Nasaf8th18 pts
Qizilqum12th14 pts
Nasaf8th18 pts
Qizilqum12th14 ptsIn the Super League table, Nasaf sit 8th with 18 points from 13 games, while Qizilqum are 12th with 14 points from 13 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Nasaf at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Qizilqum at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.60 | 3.49 | 5.41, which imply roughly 62.5% for a Nasaf win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Super League table: Nasaf are 8th (18 pts, 16-13 goals), Qizilqum 12th (14 pts, 10-18).
Over their last five matches, Nasaf averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Qizilqum averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Nasaf or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Nasaf vs Qizilqum — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 34 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 33 |
| 3 |  Buxoro | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 |  Olmaliq | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 |  Navbahor | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 |  Lokomotiv | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 |  Bunyodkor | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 19 |
| 8 |  Nasaf | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Andijan | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 |
| 10 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 |
| 11 |  Surkhon | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 |
| 12 |  Qizilqum | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Xorazm | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 14 |  Sogdiana | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| 15 |  Kokand-1912 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.60
X
3.49
2
5.41
Double chance
1X
1.11
X2
2.17
12
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
2.06
No
1.66
Match goals
Over 2.5
2.11
Under 2.5
1.66
Over 1.5
1.34
Under 1.5
2.96
Over 1.75
1.43
Under 1.75
2.59
Over 2
1.58
Under 2
2.26
Over 2.25
1.84
Under 2.25
1.86
Over 2.75
2.41
Under 2.75
1.49
Over 3.5
3.80
Under 3.5
1.22
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
9.55
Over 0.75
1.04
Under 0.75
7.13
Over 1
1.06
Under 1
8.20
Over 1.25
1.19
Under 1.25
3.82
Over 3
3.10
Under 3
1.33
Over 4.5
8.73
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 3.25
3.30
Under 3.25
1.25
Over 3.75
4.66
Under 3.75
1.13
Over 4
8.43
Under 4
1.06
Over 4.25
6.90
Under 4.25
1.04
Over 5.5
18.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.21
2
3.78
Asian handicap
Home 0.5
1.12
Away 0.5
2.23
1st half
1
2.17
X
2.09
2
5.84
First team to score
Home
1.49
Away
3.21