NasafvsPakhtakor• Super League,Uzbekistan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Nasaf7th25 pts
Pakhtakor2nd35 pts
Nasaf7th25 pts
Pakhtakor2nd35 ptsIn the Super League table, Nasaf sit 7th with 25 points from 16 games, while Pakhtakor are 2nd with 35 points from 16 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Nasaf at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Pakhtakor at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.88 | 3.16 | 2.32, which imply roughly 31.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Super League table: Nasaf are 7th (25 pts, 19-14 goals), Pakhtakor 2nd (35 pts, 28-16).
Over their last five matches, Nasaf averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Pakhtakor averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Pakhtakor and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Nasaf vs Pakhtakor — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 42 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 35 |
| 3 |  Navbahor | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31 |
| 4 |  Buxoro | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 |  Olmaliq | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 28 |
| 6 |  Lokomotiv | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 |  Nasaf | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 9 |  Andijan | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21 |
| 10 |  Sogdiana | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 |  Xorazm | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 |
| 12 |  Qizilqum | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 20 |
| 13 |  Bunyodkor | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 19 |
| 14 |  Surkhon | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 |
| 15 |  Kokand-1912 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 4 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.88
X
3.16
2
2.32
Double chance
1X
1.53
X2
1.34
12
1.29
Both teams to score
Yes
1.75
No
1.93
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.99
Under 2.5
1.74
Over 1.5
1.31
Under 1.5
3.10
Over 1.75
1.35
Under 1.75
2.84
Over 2
1.47
Under 2
2.47
Over 2.25
1.74
Under 2.25
1.98
Over 2.75
2.23
Under 2.75
1.57
Over 3.5
3.43
Under 3.5
1.25
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
8.30
Over 0.75
1.03
Under 0.75
7.30
Over 1
1.03
Under 1
7.88
Over 1.25
1.19
Under 1.25
4.03
Over 3
2.70
Under 3
1.40
Over 4.5
6.68
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 3.25
3.01
Under 3.25
1.32
Over 3.75
4.20
Under 3.75
1.16
Over 4
6.01
Under 4
1.08
Over 4.25
6.35
Under 4.25
1.06
Over 5.5
14.50
Under 5.5
1.02
Draw no bet
1
2.03
2
1.68
Asian handicap
Away -2.5
9.65
1st half
1
3.51
X
2.03
2
3.00
First team to score
Home
2.16
No Goal
8.60
Away
1.89