Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II• MLS Next Pro, USA

#91.8:2.21-1FT20/09 · Starfire Sports2.0:1.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.32BTNX3.61PIN22.72PINMargin at best7.6%Books3Markets42Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.40	3.70	2.45	9.5%
Bet365	2.30	3.60	2.50	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.34	3.55	2.42	12.2%
Best of all books	2.40	3.70	2.50	8.7%
Average	2.35	3.62	2.46	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Tacoma DefiancePortland Timbers II

Last 10#9Table position#21.46Points per game2.046Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 52.02.2Goals against · last 51.047Attack rating5331Defence rating6933Form rating670H2H rating10042Goals model5836Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Sep 17:01 UTC

Tacoma Defiance

6W 0D 4L · goals 21:19 · per match 2.1 for, 1.9 against

14 Sep	A	Ventura County	0-3	L
6 Sep	A	The Town	2-1	W
31 Aug	A	Real Monarchs	0-3	L
25 Aug	H	Sporting KC II	4-0	W
17 Aug	A	Los Angeles FC II	3-4	L
9 Aug	A	North Texas	1-3	L
2 Aug	H	Vancouver Whitecaps II	4-2	W
27 Jul	H	Colorado Rapids II	2-1	W
20 Jul	A	Real Monarchs	4-2	W
13 Jul	A	The Town	1-0	W

Portland Timbers II

5W 5D 0L · goals 14:7 · per match 1.4 for, 0.7 against

20 Sep	A	Tacoma Defiance	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	St. Louis City II	1-1	D
7 Sep	H	Vancouver Whitecaps II	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Austin II	2-1	W
24 Aug	A	Ventura County	2-2	D
16 Aug	A	North Texas	3-0	W
8 Aug	H	Los Angeles FC II	0-0	D
1 Aug	A	Minnesota United II	2-1	W
26 Jul	H	Real Monarchs	1-0	W
18 Jul	A	St. Louis City II	2-1	W

Head to head

8Tacoma Defiance wins

1draws

11Portland Timbers II wins

20 meetings · goals 38:36 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for Tacoma Defiance

6 Jul 2026MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Tacoma Defiance0-2Portland Timbers II
31 May 2026MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Portland Timbers II1-0Tacoma Defiance
25 Aug 2025MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Portland Timbers II2-1Tacoma Defiance
28 Jul 2025MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Tacoma Defiance1-2Portland Timbers II
19 May 2025MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Portland Timbers II2-1Tacoma Defiance
9 Sep 2024MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Tacoma Defiance5-2Portland Timbers II
1 Jul 2024MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Tacoma Defiance1-0Portland Timbers II
11 May 2024MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Portland Timbers II4-1Tacoma Defiance
5 Sep 2023MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Tacoma Defiance4-0Portland Timbers II
6 Aug 2023MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Portland Timbers II1-1Tacoma Defiance

MLS Next Pro tableEastern Conferenceupdated 16 Oct 14:40 UTC

In the MLS Next Pro table, Tacoma Defiance sit 9th with 41 points from 28 games, while Portland Timbers II are 2nd with 57 points from 28.

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	28	20	8	67:39	+28	58
1	Austin II	28	21	7	54:21	+33	65
2	Chattanooga	28	19	9	56:39	+17	56
2	Portland Timbers II	28	19	9	37:29	+8	57
3	Atlanta United II	28	15	13	62:46	+16	48
3	Ventura County	28	18	10	58:36	+22	53
4	Columbus Crew II	28	17	11	49:43	+6	48
4	Houston Dynamo FC II	28	18	10	53:33	+20	52
5	New England II	28	16	12	47:42	+5	48
5	Minnesota United II	28	15	13	43:39	+4	45
6	New York City II	28	16	12	50:44	+6	47
6	Los Angeles FC II	28	14	14	50:48	+2	45
7	Connecticut FC	28	16	12	59:52	+7	46
7	St. Louis City II	28	14	14	42:40	+2	44
8	New York RB II	28	15	13	58:48	+10	46
8	The Town	28	14	14	51:36	+15	42
9	Huntsville City	28	14	14	49:47	+2	44
9	Tacoma Defiance	28	14	14	40:44	-4	41
10	Orlando City II	28	15	13	55:56	-1	44
10	North Texas	28	14	14	42:41	+1	40
11	Philadelphia Union II	28	14	14	37:40	-3	43
11	Real Monarchs	28	12	16	38:55	-17	33
12	Toronto II	28	13	15	48:56	-8	39
12	Vancouver Whitecaps II	28	10	18	39:62	-23	27
13	Chicago Fire II	28	13	15	50:48	+2	39
13	Sporting KC II	28	7	21	36:75	-39	23
14	Carolina Core	28	10	18	40:53	-13	31
14	Colorado Rapids II	28	6	22	28:52	-24	21
15	FC Cincinnati II	28	7	21	32:62	-30	20
16	Inter Miami II	28	4	24	30:74	-44	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.22X26%3.54234%2.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
BetVictor	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Best of all books	1.53	2.60	3.8%
Average	1.47	2.48	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.60	9.9%
Best of all books	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Average	1.40	2.67	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tacoma Defiance 10%Draw 45%Portland Timbers II 45%

The statistical model rated Tacoma Defiance at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Portland Timbers II at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.22 | 3.54 | 2.67, which imply roughly 28.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the MLS Next Pro table: Tacoma Defiance are 9th (41 pts, 40-44 goals), Portland Timbers II 2nd (57 pts, 37-29).

Over their last five matches, Tacoma Defiance averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Portland Timbers II averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Portland Timbers II.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.35	3.62	2.46

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.44	1.47	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.82	1.90

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.40	2.68

1st half

1	X	2
2.86	2.36	2.98

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.86	18.5	1.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.11	5.23
2.5	1.47	2.48
3.5	2.12	1.62
4.5	3.59	1.23
5.5	6.55	1.06

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.13	4.60
2	1.16	4.15
2.25	1.30	2.97
2.75	1.55	2.22
3	1.69	1.98
3.25	1.90	1.76
3.75	2.38	1.48
4	2.88	1.32
4.25	3.14	1.27
4.75	4.20	1.15
5	5.50	1.08
5.25	5.80	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.70	1.36
-0.5	2.36	1.50
-0.25	2.05	1.63
0	1.81	1.86
+0.25	1.60	2.13
+0.5	1.47	2.44

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.20	1.02
-2	7.60	1.03
-1.75	5.35	1.09
-1.5	4.25	1.15
-1.25	3.88	1.18
-1	3.50	1.22
+0.75	1.33	2.83
+1	1.20	3.72
+1.25	1.16	4.10
+1.5	1.14	4.45
+1.75	1.08	5.60
+2	1.02	7.90
+2.5	1.01	8.60