FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide• Meistriliiga, Estonia

#13.4:0.21-0FT11/10 · A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn1.6:1.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.47PINX4.60WH27.08PINMargin at best3.9%Books10Markets76Rating71 · 29Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 08:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.47	3.88	7.08	7.9%
Dafabet	1.45	4.50	5.80	8.4%
William Hill	1.40	4.60	5.80	10.4%
1xBet	1.40	4.05	6.88	10.7%
Betano	1.42	4.30	5.80	10.9%
Bet365	1.42	4.33	5.50	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.39	4.05	6.55	11.9%
Betfair	1.36	4.60	6.00	11.9%
SBO	1.39	4.34	5.03	14.9%
BetVictor	1.33	4.00	5.00	20.2%
Best of all books	1.47	4.60	7.08	3.9%
Average	1.40	4.26	5.94	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC Levadia TallinnPaide

Last 10#1Table position#32.50Points per game1.7013Form pts · last 593.4Goals for · last 51.60.2Goals against · last 51.068Attack rating3283Defence rating1759Form rating4171H2H rating2980Goals model2071Overall rating29

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 10:40 UTC

FC Levadia Tallinn

9W 1D 0L · goals 39:4 · per match 3.9 for, 0.4 against

11 Oct	H	Paide	1-0	W
7 Oct	H	Keila	10-0	W
20 Sep	A	Trans Narva	1-1	D
17 Sep	H	Tammeka	6-0	W
12 Sep	H	Vaprus	4-0	W
9 Sep	H	Kuressaare	4-0	W
6 Sep	A	Paide	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Kalju Nomme	3-2	W
26 Aug	H	Paide	4-1	W
21 Aug	H	Trans Narva	4-0	W

Paide

5W 1D 4L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Nõmme United	3-1	W
16 Sep	H	Vaprus	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Laagri	1-2	L
9 Sep	A	Tammeka	2-0	W
6 Sep	H	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-2	L
30 Aug	A	Flora Tallinn	2-1	W
26 Aug	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	1-4	L
23 Aug	H	Nõmme United	4-1	W
16 Aug	A	Trans Narva	1-1	D

Head to head

46FC Levadia Tallinn wins

10draws

10Paide wins

66 meetings · goals 158:59 · last 10: 6W 1D 3L for FC Levadia Tallinn

6 Sep 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide0-2FC Levadia Tallinn
26 Aug 2026Cup	Cup	FC Levadia Tallinn4-1Paide
17 May 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide1-3FC Levadia Tallinn
22 Mar 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn2-2Paide
22 Oct 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn1-2Paide
4 Jul 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide0-3FC Levadia Tallinn
11 May 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn2-1Paide
23 Apr 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide2-1FC Levadia Tallinn
9 Nov 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide3-0FC Levadia Tallinn
29 May 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide0-1FC Levadia Tallinn

Meistriliiga tableMeistriliigaupdated 12 Oct 18:00 UTC

In the Meistriliiga table, FC Levadia Tallinn sit 1st with 75 points from 30 games, while Paide are 3rd with 51 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	30	23	6	1	82:21	+61	75
2	Flora Tallinn	30	18	1	11	59:41	+18	55
3	Paide	30	15	6	9	48:37	+11	51
4	Kalju Nomme	30	15	5	10	52:28	+24	50
5	Tammeka	30	15	2	13	41:47	-6	47
6	Laagri	30	12	2	16	41:47	-6	38
7	Vaprus	30	10	5	15	41:59	-18	35
8	Kuressaare	30	9	5	16	33:49	-16	32
9	Nõmme United	30	9	1	20	47:72	-25	28
10	Trans Narva	30	5	5	20	24:67	-43	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.40X21%4.26215%5.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.36 → 1.40 +2.9%X4.74 → 4.27 -9.9%25.99 → 5.90 -1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.44	2.67	6.9%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betfair	1.36	2.88	8.3%
1xBet	1.36	2.69	10.7%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.69	10.7%
BetVictor	1.30	2.30	20.4%
Best of all books	1.44	2.88	4.2%
Average	1.37	2.66	10.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.52	2.34	8.5%
William Hill	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.30	9.3%
BetVictor	1.40	2.05	20.2%
Best of all books	1.53	2.50	5.4%
Average	1.50	2.31	9.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Levadia Tallinn 50%Draw 50%Paide 0%

The statistical model rated FC Levadia Tallinn at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Paide at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.40 | 4.26 | 5.94, which imply roughly 71.4% for a FC Levadia Tallinn win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Meistriliiga table: FC Levadia Tallinn are 1st (75 pts, 82-21 goals), Paide 3rd (51 pts, 48-37).

Over their last five matches, FC Levadia Tallinn averaged 3.4 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Paide averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : FC Levadia Tallinn.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.40	4.26	5.94

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.60	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.15	4.21

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.50	2.31

1st half

1	X	2
1.82	2.56	5.49

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.38	19.1	2.96

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	14.3
1.5	1.09	5.52
2.5	1.37	2.66
3.5	1.93	1.75
4.5	3.02	1.29
5.5	5.16	1.10
6.5	8.75	1.05
7.5	12.5	1.01
8.5	19.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	12.0
1.75	1.10	5.15
2	1.12	4.70
2.25	1.25	3.28
2.75	1.44	2.35
3	1.55	2.14
3.25	1.73	1.89
3.75	2.09	1.56
4	2.42	1.42
4.25	2.77	1.37
4.75	3.48	1.22
5	4.40	1.14
5.25	4.70	1.12
6	8.20	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.26	1.51
-1.5	2.00	1.66
-1.25	1.83	1.83
-1	1.61	2.07
-0.75	1.48	2.32
-0.5	1.46	2.66

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	9.80	1.01
-3.5	5.65	1.08
-3.25	5.62	1.10
-3	5.30	1.11
-2.75	3.96	1.19
-2.5	3.24	1.28
-2.25	3.02	1.32
-2	2.74	1.39
-0.25	1.27	3.34
0	1.13	4.95
+0.25	1.11	5.55
+0.5	1.14	5.75
+0.75	1.06	6.88
+1	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.11	4.58
8.5	1.29	3.05
9.5	1.55	2.26
10.5	1.92	1.81
11.5	2.41	1.48
12.5	3.22	1.26
13.5	4.58	1.11
14.5	6.92	1.02

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.01	7.23
8	1.15	4.16
9	1.37	2.74
10	1.70	2.02
11	2.17	1.60
12	2.92	1.32
13	4.22	1.14
14	6.50	1.03