Tukums9th23 pts
Grobiņa8th25 pts
Tukums9th23 pts
Grobiņa8th25 ptsIn the Virsliga table, Tukums sit 9th with 23 points from 30 games, while Grobiņa are 8th with 25 points from 30 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Tukums at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Grobiņa at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.65, which imply roughly 41.7% for a Tukums win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Virsliga table: Tukums are 9th (23 pts, 43-60 goals), Grobiņa 8th (25 pts, 20-51).
Over their last five matches, Tukums averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Grobiņa averaged 0.6 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Tukums or draw.
Tukums vs Grobiņa — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Riga | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 73 |
| 2 |  Rīgas FS | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 73 |
| 3 |  Auda | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 60 |
| 4 |  FK Liepaja | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 43 |
| 5 |  BFC Daugavpils | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 |  Super Nova | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 35 |
| 7 |  FS Jelgava | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 32 |
| 8 |  Grobiņa | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
| 9 |  Tukums | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23 |
| 10 |  Ogre United | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 15 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.17
X
3.37
2
2.84
Double chance
1X
1.33
X2
1.54
12
1.24
Both teams to score
Yes
1.59
No
2.19
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.20
Under 1.5
3.92
Over 1.75
1.24
Under 1.75
3.34
Over 2
1.30
Under 2
2.97
Over 2.25
1.51
Under 2.25
2.30
Over 2.5
1.71
Under 2.5
1.99
Over 2.75
1.86
Under 2.75
1.77
Over 3.5
2.79
Under 3.5
1.37
Over 1.25
1.10
Under 1.25
5.20
Over 3
2.17
Under 3
1.55
Over 4.5
5.37
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 3.25
2.46
Under 3.25
1.43
Over 3.75
3.28
Under 3.75
1.25
Over 4
4.33
Under 4
1.14
Over 4.25
4.70
Under 4.25
1.12
Over 4.75
6.40
Under 4.75
1.05
Over 5
9.00
Under 5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
11.70
Over 5.5
10.25
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 1
1.03
Under 1
8.30
Draw no bet
1
1.62
2
2.05
Asian handicap
Away 2.5
1.01
1st half
1
2.76
X
2.17
2
3.43
First team to score
Home
1.78
No Goal
13.25
Away
2.06