Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica• Primera B, Chile

#140.4:0.41-2FT03/10 · Santa Cruz1.4:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.65BTNX3.361XB22.671XBMargin at best5.0%Books4Markets39Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Jul 20:24 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.93	3.18	2.25	10.0%
Betfair	2.88	3.25	2.20	10.9%
Marathonbet	2.88	3.18	2.23	11.0%
Bet365	2.80	3.20	2.20	12.4%
Best of all books	2.93	3.25	2.25	9.3%
Average	2.87	3.20	2.22	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 78 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Deportes Santa CruzSan Marcos de Arica

Last 10#14Table position#80.81Points per game1.444Form pts · last 590.4Goals for · last 51.40.4Goals against · last 51.422Attack rating7878Defence rating2250Form rating5071H2H rating2934Goals model6652Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 22:01 UTC

Deportes Santa Cruz

2W 3D 5L · goals 7:12 · per match 0.7 for, 1.2 against

3 Oct	H	San Marcos de Arica	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	O'Higgins	1-3	L
24 Sep	A	O'Higgins	1-2	L
14 Sep	H	Recoleta	0-0	D
9 Sep	A	Deportes Iquique	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Union Espanola	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Union San Felipe	0-0	D
22 Aug	A	Magallanes	0-1	L
17 Aug	H	San Luis	0-2	L
14 Aug	A	Curico Unido	2-1	W

San Marcos de Arica

3W 1D 6L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

3 Oct	A	Deportes Santa Cruz	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Curico Unido	3-0	W
9 Sep	A	Recoleta	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Deportes Copiapo	2-1	W
1 Sep	A	Cobreloa	0-2	L
22 Aug	H	Rangers de Talca	1-2	L
16 Aug	A	Union Espanola	1-2	L
13 Aug	H	Union San Felipe	0-1	L
8 Aug	A	Santiago Wanderers	1-1	D
6 Aug	A	Coquimbo Unido	0-1	L

Head to head

5Deportes Santa Cruz wins

2draws

4San Marcos de Arica wins

11 meetings · goals 14:13 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Deportes Santa Cruz

20 Feb 2026Primera B	Primera B	San Marcos de Arica1-1Deportes Santa Cruz
25 Oct 2025Primera B	Primera B	Deportes Santa Cruz1-0San Marcos de Arica
15 Jun 2025Primera B	Primera B	San Marcos de Arica2-1Deportes Santa Cruz
10 Aug 2024Primera B	Primera B	Deportes Santa Cruz1-0San Marcos de Arica
31 Mar 2024Primera B	Primera B	San Marcos de Arica3-4Deportes Santa Cruz
3 Oct 2023Primera B	Primera B	San Marcos de Arica3-2Deportes Santa Cruz
23 May 2023Primera B	Primera B	Deportes Santa Cruz1-0San Marcos de Arica
13 Nov 2021Primera B	Primera B	San Marcos de Arica0-0Deportes Santa Cruz
15 Aug 2021Primera B	Primera B	Deportes Santa Cruz2-0San Marcos de Arica
24 Nov 2020Primera B	Primera B	Deportes Santa Cruz0-2San Marcos de Arica

Primera B tablePrimera Bupdated 12 Oct 21:50 UTC

In the Primera B table, Deportes Santa Cruz sit 14th with 22 points from 27 games, while San Marcos de Arica are 8th with 39 points from 27.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	San Luis	27	14	8	5	42:29	+13	50
2	Cobreloa	27	13	9	5	45:29	+16	48
3	Magallanes	27	13	7	7	44:39	+5	46
4	Antofagasta	27	12	8	7	47:26	+21	44
5	Santiago Wanderers	27	12	8	7	42:30	+12	44
6	Recoleta	27	11	8	8	39:36	+3	41
7	Deportes Copiapo	27	11	7	9	42:40	+2	40
8	San Marcos de Arica	27	10	9	8	33:27	+6	39
9	Union Espanola	26	10	6	10	32:34	-2	36
10	Deportes Temuco	27	9	8	10	42:37	+5	35
11	D. Puerto Montt	27	10	4	13	26:35	-9	34
12	Deportes Iquique	26	7	10	9	35:30	+5	31
13	Curico Unido	27	7	9	11	24:40	-16	30
14	Deportes Santa Cruz	27	4	10	13	28:42	-14	22
15	Union San Felipe	27	5	7	15	16:48	-32	22
16	Rangers de Talca	27	5	6	16	27:42	-15	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.59X29%3.13236%2.56

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.55 → 2.58 +1.2%X3.25 → 3.12 -4.0%22.65 → 2.58 -2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
1xBet	2.14	1.63	8.1%
Marathonbet	2.14	1.63	8.1%
Best of all books	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Average	2.16	1.64	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.86	1.83	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.80	9.3%
Best of all books	1.86	1.83	8.4%
Average	1.86	1.81	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Deportes Santa Cruz 35%Draw 35%San Marcos de Arica 30%

The statistical model rated Deportes Santa Cruz at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and San Marcos de Arica at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.59 | 3.13 | 2.56, which imply roughly 38.6% for a Deportes Santa Cruz win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Primera B table: Deportes Santa Cruz are 14th (22 pts, 28-42 goals), San Marcos de Arica 8th (39 pts, 33-27).

Over their last five matches, Deportes Santa Cruz averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; San Marcos de Arica averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Deportes Santa Cruz or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.87	3.20	2.22

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.54	1.33	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.10	1.67

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.82

1st half

1	X	2
3.63	2.02	2.92

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.21	7.60	1.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	7.70
1.5	1.35	2.74
2.5	2.16	1.64
3.5	3.84	1.18
4.5	7.40	1.03
5.5	12.0	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.00
1	1.06	6.35
1.25	1.20	3.68
1.75	1.44	2.43
2	1.59	2.10
2.25	1.86	1.80
2.75	2.43	1.44
3	3.08	1.28
3.25	3.48	1.22
3.75	4.80	1.12
4	6.75	1.04
4.25	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.50	1.22
-0.25	2.44	1.45
0	2.10	1.63
+0.25	1.76	1.93
+0.75	1.38	2.62
+1	1.21	3.58

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.18	1.02
-1.5	6.20	1.06
-1.25	5.75	1.07
-1	5.30	1.09
+1.25	1.16	4.05
+1.5	1.13	4.50
+1.75	1.07	5.85
+2	1.01	8.90