Tammeka vs Nõmme United• Meistriliiga, Estonia

#51.2:2.44-0FT10/10 · Tamme Stadium, Tartu1.2:2.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00B365X4.10PIN23.50PINMargin at best3.0%Books8Markets54Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 08:39 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.82	4.10	3.50	7.9%
Dafabet	1.92	3.90	3.30	8.0%
1xBet	1.83	3.82	3.35	10.7%
Bet365	2.00	3.80	2.90	10.8%
Betfair	1.80	4.00	3.30	10.9%
Betano	1.88	3.80	3.15	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.81	3.82	3.28	11.9%
BetVictor	1.75	3.60	2.88	19.6%
Best of all books	2.00	4.10	3.50	3.0%
Average	1.85	3.86	3.21	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TammekaNõmme United

Last 10#5Table position#91.57Points per game0.909Form pts · last 531.2Goals for · last 51.22.4Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5045Defence rating5567Form rating33100H2H rating060Goals model4060Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 21:40 UTC

Tammeka

6W 0D 4L · goals 21:17 · per match 2.1 for, 1.7 against

10 Oct	H	Nõmme United	4-0	W
2 Oct	H	Viimsi	4-1	W
20 Sep	H	Kalju Nomme	1-3	L
17 Sep	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-6	L
13 Sep	A	Kuressaare	3-1	W
9 Sep	H	Paide	0-2	L
6 Sep	A	Laagri	2-0	W
2 Sep	A	Flora Tallinn	2-3	L
30 Aug	A	Trans Narva	2-0	W
26 Aug	H	Flora Tallinn	3-1	W

Nõmme United

3W 0D 7L · goals 12:21 · per match 1.2 for, 2.1 against

10 Oct	A	Tammeka	0-4	L
19 Sep	H	Paide	1-3	L
12 Sep	H	Flora Tallinn	2-3	L
8 Sep	A	Kalju Nomme	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Vaprus	0-1	L
2 Sep	H	Vaprus	3-2	W
29 Aug	H	Laagri	1-2	L
23 Aug	A	Paide	1-4	L
19 Aug	A	Hiiumaa	2-0	W
14 Aug	H	Tammeka	0-1	L

Head to head

6Tammeka wins

1draws

1Nõmme United wins

8 meetings · goals 19:8 · last 8: 6W 1D 1L for Tammeka

14 Aug 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Nõmme United0-1Tammeka
15 May 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Tammeka3-1Nõmme United
21 Mar 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Nõmme United2-3Tammeka
31 Jan 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Nõmme United0-6Tammeka
9 Nov 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Nõmme United1-2Tammeka
11 Aug 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Tammeka1-1Nõmme United
4 Jul 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Tammeka2-1Nõmme United
5 Apr 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Nõmme United2-1Tammeka

Meistriliiga tableMeistriliigaupdated 13 Oct 19:01 UTC

In the Meistriliiga table, Tammeka sit 5th with 47 points from 30 games, while Nõmme United are 9th with 28 points from 31.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	30	23	6	1	82:21	+61	75
2	Flora Tallinn	30	18	1	11	59:41	+18	55
3	Paide	30	15	6	9	48:37	+11	51
4	Kalju Nomme	31	15	6	10	54:30	+24	51
5	Tammeka	30	15	2	13	41:47	-6	47
6	Laagri	31	13	2	16	43:47	-4	41
7	Vaprus	31	10	6	15	43:61	-18	36
8	Kuressaare	30	9	5	16	33:49	-16	32
9	Nõmme United	31	9	1	21	47:74	-27	28
10	Trans Narva	30	5	5	20	24:67	-43	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.81X23%3.92227%3.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.97 → 1.86 -5.6%X3.76 → 3.86 +2.7%22.96 → 3.18 +7.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betfair	1.30	3.20	8.2%
1xBet	1.30	2.97	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.30	2.97	10.6%
BetVictor	1.25	2.50	20.0%
Best of all books	1.40	3.20	2.7%
Average	1.31	2.88	11.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.33	3.10	7.4%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.32	3.05	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.32	2.98	9.3%
BetVictor	1.25	2.50	20.0%
Best of all books	1.40	3.10	3.7%
Average	1.32	2.88	10.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tammeka 45%Draw 45%Nõmme United 10%

The statistical model rated Tammeka at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nõmme United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.81 | 3.92 | 3.31, which imply roughly 55.2% for a Tammeka win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Meistriliiga table: Tammeka are 5th (47 pts, 41-47 goals), Nõmme United 9th (28 pts, 47-74).

Over their last five matches, Tammeka averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Nõmme United averaged 1.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Tammeka or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.85	3.86	3.21

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.27	1.75	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.47	2.27

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.32	2.88

1st half

1	X	2
2.30	2.51	3.46

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	24.0	2.13

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	21.0
1.5	1.07	6.08
2.5	1.31	2.88
3.5	1.83	1.83
4.5	2.80	1.33
5.5	4.53	1.12
6.5	8.50	1.05
7.5	12.0	1.01
8.5	17.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	13.5
1.75	1.06	6.00
2	1.08	5.55
2.25	1.19	3.78
2.75	1.37	2.59
3	1.44	2.37
3.25	1.62	2.02
3.75	1.96	1.66
4	2.24	1.49
4.25	2.56	1.42
4.75	3.28	1.25
5	4.20	1.15
5.25	4.50	1.13
6	8.00	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.76	1.39
-1	2.40	1.45
-0.75	2.04	1.63
-0.5	1.84	1.80
-0.25	1.63	2.05
0	1.44	2.47

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.60	1.01
-3	8.80	1.02
-2.5	5.45	1.08
-2.25	6.25	1.12
-2	5.13	1.12
-1.75	3.77	1.21
-1.5	3.10	1.31
+0.25	1.36	2.73
+0.5	1.38	3.00
+0.75	1.20	3.86
+1	1.11	5.33
+1.25	1.10	5.77
+1.5	1.08	6.17
+1.75	1.02	8.10
+2	1.02	9.30
+2.5	1.01	10.5