Kalju Nomme vs Laagri• Meistriliiga, Estonia

#41.8:1.60-1FT10/10 · Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn1.2:1.4#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50WHX4.50DAF25.50BFRMargin at best7.1%Books10Markets56Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 08:39 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.50	4.50	5.40	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.50	4.42	5.45	7.6%
Betfair	1.44	4.40	5.50	10.4%
1xBet	1.47	4.20	5.31	10.7%
Betano	1.50	4.20	4.90	10.9%
Bet365	1.48	4.20	5.00	11.4%
William Hill	1.50	4.00	5.00	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.46	4.20	5.10	11.9%
SBO	1.45	4.00	4.84	14.6%
BetVictor	1.40	3.75	4.60	19.8%
Best of all books	1.50	4.50	5.50	7.1%
Average	1.47	4.19	5.11	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Kalju NommeLaagri

Last 10#4Table position#61.65Points per game1.326Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 51.460Attack rating4047Defence rating5346Form rating5480H2H rating2069Goals model3162Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 14:50 UTC

Kalju Nomme

4W 0D 6L · goals 24:13 · per match 2.4 for, 1.3 against

10 Oct	H	Laagri	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Tammeka	3-1	W
12 Sep	H	Trans Narva	2-0	W
8 Sep	H	Nõmme United	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Flora Tallinn	1-2	L
30 Aug	H	FC Levadia Tallinn	2-3	L
26 Aug	A	Trans Narva	0-2	L
22 Aug	A	Laagri	0-1	L
16 Aug	H	Vaprus	3-1	W
11 Aug	A	Poseidon	12-0	W

Laagri

6W 1D 3L · goals 22:10 · per match 2.2 for, 1.0 against

10 Oct	A	Kalju Nomme	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	FC Tallinn	10-0	W
18 Sep	H	Kuressaare	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Paide	2-1	W
9 Sep	A	Vaprus	2-3	L
6 Sep	H	Tammeka	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Nõmme United	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	Kalju Nomme	1-0	W
16 Aug	H	FC Levadia Tallinn	1-2	L
11 Aug	H	Tamper	3-1	W

Head to head

12Kalju Nomme wins

2draws

2Laagri wins

16 meetings · goals 27:10 · last 10: 8W 1D 1L for Kalju Nomme

22 Aug 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Laagri1-0Kalju Nomme
20 May 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kalju Nomme1-0Laagri
8 Apr 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Laagri0-2Kalju Nomme
19 Oct 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Laagri1-3Kalju Nomme
24 Sep 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Laagri2-3Kalju Nomme
18 Jun 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kalju Nomme1-0Laagri
9 Apr 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kalju Nomme3-0Laagri
11 Jan 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Kalju Nomme0-0Laagri
4 Feb 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Kalju Nomme3-0Laagri
14 Oct 2023Cup	Cup	Kalju Nomme3-1Laagri

Meistriliiga tableMeistriliigaupdated 13 Oct 19:01 UTC

In the Meistriliiga table, Kalju Nomme sit 4th with 51 points from 31 games, while Laagri are 6th with 41 points from 31.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	30	23	6	1	82:21	+61	75
2	Flora Tallinn	30	18	1	11	59:41	+18	55
3	Paide	30	15	6	9	48:37	+11	51
4	Kalju Nomme	31	15	6	10	54:30	+24	51
5	Tammeka	30	15	2	13	41:47	-6	47
6	Laagri	31	13	2	16	43:47	-4	41
7	Vaprus	31	10	6	15	43:61	-18	36
8	Kuressaare	30	9	5	16	33:49	-16	32
9	Nõmme United	31	9	1	21	47:74	-27	28
10	Trans Narva	30	5	5	20	24:67	-43	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.47X21%4.19218%5.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.52 → 1.47 -3.3%X4.20 → 4.21 +0.2%24.66 → 5.14 +10.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Pinnacle	1.49	2.51	7.0%
Betfair	1.45	2.55	8.2%
1xBet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
BetVictor	1.40	2.06	20.0%
Best of all books	1.50	2.55	5.9%
Average	1.46	2.40	10.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.55	2.30	8.0%
1xBet	1.58	2.21	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.17	9.4%
BetVictor	1.45	1.95	20.2%
Best of all books	1.67	2.30	3.4%
Average	1.57	2.16	9.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kalju Nomme 45%Draw 45%Laagri 10%

The statistical model rated Kalju Nomme at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Laagri at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.47 | 4.19 | 5.11, which imply roughly 68% for a Kalju Nomme win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Meistriliiga table: Kalju Nomme are 4th (51 pts, 54-30 goals), Laagri 6th (41 pts, 43-47).

Over their last five matches, Kalju Nomme averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Laagri averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Kalju Nomme or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.47	4.19	5.11

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.34	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	3.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.16

1st half

1	X	2
1.94	2.46	4.91

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.42	18.4	2.74

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.3
1.5	1.12	4.70
2.5	1.46	2.40
3.5	2.17	1.57
4.5	3.58	1.21
5.5	6.20	1.06
6.5	10.0	1.03
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.5
1.75	1.14	4.35
2	1.18	3.92
2.25	1.33	2.94
2.75	1.56	2.12
3	1.73	1.91
3.25	1.92	1.69
3.75	2.52	1.44
4	3.05	1.28
4.25	3.34	1.24
4.75	4.40	1.14
5	5.85	1.07
5.25	6.15	1.06
6	9.30	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.61	1.43
-1.5	2.20	1.54
-1.25	1.97	1.69
-1	1.75	1.92
-0.75	1.56	2.17
-0.5	1.45	2.40

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.30	1.03
-3	6.70	1.07
-2.75	4.90	1.13
-2.5	3.90	1.20
-2.25	3.57	1.23
-2	3.23	1.28
-0.25	1.33	3.00
0	1.18	4.08
+0.25	1.15	4.52
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.07	6.72
+1	1.02	8.35
+1.5	1.02	8.75