Ogre United10th15 pts
Super Nova6th35 pts
Ogre United10th15 pts
Super Nova6th35 ptsIn the Virsliga table, Ogre United sit 10th with 15 points from 30 games, while Super Nova are 6th with 35 points from 29 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Ogre United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Super Nova at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.01 | 3.35 | 2.09, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Virsliga table: Ogre United are 10th (15 pts, 29-76 goals), Super Nova 6th (35 pts, 29-39).
Over their last five matches, Ogre United averaged 1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Super Nova averaged 0.6 scored and 0.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Super Nova.
Ogre United vs Super Nova — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Riga | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 73 |
| 2 |  Rīgas FS | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 73 |
| 3 |  Auda | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 60 |
| 4 |  FK Liepaja | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 43 |
| 5 |  BFC Daugavpils | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 |  Super Nova | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 35 |
| 7 |  FS Jelgava | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 32 |
| 8 |  Grobiņa | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
| 9 |  Tukums | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23 |
| 10 |  Ogre United | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 15 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.90
X
3.34
2
2.14
Double chance
1X
1.55
X2
1.32
12
1.24
Both teams to score
Yes
1.59
No
2.17
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.20
Under 1.5
3.89
Over 1.75
1.25
Under 1.75
3.28
Over 2
1.32
Under 2
2.88
Over 2.25
1.53
Under 2.25
2.26
Over 2.5
1.73
Under 2.5
1.97
Over 2.75
1.89
Under 2.75
1.74
Over 3.5
2.85
Under 3.5
1.35
Over 1.25
1.10
Under 1.25
5.20
Over 3
2.26
Under 3
1.51
Over 4.5
5.47
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 3.25
2.56
Under 3.25
1.40
Over 3.75
3.48
Under 3.75
1.22
Over 4
4.70
Under 4
1.12
Over 4.25
5.10
Under 4.25
1.10
Over 4.75
7.10
Under 4.75
1.04
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
11.50
Over 5.5
10.25
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 1
1.04
Under 1
7.90
Draw no bet
1
2.12
2
1.57
Asian handicap
Away -2.5
8.30
1st half
1
3.48
X
2.16
2
2.72
First team to score
Home
2.09
No Goal
13.00
Away
1.76