FK Liepaja5th37 pts
Riga2nd65 pts
FK Liepaja5th37 pts
Riga2nd65 ptsIn the Virsliga table, FK Liepaja sit 5th with 37 points from 27 games, while Riga are 2nd with 65 points from 26 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates FK Liepaja at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Riga at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.41 | 4.60 | 1.36, which imply roughly 21.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Virsliga table: FK Liepaja are 5th (37 pts, 36-39 goals), Riga 2nd (65 pts, 79-24).
Over their last five matches, FK Liepaja averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Riga averaged 3.4 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Riga.
FK Liepaja vs Riga — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rīgas FS | 27 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 69 |
| 2 |  Riga | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 65 |
| 3 |  Auda | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 53 |
| 4 |  BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 37 |
| 5 |  FK Liepaja | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 37 |
| 6 |  FS Jelgava | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31 |
| 7 |  Super Nova | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 29 |
| 8 |  Grobiņa | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 |
| 9 |  Tukums | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Ogre United | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 14 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
5.14
X
4.16
2
1.49
Double chance
1X
2.30
X2
1.11
12
1.16
Both teams to score
Yes
1.52
No
2.32
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.43
Under 2.5
2.58
Over 3.5
2.09
Under 3.5
1.65
Over 4.5
3.46
Under 4.5
1.25
Over 1.5
1.10
Under 1.5
5.60
Under 0.5
17.00
Over 8.5
21.00
Over 7.5
15.00
Under 7.5
1.01
Over 5.5
6.43
Under 5.5
1.08
Over 6.5
9.00
Under 6.5
1.04
Over 1.75
1.11
Under 1.75
4.96
Over 2
1.13
Under 2
4.50
Over 2.25
1.27
Under 2.25
3.14
Over 2.75
1.51
Under 2.75
2.30
Over 3
1.64
Under 3
2.02
Over 3.25
1.87
Under 3.25
1.78
Over 3.75
2.35
Under 3.75
1.47
Over 4
2.83
Under 4
1.33
Over 4.25
3.14
Under 4.25
1.27
Over 4.75
4.25
Under 4.75
1.15
Over 5
5.65
Under 5
1.08
Over 5.25
6.00
Under 5.25
1.06
Draw no bet
1
3.87
2
1.20
Asian handicap
Away -3.5
8.10
1st half
1
5.08
X
2.48
2
1.94
First team to score
Home
2.74
No Goal
17.33
Away
1.43