FS Jelgava7th32 pts
Riga2nd70 pts
FS Jelgava7th32 pts
Riga2nd70 ptsIn the Virsliga table, FS Jelgava sit 7th with 32 points from 30 games, while Riga are 2nd with 70 points from 30 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates FS Jelgava at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Riga at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 7.82 | 5.16 | 1.27, which imply roughly 19.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Virsliga table: FS Jelgava are 7th (32 pts, 32-48 goals), Riga 2nd (70 pts, 85-30).
Over their last five matches, FS Jelgava averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Riga averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Riga.
FS Jelgava vs Riga — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rīgas FS | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 73 |
| 2 |  Riga | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 70 |
| 3 |  Auda | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 60 |
| 4 |  FK Liepaja | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42 |
| 5 |  BFC Daugavpils | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 38 |
| 6 |  Super Nova | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 35 |
| 7 |  FS Jelgava | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 |
| 8 |  Grobiņa | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
| 9 |  Tukums | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23 |
| 10 |  Ogre United | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 15 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
7.82
X
5.16
2
1.27