FK Liepaja4th42 pts
BFC Daugavpils5th38 pts
FK Liepaja4th42 pts
BFC Daugavpils5th38 ptsIn the Virsliga table, FK Liepaja sit 4th with 42 points from 30 games, while BFC Daugavpils are 5th with 38 points from 30 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates FK Liepaja at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and BFC Daugavpils at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.95 | 3.45 | 3.24, which imply roughly 51.3% for a FK Liepaja win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Virsliga table: FK Liepaja are 4th (42 pts, 41-43 goals), BFC Daugavpils 5th (38 pts, 35-35).
Over their last five matches, FK Liepaja averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; BFC Daugavpils averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : FK Liepaja or draw.
FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rīgas FS | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 73 |
| 2 |  Riga | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 70 |
| 3 |  Auda | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 60 |
| 4 |  FK Liepaja | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42 |
| 5 |  BFC Daugavpils | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 38 |
| 6 |  Super Nova | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 35 |
| 7 |  FS Jelgava | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 |
| 8 |  Grobiņa | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
| 9 |  Tukums | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23 |
| 10 |  Ogre United | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 15 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.95
X
3.45
2
3.24