York United vs Cavalry FC• Canadian Premier League, Canada

#72.6:3.03-1FT03/10 · York Lions Stadium, Toronto2.6:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.75B365X4.661XB21.62B365Margin at best4.2%Books8Markets56Rating32 · 69Exp. goals L54.6

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 02:40 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	5.20	4.86	1.53	5.2%
Betano	5.40	4.45	1.52	6.8%
Pinnacle	5.01	4.35	1.51	9.2%
Bet365	5.50	4.10	1.50	9.2%
BetVictor	5.25	4.20	1.50	9.5%
Betfair	5.50	4.40	1.44	10.4%
Marathonbet	5.25	3.98	1.47	12.2%
William Hill	4.60	4.20	1.50	12.2%
Best of all books	5.50	4.86	1.53	4.1%
Average	5.21	4.32	1.50	9.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

York UnitedCavalry FC

Last 10#7Table position#11.04Points per game2.084Form pts · last 572.6Goals for · last 52.63.0Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5025Defence rating7533Form rating6729H2H rating7125Goals model7532Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 15:30 UTC

York United

2W 3D 5L · goals 19:26 · per match 1.9 for, 2.6 against

12 Oct	A	Forge	0-5	L
7 Oct	H	Supra du Quebec	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Cavalry FC	3-1	W
27 Sep	H	Pacific FC	3-4	L
24 Sep	A	Vancouver FC	3-3	D
20 Sep	A	HFX Wanderers FC	1-4	L
13 Sep	H	Vancouver FC	3-1	W
9 Sep	H	Pacific FC	3-3	D
5 Sep	A	Forge	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Atlético Ottawa	1-2	L

Cavalry FC

6W 2D 2L · goals 21:11 · per match 2.1 for, 1.1 against

3 Oct	A	York United	1-3	L
30 Sep	A	Atlético Ottawa	2-3	L
26 Sep	H	Supra du Quebec	6-0	W
19 Sep	H	Forge	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Pacific FC	1-0	W
7 Sep	A	HFX Wanderers FC	3-1	W
29 Aug	H	Vancouver FC	1-0	W
22 Aug	H	Atlético Ottawa	3-1	W
15 Aug	H	Forge	2-1	W
9 Aug	A	Supra du Quebec	1-1	D

Head to head

6York United wins

3draws

15Cavalry FC wins

24 meetings · goals 22:39 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for York United

2 Aug 2026Canadian Premier League	Canadian Premier League	Cavalry FC5-0York United
10 Jun 2026Canadian Premier League	Canadian Premier League	York United1-5Cavalry FC
25 Apr 2026Canadian Premier League	Canadian Premier League	Cavalry FC1-1York United
26 Oct 2025Canadian Premier League	Canadian Premier League	Cavalry FC4-1York United
5 Sep 2025Canadian Premier League	Canadian Premier League	York United3-1Cavalry FC
26 Jul 2025Canadian Premier League	Canadian Premier League	Cavalry FC0-1York United
8 Jun 2025Canadian Premier League	Canadian Premier League	Cavalry FC2-1York United
3 May 2025Canadian Premier League	Canadian Premier League	York United1-2Cavalry FC
21 Sep 2024Canadian Premier League	Canadian Premier League	York United0-2Cavalry FC
17 Aug 2024Canadian Premier League	Canadian Premier League	York United1-2Cavalry FC

Canadian Premier League tableCanadian Premier Leagueupdated 15 Oct 03:21 UTC

In the Canadian Premier League table, York United sit 7th with 27 points from 26 games, while Cavalry FC are 1st with 54 points from 26.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	26	16	6	4	53:21	+32	54
2	Forge	26	16	6	4	46:20	+26	54
3	Atlético Ottawa	26	13	4	9	40:41	-1	43
4	Vancouver FC	26	9	7	10	37:35	+2	34
5	Supra du Quebec	26	9	5	12	40:47	-7	32
6	HFX Wanderers FC	26	7	7	12	40:44	-4	28
7	York United	26	6	9	11	40:61	-21	27
8	Pacific FC	26	2	8	16	30:57	-27	14

