Riga2nd65 pts
BFC Daugavpils5th37 pts
Riga2nd65 pts
BFC Daugavpils5th37 ptsIn the Virsliga table, Riga sit 2nd with 65 points from 27 games, while BFC Daugavpils are 5th with 37 points from 28 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Riga at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and BFC Daugavpils at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.26 | 5.46 | 7.95, which imply roughly 79.4% for a Riga win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Virsliga table: Riga are 2nd (65 pts, 81-27 goals), BFC Daugavpils 5th (37 pts, 33-32).
Over their last five matches, Riga averaged 3.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; BFC Daugavpils averaged 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Riga.
Riga vs BFC Daugavpils — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rīgas FS | 27 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 69 |
| 2 |  Riga | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 65 |
| 3 |  Auda | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 56 |
| 4 |  FK Liepaja | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 |  BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 37 |
| 6 |  Super Nova | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32 |
| 7 |  FS Jelgava | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 |
| 8 |  Grobiņa | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 24 |
| 9 |  Tukums | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 23 |
| 10 |  Ogre United | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 14 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.31
X
4.97
2
6.99
Double chance
1X
1.04
X2
2.91
12
1.10
Both teams to score
Yes
1.57
No
2.21
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.08
Under 1.5
6.03
Over 2.5
1.35
Under 2.5
2.80
Over 3.5
1.90
Under 3.5
1.80
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
20.00
Over 8.5
17.00
Over 4.5
3.03
Under 4.5
1.32
Over 7.5
12.00
Under 7.5
1.01
Over 5.5
5.07
Under 5.5
1.11
Over 6.5
8.50
Under 6.5
1.05
Over 1.75
1.08
Under 1.75
5.65
Over 2
1.10
Under 2
5.15
Over 2.25
1.22
Under 2.25
3.50
Over 2.75
1.40
Under 2.75
2.56
Over 3
1.50
Under 3
2.28
Over 3.25
1.69
Under 3.25
1.98
Over 3.75
2.09
Under 3.75
1.63
Over 4
2.42
Under 4
1.44
Over 4.25
2.69
Under 4.25
1.36
Over 4.75
3.50
Under 4.75
1.22
Over 5
4.50
Under 5
1.13
Over 5.25
4.80
Under 5.25
1.12
Over 6
8.60
Under 6
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.12
2
5.50
Asian handicap
Away 4.5
1.02
1st half
1
1.74
X
2.66
2
6.16
First team to score
Home
1.33
No Goal
23.00
Away
3.11