FK Liepaja vs Auda• Virsliga, Latvia

#41.0:1.02-3FT12/10 · Daugavas stadions1.2:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.27PINX3.70B36523.00DAFMargin at best4.4%Books9Markets52Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Oct 12:18 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.27	3.68	2.73	7.9%
Dafabet	2.12	3.65	3.00	7.9%
BetVictor	2.20	3.50	2.90	8.5%
Bet365	2.20	3.70	2.70	9.5%
Betfair	2.20	3.50	2.75	10.4%
1xBet	2.12	3.54	2.82	10.9%
Betano	2.18	3.35	2.82	11.2%
William Hill	2.20	3.30	2.80	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.10	3.54	2.75	12.2%
Best of all books	2.27	3.70	3.00	4.4%
Average	2.18	3.53	2.81	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FK LiepajaAuda

Last 10#4Table position#31.34Points per game2.006Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 50.845Attack rating5544Defence rating5640Form rating6020H2H rating8051Goals model4939Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

FK Liepaja

3W 3D 4L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

12 Oct	H	Auda	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	BFC Daugavpils	0-0	D
11 Sep	A	Ogre United	2-2	D
7 Sep	A	Rīgas FS	0-0	D
31 Aug	H	Riga	3-2	W
25 Aug	A	Auda	0-1	L
21 Aug	H	Grobiņa	3-1	W
9 Aug	A	Super Nova	2-1	W
2 Aug	A	Tukums	1-2	L
30 Jul	A	Austria Vienna	1-3	L

Auda

6W 4D 0L · goals 18:10 · per match 1.8 for, 1.0 against

12 Oct	A	FK Liepaja	3-2	W
20 Sep	H	Rīgas FS	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Ogre United	1-0	W
11 Sep	A	Riga	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Grobiņa	1-0	W
2 Sep	A	BFC Daugavpils	2-2	D
29 Aug	H	Super Nova	1-1	D
25 Aug	H	FK Liepaja	1-0	W
21 Aug	H	Tukums	3-0	W
17 Aug	H	Grobiņa	3-2	W

Head to head

8FK Liepaja wins

6draws

7Auda wins

21 meetings · goals 23:24 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for FK Liepaja

25 Aug 2026Virsliga	Virsliga	Auda1-0FK Liepaja
11 Jul 2026Cup	Cup	Auda1-0FK Liepaja
22 May 2026Virsliga	Virsliga	Auda3-1FK Liepaja
8 Apr 2026Virsliga	Virsliga	FK Liepaja1-2Auda
20 Oct 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	Auda1-2FK Liepaja
27 Jul 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	FK Liepaja2-0Auda
24 May 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	FK Liepaja0-0Auda
9 Apr 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	Auda3-0FK Liepaja
5 Oct 2024Virsliga	Virsliga	FK Liepaja2-1Auda
25 Sep 2024Cup	Cup	Auda3-0FK Liepaja

Virsliga tableVirsligaupdated 17 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Virsliga table, FK Liepaja sit 4th with 43 points from 32 games, while Auda are 3rd with 64 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	32	25	5	2	79:24	+55	80
2	Riga	32	23	7	2	88:30	+58	76
3	Auda	32	19	7	6	52:32	+20	64
4	FK Liepaja	32	12	7	13	43:46	-3	43
5	BFC Daugavpils	32	11	9	12	37:36	+1	42
6	Super Nova	32	11	5	16	31:45	-14	38
7	FS Jelgava	32	8	8	16	34:53	-19	32
8	Grobiņa	33	6	11	16	25:56	-31	29
9	Tukums	32	5	9	18	44:63	-19	24
10	Ogre United	33	4	6	23	33:81	-48	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.18X26%3.53232%2.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.58 → 2.18 -15.5%X3.46 → 3.53 +2.0%22.29 → 2.81 +22.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.74	2.06	6.0%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
BetVictor	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Betano	1.65	2.02	10.1%
Best of all books	1.74	2.10	5.1%
Average	1.68	2.06	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
1xBet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.18	10.0%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.58	2.22	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FK Liepaja 10%Draw 45%Auda 45%

The statistical model rated FK Liepaja at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Auda at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.18 | 3.53 | 2.81, which imply roughly 28.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Virsliga table: FK Liepaja are 4th (43 pts, 43-46 goals), Auda 3rd (64 pts, 52-32).

Over their last five matches, FK Liepaja averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Auda averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Auda.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.18	3.53	2.81

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.57	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.64	2.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.58	2.22

1st half

1	X	2
2.70	2.25	3.39

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.78	14.3	2.07

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.9
1.5	1.19	4.00
2.5	1.68	2.06
3.5	2.75	1.38
4.5	4.95	1.13
5.5	9.43	1.04
6.5	12.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.80
1.25	1.08	5.55
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.30	3.10
2.25	1.49	2.40
2.75	1.86	1.83
3	2.14	1.61
3.25	2.43	1.47
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.20	1.15
4.25	4.55	1.13
4.75	6.15	1.06
5	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.50	1.46
-0.5	2.14	1.64
-0.25	1.92	1.79
0	1.65	2.13
+0.25	1.49	2.41
+0.5	1.42	2.77

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.50	1.01
-2	7.70	1.02
-1.75	5.13	1.12
-1.5	3.97	1.20
-1.25	3.54	1.24
-1	3.23	1.29
+0.75	1.29	3.28
+1	1.13	4.87
+1.25	1.11	5.37
+1.5	1.09	5.80
+1.75	1.06	7.15
+2	1.01	9.45
+2.5	1.01	9.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8	1.33	2.93
8.5	1.52	2.30
9	1.69	2.00
9.5	1.96	1.78
10	2.31	1.52
10.5	2.64	1.40