Paide4th45 pts
Vaprus7th34 pts
Paide4th45 pts
Vaprus7th34 ptsIn the Meistriliiga table, Paide sit 4th with 45 points from 27 games, while Vaprus are 7th with 34 points from 27 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Paide at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Vaprus at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.42 | 4.34 | 5.42, which imply roughly 70.4% for a Paide win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Meistriliiga table: Paide are 4th (45 pts, 43-35 goals), Vaprus 7th (34 pts, 37-52).
Over their last five matches, Paide averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Vaprus averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Paide or draw.
Paide vs Vaprus — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 68 |
| 2 |  Flora Tallinn | 28 | 17 | 1 | 10 | 52 |
| 3 |  Kalju Nomme | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 47 |
| 4 |  Paide | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 45 |
| 5 |  Tammeka | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 44 |
| 6 |  Laagri | 28 | 11 | 1 | 16 | 34 |
| 7 |  Vaprus | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 34 |
| 8 |  Nõmme United | 28 | 9 | 1 | 18 | 28 |
| 9 |  Kuressaare | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 28 |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 28 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 18 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.58
X
3.93
2
4.56
Double chance
1X
1.14
X2
2.13
12
1.18
Both teams to score
Yes
1.54
No
2.27
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.12
Under 1.5
4.75
Over 1.75
1.14
Under 1.75
4.33
Over 2
1.18
Under 2
3.88
Over 2.25
1.33
Under 2.25
2.83
Over 2.5
1.50
Under 2.5
2.37
Over 2.75
1.60
Under 2.75
2.08
Over 3.5
2.25
Under 3.5
1.55
Over 3
1.78
Under 3
1.84
Over 4.5
3.80
Under 4.5
1.19
Over 3.25
2.01
Under 3.25
1.68
Over 3.75
2.56
Under 3.75
1.40
Over 4
3.14
Under 4
1.27
Over 4.25
3.50
Under 4.25
1.22
Over 4.75
4.70
Under 4.75
1.12
Over 5
6.30
Under 5
1.06
Over 5.5
6.95
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 5.25
6.65
Under 5.25
1.05
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
10.50
Over 1
1.03
Under 1
8.50
Draw no bet
1
1.26
2
3.15
Asian handicap
Away 2.75
1.08
1st half
1
2.08
X
2.35
2
4.67
First team to score
Home
1.46
No Goal
17.50
Away
2.67