Tukums vs Riga• Virsliga, Latvia

#90.8:2.00-2FT10/10 · Tukums1.4:1.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

112.0BVCX7.00B36521.21BTNMargin at best5.3%Books9Markets71Rating30 · 70Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 04:34 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	11.0	7.00	1.19	7.4%
Pinnacle	9.87	6.97	1.20	7.8%
BetVictor	12.0	7.00	1.17	8.1%
Bet365	9.50	7.00	1.20	8.1%
William Hill	11.0	6.00	1.20	9.1%
Betano	8.75	5.80	1.21	11.3%
Betfair	11.0	6.50	1.15	11.4%
Marathonbet	11.3	6.45	1.14	12.1%
1xBet	11.2	6.45	1.14	12.2%
Best of all books	12.0	7.00	1.21	5.3%
Average	10.6	6.57	1.18	9.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TukumsRiga

Last 10#9Table position#20.75Points per game2.384Form pts · last 5130.8Goals for · last 51.42.0Goals against · last 51.236Attack rating6438Defence rating6333Form rating6715H2H rating8527Goals model7330Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:31 UTC

Tukums

2W 1D 7L · goals 7:19 · per match 0.7 for, 1.9 against

10 Oct	H	Riga	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Grobiņa	1-1	D
10 Sep	A	Super Nova	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Ogre United	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	FS Jelgava	1-4	L
21 Aug	A	Auda	0-3	L
8 Aug	A	BFC Daugavpils	0-2	L
2 Aug	H	FK Liepaja	2-1	W
27 Jul	H	Rīgas FS	0-1	L
18 Jul	A	Riga	1-3	L

Riga

6W 3D 1L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

15 Oct	H	Kairat Almaty	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Tukums	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Aris	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	FS Jelgava	1-0	W
15 Sep	A	Super Nova	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Auda	2-2	D
7 Sep	H	BFC Daugavpils	1-1	D
3 Sep	A	Rīgas FS	3-2	W
31 Aug	A	FK Liepaja	2-3	L
27 Aug	H	KI Klaksvik	2-1	W

Head to head

1Tukums wins

2draws

23Riga wins

26 meetings · goals 14:92 · last 10: 0W 2D 8L for Tukums

18 Jul 2026Virsliga	Virsliga	Riga3-1Tukums
20 May 2026Virsliga	Virsliga	Tukums1-3Riga
9 Apr 2026Virsliga	Virsliga	Riga3-3Tukums
24 Oct 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	Riga0-0Tukums
3 Aug 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	Tukums0-1Riga
12 Jul 2025Cup	Cup	Riga4-0Tukums
31 May 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	Riga3-0Tukums
13 Apr 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	Tukums0-3Riga
27 Oct 2024Virsliga	Virsliga	Riga10-1Tukums
4 Aug 2024Virsliga	Virsliga	Tukums0-5Riga

Virsliga tableVirsligaupdated 17 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Virsliga table, Tukums sit 9th with 24 points from 32 games, while Riga are 2nd with 76 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	32	25	5	2	79:24	+55	80
2	Riga	32	23	7	2	88:30	+58	76
3	Auda	32	19	7	6	52:32	+20	64
4	FK Liepaja	32	12	7	13	43:46	-3	43
5	BFC Daugavpils	32	11	9	12	37:36	+1	42
6	Super Nova	32	11	5	16	31:45	-14	38
7	FS Jelgava	32	8	8	16	34:53	-19	32
8	Grobiņa	33	6	11	16	25:56	-31	29
9	Tukums	32	5	9	18	44:63	-19	24
10	Ogre United	33	4	6	23	33:81	-48	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg19%10.4X14%6.48277%1.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

113.0 → 10.5 -19.2%X6.50 → 6.48 -0.3%21.14 → 1.18 +3.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.30	3.40	6.3%
Betfair	1.29	3.30	7.8%
BetVictor	1.29	3.30	7.8%
1xBet	1.27	3.14	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.27	3.14	10.6%
Best of all books	1.30	3.40	6.3%
Average	1.28	3.26	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.05	6.6%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.96	9.8%
Best of all books	1.83	2.05	3.4%
Average	1.73	1.98	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tukums 0%Draw 50%Riga 50%

The statistical model rated Tukums at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Riga at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 10.40 | 6.48 | 1.18, which imply roughly 15.4% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Virsliga table: Tukums are 9th (24 pts, 44-63 goals), Riga 2nd (76 pts, 88-30).

Over their last five matches, Tukums averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Riga averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Riga.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
10.6	6.57	1.18

Double chance

1X	X2	12
4.07	1.04	1.07

Draw no bet

1	2
7.88	1.06

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.73	1.98

1st half

1	X	2
8.17	3.01	1.53

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.83	27.0	1.23

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	17.3
1.5	1.06	7.30
2.5	1.28	3.26
3.5	1.78	1.93
4.5	2.74	1.38
5.5	4.60	1.14
6.5	7.50	1.07
7.5	10.5	1.02
8.5	17.0	–
9.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	14.0
1.75	1.05	6.55
2	1.06	6.05
2.25	1.16	4.05
2.75	1.33	2.90
3	1.41	2.61
3.25	1.61	2.16
3.75	1.95	1.73
4	2.23	1.55
4.25	2.46	1.45
4.75	3.14	1.27
5	4.05	1.17
5.25	4.35	1.14
6	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1.5	2.22	1.58
+1.75	2.08	1.66
+2	1.85	1.84
+2.25	1.66	2.06
+2.5	1.55	2.29
+2.75	1.42	2.63

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	7.85	1.03
+0.25	5.63	1.10
+0.5	4.15	1.22
+0.75	3.83	1.20
+1	3.43	1.25
+1.25	2.70	1.40
+3	1.28	3.23
+3.25	1.24	3.52
+3.5	1.20	3.86
+3.75	1.14	4.72
+4	1.07	6.43
+4.5	1.03	7.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8	1.31	3.04
8.5	1.49	2.37
9	1.65	2.06
9.5	1.90	1.83
10	2.24	1.55
10.5	2.56	1.42