Tukums9th20 pts
Ogre United10th14 pts
Tukums9th20 pts
Ogre United10th14 ptsIn the Virsliga table, Tukums sit 9th with 20 points from 28 games, while Ogre United are 10th with 14 points from 27 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Tukums at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ogre United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.94 | 3.61 | 3.25, which imply roughly 51.5% for a Tukums win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Virsliga table: Tukums are 9th (20 pts, 41-58 goals), Ogre United 10th (14 pts, 26-71).
Over their last five matches, Tukums averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Ogre United averaged 1 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Tukums or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Tukums vs Ogre United — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rīgas FS | 27 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 69 |
| 2 |  Riga | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 65 |
| 3 |  Auda | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 53 |
| 4 |  FK Liepaja | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 |  BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 37 |
| 6 |  FS Jelgava | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31 |
| 7 |  Super Nova | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 29 |
| 8 |  Grobiņa | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 |
| 9 |  Tukums | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Ogre United | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 14 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.76
X
3.68
2
3.72
Double chance
1X
1.20
X2
1.86
12
1.21
Both teams to score
Yes
1.55
No
2.24
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.17
Under 1.5
4.32
Over 2.5
1.58
Under 2.5
2.23
Over 3.5
2.44
Under 3.5
1.47
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
12.60
Over 4.5
4.26
Under 4.5
1.18
Over 7.5
17.00
Over 5.5
7.57
Under 5.5
1.05
Over 6.5
10.50
Under 6.5
1.02
Over 1.75
1.18
Under 1.75
3.88
Over 2
1.23
Under 2
3.42
Over 2.25
1.40
Under 2.25
2.62
Over 2.75
1.68
Under 2.75
1.96
Over 1.25
1.07
Under 1.25
5.85
Over 3
1.89
Under 3
1.74
Over 3.25
2.16
Under 3.25
1.59
Over 3.75
2.74
Under 3.75
1.35
Over 4
3.48
Under 4
1.22
Over 4.25
3.80
Under 4.25
1.19
Over 4.75
5.05
Under 4.75
1.10
Over 5
6.75
Under 5
1.04
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
9.30
Draw no bet
1
1.37
2
2.71
Asian handicap
Away 3
1.01
1st half
1
2.27
X
2.31
2
4.16
First team to score
Home
1.60
No Goal
16.25
Away
2.34