
Marathonbet1.721.9310.0%
Best of all books1.802.005.6%
Average1.731.968.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Forge 45%Draw 45%HFX Wanderers FC 10%

The statistical model rated Forge at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and HFX Wanderers FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.46 | 4.16 | 5.60, which imply roughly 68.5% for a Forge win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Canadian Premier League table: Forge are 2nd (48 pts, 38-20 goals), HFX Wanderers FC 6th (27 pts, 38-42).

Over their last five matches, Forge averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; HFX Wanderers FC averaged 2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Forge or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Forge

4-3-3

Coach: Bobby Smyrniotis

Goalkeeper

  • 36Dino Bontis

Defence

  • 24R. Rama
  • 5D. Nimick
  • 55Manjrekar James
  • 6B. Paton

Midfield

  • 19T. Borges
  • 23A. Aromatario
  • 8A. Batisse

Attack

  • 87M. Bourgeois
  • 90L. Cavallini
  • 26A. Sadek
Substitutes (7)
  • 4D. Krutzen
  • 3M. Jevremović
  • 22N. Jensen
  • 33Cuba Grant
  • 14L. Johnson
  • 17H. Massunda
  • 7I. Oketokoun

HFX Wanderers FC

4-3-3

Coach: V. Sartini

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. Carducci

Defence

  • 21Jefferson Alphonse
  • 26T. Meilleur-Giguère
  • 2F. Linder
  • 16Kareem Sow

Midfield

  • 6L. Callegari
  • 5L. Olguin
  • 22S. Zitman

Attack

  • 23Miguel Arilla
  • 14J. Bahamboula
  • 11A. Reid
Substitutes (7)
  • 12S. Astridge
  • 10Y. Baï
  • 20Tavio Ciccarelli
  • 4Jabu Deng
  • 25Liam Mackenzie
  • 27N. Pierre
  • 17F. Troisi

Match Statistics

ForgeHFX Wanderers FC
362Passes accurate339
10Shots insidebox9
6Shots outsidebox2
4Blocked Shots3
11Free Kicks16
4Shots on Goal4
1Goalkeeper Saves1
8Shots off Goal4
1Offsides1
416Total passes395
16Total Shots11
2Yellow Cards0
8Corner Kicks0
16Fouls11
0Red Cards0
52%Ball Possession48%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.454.315.86

Double chance

1XX212
1.112.531.17

Draw no bet

12
1.174.49

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.731.96

1st half

1X2
1.942.415.68

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4114.82.96

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.2
1.51.184.36
2.51.622.20
3.52.531.47
4.54.521.16
5.58.181.04
6.510.81.02
7.517.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.20
1.251.085.55
1.751.213.72
21.263.32
2.251.442.54
2.751.771.96
32.001.71
3.252.261.57
3.752.901.33
43.651.21
4.253.991.17
4.755.301.09
57.201.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.591.44
-1.52.241.58
-1.251.991.73
-11.751.99
-0.751.562.27
-0.51.462.58
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.401.03
-36.831.06
-2.755.021.13
-2.53.931.20
-2.253.571.23
-23.251.28
-0.251.303.13
01.164.43
+0.251.135.02
+0.51.145.75
+0.751.047.10