NeftchivsSurkhon• Super League,Uzbekistan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Neftchi1st45 pts
Surkhon12th23 pts
Neftchi1st45 pts
Surkhon12th23 ptsIn the Super League table, Neftchi sit 1st with 45 points from 20 games, while Surkhon are 12th with 23 points from 20 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Neftchi at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Surkhon at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.27 | 5.21 | 8.04, which imply roughly 78.7% for a Neftchi win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Super League table: Neftchi are 1st (45 pts, 47-16 goals), Surkhon 12th (23 pts, 17-26).
Over their last five matches, Neftchi averaged 2.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Surkhon averaged 0.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Neftchi.
Neftchi vs Surkhon — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 45 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 43 |
| 3 |  Navbahor | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 38 |
| 4 |  Buxoro | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 |
| 5 |  Olmaliq | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 |
| 6 |  Lokomotiv | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 |
| 7 |  Nasaf | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 28 |
| 8 |  Andijan | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 27 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 27 |
| 10 |  Sogdiana | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 27 |
| 11 |  Qizilqum | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 26 |
| 12 |  Surkhon | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 |
| 13 |  Kokand-1912 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 20 |
| 14 |  Xorazm | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
| 15 |  Bunyodkor | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 19 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 20 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 4 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.28
X
5.16
2
8.08
Double chance
1X
1.05
X2
3.18
12
1.12
Both teams to score
Yes
1.79
No
1.89
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.48
Under 2.5
2.45
Over 1.5
1.12
Under 1.5
5.22
Over 1.75
1.14
Under 1.75
4.40
Over 2
1.18
Under 2
4.15
Over 2.25
1.33
Under 2.25
2.97
Over 2.75
1.58
Under 2.75
2.22
Over 3.5
2.21
Under 3.5
1.59
Over 3
1.76
Under 3
1.96
Over 4.5
3.54
Under 4.5
1.23
Over 3.25
1.98
Under 3.25
1.74
Over 3.75
2.53
Under 3.75
1.45
Over 4
3.07
Under 4
1.30
Over 4.25
3.30
Under 4.25
1.25
Over 4.75
4.41
Under 4.75
1.14
Over 5
5.81
Under 5
1.08
Over 5.5
6.53
Under 5.5
1.06
Over 5.25
6.15
Under 5.25
1.06
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
16.00
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
11.00
Draw no bet
1
1.08
2
6.20
Asian handicap
Away 0.5
3.10
1st half
1
1.68
X
2.68
2
7.09
First team to score
Home
1.28
No Goal
16.88
Away
3.56
Corners 2-Way
Over 10.5
2.30
Under 10.5
1.55