Nasaf9th25 pts
Neftchi1st45 pts
Nasaf9th25 pts
Neftchi1st45 ptsIn the Super League table, Nasaf sit 9th with 25 points from 19 games, while Neftchi are 1st with 45 points from 19 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Nasaf at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Neftchi at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.78 | 3.08 | 1.94, which imply roughly 32.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Super League table: Nasaf are 9th (25 pts, 20-18 goals), Neftchi 1st (45 pts, 45-10).
Over their last five matches, Nasaf averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Neftchi averaged 2.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Neftchi.
Nasaf vs Neftchi — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 40 |
| 3 |  Navbahor | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 37 |
| 4 |  Buxoro | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 |
| 5 |  Olmaliq | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 |
| 6 |  Lokomotiv | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 |
| 7 |  Andijan | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 27 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 |
| 9 |  Nasaf | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 25 |
| 10 |  Sogdiana | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 |
| 11 |  Qizilqum | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 23 |
| 12 |  Xorazm | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
| 13 |  Surkhon | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 20 |
| 14 |  Kokand-1912 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 15 |  Bunyodkor | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 19 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 19 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.84
X
3.15
2
1.91
Double chance
1X
1.78
X2
1.21
12
1.28
Both teams to score
Yes
1.72
No
1.95
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.91
Under 2.5
1.83
Over 1.5
1.27
Under 1.5
3.29
Over 1.75
1.32
Under 1.75
2.98
Over 2
1.43
Under 2
2.60
Over 2.25
1.66
Under 2.25
2.07
Over 2.75
2.14
Under 2.75
1.64
Over 3.5
3.13
Under 3.5
1.29
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
9.33
Over 0.75
1.02
Under 0.75
7.90
Over 1
1.04
Under 1
7.30
Over 1.25
1.14
Under 1.25
4.43
Over 3
2.53
Under 3
1.45
Over 4.5
6.15
Under 4.5
1.08
Over 3.25
2.84
Under 3.25
1.36
Over 3.75
3.82
Under 3.75
1.19
Over 4
5.24
Under 4
1.10
Over 4.25
5.63
Under 4.25
1.08
Over 4.75
7.30
Under 4.75
1.03
Over 5
9.30
Over 5.5
13.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Draw no bet
1
2.69
2
1.38
Asian handicap
Away -2.5
6.98
1st half
1
4.26
X
2.08
2
2.51
First team to score
Home
2.59
No Goal
8.40
Away
1.62