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.52X22%4.13258%1.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.21 → 4.52 -13.2%X4.32 → 4.13 -4.4%21.50 → 1.59 +6.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.50	2.52	6.3%
Betano	1.47	2.55	7.2%
Pinnacle	1.45	2.60	7.4%
BetVictor	1.44	2.63	7.5%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betfair	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.43	10.6%
Best of all books	1.50	2.63	4.7%
Average	1.45	2.56	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Betano	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
William Hill	1.55	2.25	9.0%
1xBet	1.53	2.29	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.24	10.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Average	1.55	2.26	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

York United 10%Draw 45%Cavalry FC 45%

The statistical model rated York United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Cavalry FC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.52 | 4.13 | 1.59, which imply roughly 24.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Canadian Premier League table: York United are 7th (27 pts, 40-61 goals), Cavalry FC 1st (54 pts, 53-21).

Over their last five matches, York United averaged 2.6 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Cavalry FC averaged 2.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cavalry FC and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

York United

4-3-3

Coach: M. Eustáquio

Goalkeeper

17Campos Ralston Kai Antonio

Defence

16M. Ferrari
6R. López
5F. Sturing
3L. Singh

Midfield

7S. Yeates
23J. Córdova
10O. Bassett

Attack

8C. Guzmán
9S. Gonzales
11J. Almagro

Substitutes (6)

35C. Onyeocha
21K. Kibato
28J. N. Costa
36K. Clarke
13L. Accettola
12I. Pavela

Cavalry FC

4-2-3-1

Coach: Tommy Wheeldon Jr.

Goalkeeper

29N. Ingham

Defence

30J. McGlinchey
4D. Klomp
55A. Didic
5B. Kamdem

Midfield

28N. Myroniuk
24E. Kobza
7A. Musse
9T. Warschewski
17N. Edwards

Attack

35Owen Graham-Roache

Substitutes (7)

19Robert Owen Antoniuk
11Hassan Ayari
18M. Henry
21J. Holliday
3C. Ofori
6M. Baldisimo
8H. Paton

Match Statistics

York UnitedCavalry FC

343Passes accurate417

8Shots insidebox11

4Shots outsidebox7

1Blocked Shots6

17Free Kicks15

6Shots on Goal5

4Goalkeeper Saves3

5Shots off Goal7

405Total passes480

12Total Shots18

4Yellow Cards4

0Corner Kicks6

17Fouls17

0Red Cards0

45%Ball Possession55%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.21	4.32	1.50

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.43	1.12	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
4.07	1.21

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.55	2.26

1st half

1	X	2
5.14	2.53	1.96

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.81	17.5	1.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	14.8
1.5	1.12	5.33
2.5	1.45	2.56
3.5	2.15	1.65
4.5	3.52	1.26
5.5	6.44	1.08
6.5	9.33	1.04
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	11.0
1.75	1.12	4.65
2	1.15	4.18
2.25	1.31	2.99
2.75	1.55	2.28
3	1.69	2.02
3.25	1.93	1.80
3.75	2.42	1.50
4	2.92	1.33
4.25	3.16	1.28
4.75	4.27	1.15
5	5.55	1.08
5.25	5.90	1.07
6	9.30	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.47	1.50
+0.75	2.19	1.60
+1	1.93	1.79
+1.25	1.70	2.03
+1.5	1.56	2.27
+1.75	1.42	2.62

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	10.0	1.01
-1	9.20	1.02
-0.75	6.77	1.07
-0.5	5.50	1.15
-0.25	4.66	1.15
0	4.15	1.18
+0.25	2.96	1.34
+2	1.27	3.29
+2.25	1.23	3.57
+2.5	1.20	3.91
+2.75	1.13	4.93
+3	1.06	6.77
+3.5	1.03	7.40