Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn• Meistriliiga, Estonia

#81.2:2.02-0FT11/10 · Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare2.6:1.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.131XBX4.05PIN21.74DAFMargin at best6.4%Books10Markets70Rating32 · 68Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 08:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.10	4.00	1.71	7.9%
Pinnacle	3.90	4.17	1.70	8.4%
1xBet	4.13	3.90	1.65	10.5%
Betfair	4.00	4.00	1.65	10.6%
William Hill	3.90	3.80	1.70	10.8%
Betano	3.90	3.90	1.67	11.2%
Bet365	4.00	3.80	1.67	11.2%
Marathonbet	4.05	3.90	1.63	11.7%
SBO	3.77	3.62	1.64	15.1%
BetVictor	3.60	3.40	1.60	19.7%
Best of all books	4.13	4.17	1.71	6.7%
Average	3.94	3.85	1.66	11.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KuressaareFlora Tallinn

Last 10#8Table position#21.07Points per game1.837Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 52.62.0Goals against · last 51.832Attack rating6847Defence rating5328Form rating7220H2H rating8032Goals model6832Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 15:30 UTC

Kuressaare

5W 2D 3L · goals 23:15 · per match 2.3 for, 1.5 against

11 Oct	H	Flora Tallinn	2-0	W
3 Oct	H	Saku Sporting	4-2	W
18 Sep	A	Laagri	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Tammeka	1-3	L
9 Sep	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-4	L
5 Sep	H	Trans Narva	3-1	W
29 Aug	H	Vaprus	2-2	D
22 Aug	A	Tammeka	0-1	L
16 Aug	A	Flora Tallinn	3-2	W
11 Aug	A	Kristiine JK	8-0	W

Flora Tallinn

5W 1D 4L · goals 19:20 · per match 1.9 for, 2.0 against

11 Oct	A	Kuressaare	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Vaprus	3-2	W
12 Sep	A	Nõmme United	3-2	W
8 Sep	A	Trans Narva	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Kalju Nomme	2-1	W
2 Sep	H	Tammeka	3-2	W
30 Aug	H	Paide	1-2	L
26 Aug	A	Tammeka	1-3	L
23 Aug	A	Vaprus	2-1	W
16 Aug	H	Kuressaare	2-3	L

Head to head

4Kuressaare wins

3draws

41Flora Tallinn wins

48 meetings · goals 27:144 · last 10: 1W 0D 9L for Kuressaare

16 Aug 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Flora Tallinn2-3Kuressaare
2 Jul 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare0-3Flora Tallinn
7 Apr 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Flora Tallinn2-1Kuressaare
1 Nov 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Flora Tallinn2-0Kuressaare
24 Aug 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare1-2Flora Tallinn
27 May 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare1-3Flora Tallinn
29 Mar 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Flora Tallinn5-0Kuressaare
26 Oct 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Flora Tallinn3-0Kuressaare
14 Sep 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare3-4Flora Tallinn
21 May 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Flora Tallinn1-0Kuressaare

Meistriliiga tableMeistriliigaupdated 12 Oct 18:00 UTC

In the Meistriliiga table, Kuressaare sit 8th with 32 points from 30 games, while Flora Tallinn are 2nd with 55 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	30	23	6	1	82:21	+61	75
2	Flora Tallinn	30	18	1	11	59:41	+18	55
3	Paide	30	15	6	9	48:37	+11	51
4	Kalju Nomme	30	15	5	10	52:28	+24	50
5	Tammeka	30	15	2	13	41:47	-6	47
6	Laagri	30	12	2	16	41:47	-6	38
7	Vaprus	30	10	5	15	41:59	-18	35
8	Kuressaare	30	9	5	16	33:49	-16	32
9	Nõmme United	30	9	1	20	47:72	-25	28
10	Trans Narva	30	5	5	20	24:67	-43	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.44X22%4.09258%1.56

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.02 → 3.92 -21.9%X4.25 → 3.86 -9.2%21.47 → 1.67 +13.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Pinnacle	1.49	2.50	7.1%
Betfair	1.45	2.55	8.2%
1xBet	1.44	2.42	10.8%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.42	10.8%
BetVictor	1.40	2.06	20.0%
Best of all books	1.50	2.55	5.9%
Average	1.45	2.41	10.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
William Hill	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.48	2.45	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.40	9.2%
BetVictor	1.36	2.10	21.1%
Best of all books	1.53	2.50	5.4%
Average	1.48	2.37	9.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kuressaare 10%Draw 45%Flora Tallinn 45%

The statistical model rated Kuressaare at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Flora Tallinn at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.44 | 4.09 | 1.56, which imply roughly 24.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Meistriliiga table: Kuressaare are 8th (32 pts, 33-49 goals), Flora Tallinn 2nd (55 pts, 59-41).

Over their last five matches, Kuressaare averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Flora Tallinn averaged 2.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Flora Tallinn.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.94	3.85	1.66

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.00	1.18	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
3.01	1.29

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.48	2.37

1st half

1	X	2
4.10	2.42	2.14

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.45	19.0	1.54

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.2
1.5	1.12	4.78
2.5	1.45	2.41
3.5	2.16	1.58
4.5	3.58	1.21
5.5	6.28	1.06
6.5	10.0	1.03
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	11.0
1.75	1.13	4.55
2	1.16	4.10
2.25	1.32	2.96
2.75	1.55	2.12
3	1.73	1.91
3.25	1.92	1.69
3.75	2.40	1.42
4	3.06	1.31
4.25	3.34	1.24
4.75	4.45	1.14
5	5.95	1.07
5.25	6.30	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.35	1.46
+0.5	2.03	1.63
+0.75	1.84	1.83
+1	1.62	2.07
+1.25	1.46	2.35
+1.5	1.39	2.59

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.50	1.01
-1	7.60	1.03
-0.75	5.12	1.12
-0.5	4.00	1.23
-0.25	3.52	1.24
0	3.14	1.31
+1.75	1.30	3.17
+2	1.17	4.25
+2.25	1.15	4.62
+2.5	1.13	5.05
+2.75	1.08	6.40
+3	1.11	8.20
+3.5	1.01	9.55

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.07	5.44
8.5	1.22	3.50
9.5	1.44	2.51
10.5	1.74	1.99
11.5	2.16	1.61
12.5	2.80	1.35
13.5	3.84	1.18
14.5	5.60	1.06

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.09	4.98
9	1.27	3.16
10	1.55	2.26
11	1.97	1.79
12	2.54	1.43
13	3.52	1.21
14	5.23	1.08