OddsFilter

York United vs Cavalry FC• Canadian Premier League, Canada

#72.6:3.03-1FT03/10 · York Lions Stadium, Toronto2.6:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.75B365X4.661XB21.62B365Margin at best4.2%Books8Markets56Rating32 · 69Exp. goals L54.6

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 02:40 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet5.204.861.535.2%
Betano5.404.451.526.8%
Pinnacle5.014.351.519.2%
Bet3655.504.101.509.2%
BetVictor5.254.201.509.5%
Betfair5.504.401.4410.4%
Marathonbet5.253.981.4712.2%
William Hill4.604.201.5012.2%
Best of all books5.504.861.534.1%
Average5.214.321.509.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

York UnitedCavalry FC
Last 10#7Table position#11.08Points per game2.127Form pts · last 5102.6Goals for · last 52.63.0Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5025Defence rating7533Form rating6729H2H rating7125Goals model7532Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 13:21 UTC

York United

3W 4D 3L · goals 23:23 · per match 2.3 for, 2.3 against

3 OctHCavalry FC3-1W
27 SepHPacific FC3-4L
24 SepAVancouver FC3-3D
20 SepAHFX Wanderers FC1-4L
13 SepHVancouver FC3-1W
9 SepHPacific FC3-3D
5 SepAForge1-1D
28 AugAAtlético Ottawa1-2L
23 AugHSupra du Quebec1-1D
16 AugHHFX Wanderers FC4-3W

Cavalry FC

7W 2D 1L · goals 25:8 · per match 2.5 for, 0.8 against

30 SepAAtlético Ottawa2-3L
26 SepHSupra du Quebec6-0W
19 SepHForge1-1D
13 SepAPacific FC1-0W
7 SepAHFX Wanderers FC3-1W
29 AugHVancouver FC1-0W
22 AugHAtlético Ottawa3-1W
15 AugHForge2-1W
9 AugASupra du Quebec1-1D
2 AugHYork United5-0W

Head to head

6York United wins
3draws
15Cavalry FC wins

24 meetings · goals 22:39 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for York United

2 Aug 2026Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueCavalry FC5-0York United
10 Jun 2026Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueYork United1-5Cavalry FC
25 Apr 2026Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueCavalry FC1-1York United
26 Oct 2025Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueCavalry FC4-1York United
5 Sep 2025Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueYork United3-1Cavalry FC
26 Jul 2025Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueCavalry FC0-1York United
8 Jun 2025Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueCavalry FC2-1York United
3 May 2025Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueYork United1-2Cavalry FC
21 Sep 2024Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueYork United0-2Cavalry FC
17 Aug 2024Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueYork United1-2Cavalry FC

Canadian Premier League tableCanadian Premier Leagueupdated 7 Oct 19:11 UTC

In the Canadian Premier League table, York United sit 7th with 27 points from 25 games, while Cavalry FC are 1st with 53 points from 25.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Cavalry FC25165451:19+3253
2Forge24146438:20+1848
3Atlético Ottawa25124938:41-340
4Vancouver FC25961035:33+233
5Supra du Quebec25941238:45-731
6HFX Wanderers FC25761238:42-427
7York United25691040:56-1627
8Pacific FC24281430:52-2214

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.52X22%4.13258%1.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

2 Oct 04:312 Oct 22:311 4.52X 4.132 1.59
15.21 → 4.52 -13.2%X4.32 → 4.13 -4.4%21.50 → 1.59 +6.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.502.526.3%
Betano1.472.557.2%
Pinnacle1.452.607.4%
BetVictor1.442.637.5%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
Betfair1.442.607.9%
Marathonbet1.442.4310.6%
Best of all books1.502.634.7%
Average1.452.567.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.572.258.1%
Betano1.572.258.1%
Betfair1.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
William Hill1.552.259.0%
1xBet1.532.299.0%
Marathonbet1.532.2410.0%
Best of all books1.572.307.2%
Average1.552.268.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

York United 10%Draw 45%Cavalry FC 45%

The statistical model rated York United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Cavalry FC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.52 | 4.13 | 1.59, which imply roughly 24.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Canadian Premier League table: York United are 7th (27 pts, 40-56 goals), Cavalry FC 1st (53 pts, 51-19).

Over their last five matches, York United averaged 2.6 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Cavalry FC averaged 2.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cavalry FC and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

York United

4-3-3

Coach: M. Eustáquio

Goalkeeper

  • 17Campos Ralston Kai Antonio

Defence

  • 16M. Ferrari
  • 6R. López
  • 5F. Sturing
  • 3L. Singh

Midfield

  • 7S. Yeates
  • 23J. Córdova
  • 10O. Bassett

Attack

  • 8C. Guzmán
  • 9S. Gonzales
  • 11J. Almagro
Substitutes (6)
  • 35C. Onyeocha
  • 21K. Kibato
  • 28J. N. Costa
  • 36K. Clarke
  • 13L. Accettola
  • 12I. Pavela

Cavalry FC

4-2-3-1

Coach: Tommy Wheeldon Jr.

Goalkeeper

  • 29N. Ingham

Defence

  • 30J. McGlinchey
  • 4D. Klomp
  • 55A. Didic
  • 5B. Kamdem

Midfield

  • 28N. Myroniuk
  • 24E. Kobza
  • 7A. Musse
  • 9T. Warschewski
  • 17N. Edwards

Attack

  • 35Owen Graham-Roache
Substitutes (7)
  • 19Robert Owen Antoniuk
  • 11Hassan Ayari
  • 18M. Henry
  • 21J. Holliday
  • 3C. Ofori
  • 6M. Baldisimo
  • 8H. Paton

Match Statistics

York UnitedCavalry FC
343Passes accurate417
8Shots insidebox11
4Shots outsidebox7
1Blocked Shots6
17Free Kicks15
6Shots on Goal5
4Goalkeeper Saves3
5Shots off Goal7
405Total passes480
12Total Shots18
4Yellow Cards4
0Corner Kicks6
17Fouls17
0Red Cards0
45%Ball Possession55%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.214.321.50

Double chance

1XX212
2.431.121.17

Draw no bet

12
4.071.21

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.552.26

1st half

1X2
5.142.531.96

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.8117.51.42

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0314.8
1.51.125.33
2.51.452.56
3.52.151.65
4.53.521.26
5.56.441.08
6.59.331.04
7.515.01.01
8.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0211.0
1.751.124.65
21.154.18
2.251.312.99
2.751.552.28
31.692.02
3.251.931.80
3.752.421.50
42.921.33
4.253.161.28
4.754.271.15
55.551.08
5.255.901.07
69.30–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.52.471.50
+0.752.191.60
+11.931.79
+1.251.702.03
+1.51.562.27
+1.751.422.62
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.510.01.01
-19.201.02
-0.756.771.07
-0.55.501.15
-0.254.661.15
04.151.18
+0.252.961.34
+21.273.29
+2.251.233.57
+2.51.203.91
+2.751.134.93
+31.066.77
+3.51.037.40