Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II• MLS Next Pro, USA

#112.4:2.01-1FT20/09 · Subaru Park1.8:1.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.02BTNX4.00BFR23.08PINMargin at best7.0%Books3Markets43Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.30	3.90	2.50	9.1%
Bet365	2.20	3.80	2.50	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.23	3.70	2.48	12.2%
Best of all books	2.30	3.90	2.50	9.1%
Average	2.24	3.80	2.49	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Philadelphia Union IINew York City II

Last 10#11Table position#61.54Points per game1.6812Form pts · last 592.4Goals for · last 51.82.0Goals against · last 51.857Attack rating4347Defence rating5357Form rating4360H2H rating4053Goals model4756Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Sep 17:01 UTC

Philadelphia Union II

5W 2D 3L · goals 15:18 · per match 1.5 for, 1.8 against

13 Sep	A	Chicago Fire II	2-1	W
4 Sep	H	Columbus Crew II	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	FC Cincinnati II	3-2	W
23 Aug	H	Connecticut FC	2-4	L
16 Aug	A	New England II	4-3	W
8 Aug	H	FC Cincinnati II	2-1	W
1 Aug	A	New York City II	1-1	D
25 Jul	A	Chattanooga	0-4	L
18 Jul	A	Columbus Crew II	0-2	L
12 Jul	H	Huntsville City	0-0	D

New York City II

5W 1D 4L · goals 22:17 · per match 2.2 for, 1.7 against

13 Sep	H	Connecticut FC	1-0	W
8 Sep	H	New York RB II	4-2	W
1 Sep	A	Inter Miami II	2-4	L
28 Aug	A	Toronto II	0-2	L
22 Aug	H	New England II	2-1	W
19 Aug	H	FC Cincinnati II	5-0	W
15 Aug	A	Columbus Crew II	2-4	L
11 Aug	H	Orlando City II	3-0	W
1 Aug	H	Philadelphia Union II	1-1	D
26 Jul	A	Atlanta United II	2-3	L

Head to head

9Philadelphia Union II wins

1draws

4New York City II wins

14 meetings · goals 26:21 · last 10: 6W 1D 3L for Philadelphia Union II

1 Aug 2026MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	New York City II1-1Philadelphia Union II
14 Jun 2026MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Philadelphia Union II0-1New York City II
5 Oct 2025MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Philadelphia Union II4-3New York City II
26 Jul 2025MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	New York City II0-2Philadelphia Union II
23 Apr 2025MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	New York City II1-4Philadelphia Union II
20 Oct 2024MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Philadelphia Union II1-0New York City II
23 Sep 2024MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Philadelphia Union II4-3New York City II
20 Jul 2024MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	New York City II2-1Philadelphia Union II
3 Sep 2023MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	New York City II2-0Philadelphia Union II
4 Aug 2023MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Philadelphia Union II2-0New York City II

MLS Next Pro tableEastern Conferenceupdated 16 Oct 14:40 UTC

In the MLS Next Pro table, Philadelphia Union II sit 11th with 43 points from 28 games, while New York City II are 6th with 47 points from 28.

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	28	20	8	67:39	+28	58
1	Austin II	28	21	7	54:21	+33	65
2	Chattanooga	28	19	9	56:39	+17	56
2	Portland Timbers II	28	19	9	37:29	+8	57
3	Atlanta United II	28	15	13	62:46	+16	48
3	Ventura County	28	18	10	58:36	+22	53
4	Columbus Crew II	28	17	11	49:43	+6	48
4	Houston Dynamo FC II	28	18	10	53:33	+20	52
5	New England II	28	16	12	47:42	+5	48
5	Minnesota United II	28	15	13	43:39	+4	45
6	New York City II	28	16	12	50:44	+6	47
6	Los Angeles FC II	28	14	14	50:48	+2	45
7	Connecticut FC	28	16	12	59:52	+7	46
7	St. Louis City II	28	14	14	42:40	+2	44
8	New York RB II	28	15	13	58:48	+10	46
8	The Town	28	14	14	51:36	+15	42
9	Huntsville City	28	14	14	49:47	+2	44
9	Tacoma Defiance	28	14	14	40:44	-4	41
10	Orlando City II	28	15	13	55:56	-1	44
10	North Texas	28	14	14	42:41	+1	40
11	Philadelphia Union II	28	14	14	37:40	-3	43
11	Real Monarchs	28	12	16	38:55	-17	33
12	Toronto II	28	13	15	48:56	-8	39
12	Vancouver Whitecaps II	28	10	18	39:62	-23	27
13	Chicago Fire II	28	13	15	50:48	+2	39
13	Sporting KC II	28	7	21	36:75	-39	23
14	Carolina Core	28	10	18	40:53	-13	31
14	Colorado Rapids II	28	6	22	28:52	-24	21
15	FC Cincinnati II	28	7	21	32:62	-30	20
16	Inter Miami II	28	4	24	30:74	-44	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.25X24%3.74236%2.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
BetVictor	1.30	3.20	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.31	2.92	10.6%
Best of all books	1.40	3.20	2.7%
Average	1.34	2.96	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.29	3.25	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.30	3.04	9.8%
Best of all books	1.30	3.25	7.7%
Average	1.29	3.15	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Philadelphia Union II 45%Draw 45%New York City II 10%

The statistical model rated Philadelphia Union II at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and New York City II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.25 | 3.74 | 2.50, which imply roughly 44.4% for a Philadelphia Union II win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the MLS Next Pro table: Philadelphia Union II are 11th (43 pts, 37-40 goals), New York City II 6th (47 pts, 50-44).

Over their last five matches, Philadelphia Union II averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; New York City II averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Philadelphia Union II or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.24	3.80	2.49

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.42	1.51	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.77	1.97

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.30	3.15

1st half

1	X	2
2.74	2.47	2.98

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.80	25.0	1.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.06	6.70
2.5	1.34	2.96
3.5	1.82	1.85
4.5	2.86	1.35
5.5	5.05	1.12

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.07	5.95
2	1.08	5.45
2.25	1.19	3.74
2.75	1.37	2.66
3	1.47	2.41
3.25	1.64	2.05
3.75	2.00	1.68
4	2.30	1.51
4.25	2.56	1.40
4.75	3.34	1.24
5	4.30	1.15
5.25	4.60	1.13
6	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.56	1.40
-0.5	2.27	1.54
-0.25	1.99	1.68
0	1.76	1.92
+0.25	1.57	2.17
+0.5	1.47	2.44

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.70	1.03
-2	6.95	1.04
-1.75	4.95	1.11
-1.5	3.94	1.17
-1.25	3.58	1.21
-1	3.28	1.25
+0.75	1.32	2.88
+1	1.19	3.80
+1.25	1.16	4.15
+1.5	1.13	4.55
+1.75	1.07	5.75
+2	1.02	8.20
+2.5	1.01	8.90