Grobiņa8th21 pts
BFC Daugavpils4th37 pts
Grobiņa8th21 pts
BFC Daugavpils4th37 ptsIn the Virsliga table, Grobiņa sit 8th with 21 points from 27 games, while BFC Daugavpils are 4th with 37 points from 27 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Grobiņa at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and BFC Daugavpils at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.86 | 3.43 | 2.15, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Virsliga table: Grobiņa are 8th (21 pts, 19-50 goals), BFC Daugavpils 4th (37 pts, 33-31).
Over their last five matches, Grobiņa averaged 0.8 goals scored and 3.4 conceded per game; BFC Daugavpils averaged 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or BFC Daugavpils.
Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rīgas FS | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 66 |
| 2 |  Riga | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 65 |
| 3 |  Auda | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 52 |
| 4 |  BFC Daugavpils | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37 |
| 5 |  FK Liepaja | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 37 |
| 6 |  Super Nova | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 28 |
| 7 |  FS Jelgava | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 28 |
| 8 |  Grobiņa | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 21 |
| 9 |  Tukums | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 20 |
| 10 |  Ogre United | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 14 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.24
X
3.43
2
1.96
Double chance
1X
1.67
X2
1.26
12
1.23
Both teams to score
Yes
1.64
No
2.10
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.21
Under 1.5
3.71
Over 2.5
1.73
Under 2.5
1.98
Over 3.5
2.85
Under 3.5
1.35
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
10.75
Over 4.5
5.67
Under 4.5
1.09
Over 7.5
21.00
Over 5.5
9.00
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
15.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.25
Under 1.75
3.28
Over 2
1.32
Under 2
2.88
Over 2.25
1.53
Under 2.25
2.26
Over 2.75
1.90
Under 2.75
1.74
Over 1.25
1.09
Under 1.25
5.25
Over 3
2.26
Under 3
1.51
Over 3.25
2.56
Under 3.25
1.40
Over 3.75
3.50
Under 3.75
1.22
Over 4
4.75
Under 4
1.12
Over 4.25
5.10
Under 4.25
1.10
Over 4.75
7.10
Under 4.75
1.04
Over 1
1.04
Under 1
7.60
Draw no bet
1
2.40
2
1.46
Asian handicap
Away -2.5
8.10
1st half
1
3.77
X
2.21
2
2.52
First team to score
Home
2.23
No Goal
13.25
Away
1.67