Ogre United10th14 pts
FK Liepaja4th41 pts
Ogre United10th14 pts
FK Liepaja4th41 ptsIn the Virsliga table, Ogre United sit 10th with 14 points from 28 games, while FK Liepaja are 4th with 41 points from 29 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Ogre United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FK Liepaja at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.11 | 4.03 | 1.64, which imply roughly 24.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Virsliga table: Ogre United are 10th (14 pts, 27-73 goals), FK Liepaja 4th (41 pts, 39-41).
Over their last five matches, Ogre United averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; FK Liepaja averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or FK Liepaja.
Ogre United vs FK Liepaja — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rīgas FS | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 70 |
| 2 |  Riga | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 66 |
| 3 |  Auda | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 56 |
| 4 |  FK Liepaja | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 |  BFC Daugavpils | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 |  Super Nova | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 35 |
| 7 |  FS Jelgava | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 |
| 8 |  Grobiņa | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 24 |
| 9 |  Tukums | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23 |
| 10 |  Ogre United | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 14 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
5.41
X
4.28
2
1.45
Double chance
1X
2.43
X2
1.09
12
1.15
Both teams to score
Yes
1.63
No
2.12
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
4.95
Over 2.5
1.48
Under 2.5
2.41
Over 3.5
2.22
Under 3.5
1.58
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
17.67
Over 8.5
21.00
Over 4.5
3.81
Under 4.5
1.21
Over 7.5
17.00
Over 5.5
7.00
Under 5.5
1.06
Over 6.5
10.50
Under 6.5
1.02
Over 1.75
1.14
Under 1.75
4.45
Over 2
1.17
Under 2
4.00
Over 2.25
1.32
Under 2.25
2.88
Over 2.75
1.59
Under 2.75
2.16
Over 3
1.74
Under 3
1.89
Over 3.25
1.94
Under 3.25
1.72
Over 3.75
2.52
Under 3.75
1.41
Over 4
3.08
Under 4
1.28
Over 4.25
3.42
Under 4.25
1.23
Over 4.75
4.60
Under 4.75
1.13
Over 5
6.15
Under 5
1.06
Over 5.25
6.45
Under 5.25
1.05
Draw no bet
1
4.02
2
1.18
Asian handicap
Away -3.5
7.30
1st half
1
5.33
X
2.48
2
1.89
First team to score
Home
2.99
No Goal
17.75
Away
1.39