Super Nova6th32 pts
Tukums9th23 pts
Super Nova6th32 pts
Tukums9th23 ptsIn the Virsliga table, Super Nova sit 6th with 32 points from 27 games, while Tukums are 9th with 23 points from 29 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Super Nova at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tukums at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.04 | 3.37 | 3.10, which imply roughly 49% for a Super Nova win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Virsliga table: Super Nova are 6th (32 pts, 28-38 goals), Tukums 9th (23 pts, 43-59).
Over their last five matches, Super Nova averaged 1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Tukums averaged 1 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Super Nova or draw.
Super Nova vs Tukums — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rīgas FS | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 70 |
| 2 |  Riga | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 66 |
| 3 |  Auda | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 56 |
| 4 |  FK Liepaja | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 |  BFC Daugavpils | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 |  Super Nova | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32 |
| 7 |  FS Jelgava | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 |
| 8 |  Grobiņa | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 24 |
| 9 |  Tukums | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 23 |
| 10 |  Ogre United | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 14 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.41
X
3.29
2
2.57
Double chance
1X
1.39
X2
1.45
12
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
1.63
No
2.08
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.22
Under 1.5
3.46
Over 1.75
1.27
Under 1.75
3.14
Over 2
1.35
Under 2
2.74
Over 2.25
1.59
Under 2.25
2.16
Over 2.5
1.81
Under 2.5
1.88
Over 2.75
1.99
Under 2.75
1.66
Over 3.5
2.94
Under 3.5
1.31
Over 1.25
1.11
Under 1.25
4.95
Over 3
2.38
Under 3
1.46
Over 4.5
5.85
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 3.25
2.70
Under 3.25
1.36
Over 3.75
3.72
Under 3.75
1.20
Over 4
5.10
Under 4
1.10
Over 4.25
5.45
Under 4.25
1.08
Over 4.75
7.60
Under 4.75
1.03
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
10.50
Over 1
1.04
Under 1
7.60
Over 5.5
10.00
Under 5.5
1.03
Draw no bet
1
1.75
2
1.85
Asian handicap
Away 2.5
1.01
1st half
1
3.01
X
2.11
2
3.16
First team to score
Home
1.89
No Goal
12.50
Away
1.95