Neftchi vs Xorazm• Super League, Uzbekistan

#11.8:2.22-2FTToday · Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana0.4:1.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.21BTNX7.501XB213.0BFRMargin at best3.7%Books7Markets60Rating75 · 25Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Oct 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.19	6.64	12.9	6.8%
Pinnacle	1.23	5.91	10.4	7.9%
BetVictor	1.20	5.75	11.5	9.4%
William Hill	1.18	5.50	11.0	12.0%
Bet365	1.22	5.25	9.00	12.1%
Marathonbet	1.17	5.65	11.0	12.3%
Betfair	1.18	5.50	10.5	12.5%
Best of all books	1.23	6.64	12.9	4.1%
Average	1.20	5.74	10.9	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NeftchiXorazm

Last 10#1Table position#142.32Points per game0.9512Form pts · last 511.8Goals for · last 50.42.2Goals against · last 51.682Attack rating1842Defence rating5890Form rating1080H2H rating2090Goals model1075Overall rating25

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 12:51 UTC

Neftchi

7W 1D 2L · goals 19:11 · per match 1.9 for, 1.1 against

20 Sep	A	Lokomotiv	1-0	W
14 Sep	H	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	1-0	W
9 Sep	H	Surkhon	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Nasaf	2-6	L
29 Aug	H	Pakhtakor	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Sogdiana	3-0	W
18 Aug	A	Buxoro	1-4	L
13 Aug	A	Andijan	3-0	W
8 Aug	H	Qizilqum	5-0	W
3 Aug	A	Dinamo Samarqand	0-0	D

Xorazm

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:17 · per match 0.9 for, 1.7 against

21 Sep	H	Qizilqum	1-3	L
16 Sep	A	Olmaliq	1-2	L
10 Sep	H	Sogdiana	0-0	D
3 Sep	A	Olmaliq	0-1	L
25 Aug	A	Andijan	0-1	L
20 Aug	H	Lokomotiv	1-3	L
14 Aug	A	Dinamo Samarqand	2-2	D
7 Aug	H	Mash'al	2-0	W
2 Aug	A	Navbahor	1-5	L
28 Jul	H	Surkhon	1-0	W

Head to head

4Neftchi wins

0draws

1Xorazm wins

5 meetings · goals 10:5 · last 5: 4W 0D 1L for Neftchi

24 Apr 2026Super League	Super League	Xorazm0-2Neftchi
30 Nov 2025Super League	Super League	Xorazm2-0Neftchi
7 Jul 2025Super League	Super League	Neftchi2-0Xorazm
26 Apr 2021Cup	Cup	Neftchi3-1Xorazm
23 Jun 2020Cup	Cup	Neftchi3-2Xorazm

Super League tableSuper Leagueupdated 6 Oct 18:32 UTC

In the Super League table, Neftchi sit 1st with 51 points from 22 games, while Xorazm are 14th with 21 points from 22.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Neftchi	22	16	3	3	50:17	+33	51
2	Pakhtakor	22	14	7	1	39:20	+19	49
3	Navbahor	22	13	5	4	39:21	+18	44
4	Olmaliq	22	10	5	7	31:29	+2	35
5	Lokomotiv	22	10	5	7	36:28	+8	35
6	Nasaf	22	9	7	6	33:21	+12	34
7	Buxoro	22	10	4	8	32:29	+3	34
8	Andijan	22	9	3	10	27:28	-1	30
9	Dinamo Samarqand	22	8	6	8	33:34	-1	30
10	Qizilqum	22	9	2	11	23:30	-7	29
11	Sogdiana	22	8	4	10	38:43	-5	28
12	Surkhon	22	7	5	10	19:28	-9	26
13	Bunyodkor	22	7	1	14	22:36	-14	22
14	Xorazm	22	5	6	11	18:32	-14	21
15	Kokand-1912	22	4	8	10	19:30	-11	20
16	Mash'al	22	1	1	20	11:44	-33	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg178%1.17X14%6.3628%11.1

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.20 → 1.17 -2.5%X5.74 → 6.36 +10.8%210.9 → 11.1 +1.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.49	2.50	7.1%
Pinnacle	1.50	2.46	7.3%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betfair	1.45	2.55	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.42	10.8%
Best of all books	1.53	2.55	4.6%
Average	1.48	2.46	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.95	1.80	6.8%
BetVictor	2.00	1.73	7.8%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.72	10.0%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.95	1.75	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Neftchi 45%Draw 45%Xorazm 10%

The statistical model rated Neftchi at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Xorazm at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.17 | 6.36 | 11.08, which imply roughly 85.5% for a Neftchi win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Super League table: Neftchi are 1st (51 pts, 50-17 goals), Xorazm 14th (21 pts, 18-32).

Over their last five matches, Neftchi averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Xorazm averaged 0.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Neftchi.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.20	5.74	10.9

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.03	3.92	1.09

Draw no bet

1	2
1.06	8.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.95	1.75

1st half

1	X	2
1.60	2.71	8.68

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.23	17.1	4.03

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.9
1.5	1.12	5.48
2.5	1.48	2.46
3.5	2.27	1.58
4.5	3.86	1.21
5.5	7.30	1.05

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	11.0
1.75	1.13	4.60
2	1.17	4.36
2.25	1.33	2.95
2.75	1.59	2.19
3	1.77	1.94
3.25	2.00	1.72
3.75	2.56	1.43
4	3.14	1.30
4.25	3.36	1.25
4.75	4.61	1.13
5	6.26	1.06
5.25	6.60	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.65	1.41
-2.25	2.38	1.50
-2	2.11	1.64
-1.75	1.84	1.89
-1.5	1.68	2.09
-1.25	1.49	2.42

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	8.90	1.02
-4	9.35	1.01
-3.75	6.10	1.06
-3.5	4.89	1.13
-3.25	4.46	1.14
-3	4.16	1.17
-2.75	3.10	1.29
-1	1.30	3.12
-0.75	1.23	3.43
-0.25	1.10	5.20
0	1.01	8.78

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.73	2.00
10	1.98	1.82