Smedby vs Nyköping• Division 2 - Södra Svealand, Sweden

#71.0:1.61-1FT02/101.6:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.75BVCX4.231XB21.881XBMargin at best3.5%Books1Markets13Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.82	3.65	2.18	8.7%
Best of all books	2.82	3.65	2.18	8.7%
Average	2.82	3.65	2.18	8.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SmedbyNyköping

Last 10#7Table position#41.50Points per game1.792Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 51.61.6Goals against · last 50.838Attack rating6233Defence rating6731Form rating6971H2H rating2959Goals model4150Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 15:31 UTC

Smedby

3W 4D 3L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

2 Oct	H	Nyköping	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Haninge	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Fittja	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Farsta	0-3	L
5 Sep	A	Nacka Iliria	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Forward	3-1	W
22 Aug	A	Syrianska FC	2-2	D
15 Aug	H	Eker Örebro	1-0	W
8 Aug	A	Karlslund	1-1	D
1 Aug	H	Örebro Syrianska	2-0	W

Nyköping

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

2 Oct	A	Smedby	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Syrianska FC	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Örebro Syrianska	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Eker Örebro	3-0	W
5 Sep	A	Lindo FF	3-0	W
29 Aug	H	Rågsved	1-3	L
22 Aug	A	Haninge	2-2	D
14 Aug	A	Farsta	0-3	L
9 Aug	H	Sleipner	1-0	W
2 Aug	A	Forward	0-1	L

Head to head

3Smedby wins

1draws

7Nyköping wins

11 meetings · goals 11:16 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for Smedby

15 Jun 2026Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Nyköping0-1Smedby
19 Sep 2025Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Smedby2-2Nyköping
16 Jun 2025Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Nyköping0-1Smedby
5 Aug 2024Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Smedby5-1Nyköping
7 Apr 2024Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Nyköping2-1Smedby
1 Oct 2023Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Nyköping3-0Smedby
26 May 2023Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Smedby0-2Nyköping
6 Aug 2022Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Smedby1-2Nyköping
15 Apr 2022Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Nyköping1-0Smedby
28 Jun 2021Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Division 2 - Södra Svealand	Smedby0-2Nyköping

Division 2 - Södra Svealand tableSouth Svealandupdated 9 Oct 03:01 UTC

In the Division 2 - Södra Svealand table, Smedby sit 7th with 36 points from 24 games, while Nyköping are 4th with 43 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Farsta	24	14	4	6	49:26	+23	46
2	Sleipner	24	13	6	5	49:36	+13	45
3	Forward	24	13	5	6	45:29	+16	44
4	Nyköping	24	13	4	7	39:23	+16	43
5	Haninge	24	13	4	7	58:45	+13	43
6	Rågsved	24	11	6	7	45:37	+8	39
7	Smedby	24	10	6	8	41:33	+8	36
8	Fittja	24	10	3	11	37:38	-1	33
9	Karlslund	24	8	7	9	37:38	-1	31
10	Örebro Syrianska	24	8	4	12	27:29	-2	28
11	Syrianska FC	24	7	5	12	38:52	-14	26
12	Nacka Iliria	24	7	3	14	26:45	-19	24
13	Lindo FF	24	6	2	16	32:50	-18	20
14	Eker Örebro	24	4	3	17	29:71	-42	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.54X24%3.78250%1.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.82 → 3.54 +25.5%X3.65 → 3.78 +3.6%22.18 → 1.81 -17.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.45	2.37	11.2%
Best of all books	1.45	2.37	11.2%
Average	1.45	2.37	11.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.42	2.47	10.9%
Best of all books	1.42	2.47	10.9%
Average	1.42	2.47	10.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Smedby 35%Draw 35%Nyköping 30%

The statistical model rated Smedby at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Nyköping at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.54 | 3.78 | 1.81, which imply roughly 28.2% for a Smedby win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Division 2 - Södra Svealand table: Smedby are 7th (36 pts, 41-33 goals), Nyköping 4th (43 pts, 39-23).

Over their last five matches, Smedby averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Nyköping averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Smedby or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.82	3.65	2.18

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.65	1.36	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.05	1.62

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.42	2.47

1st half

1	X	2
3.20	2.32	2.65

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.15	4.20
2.5	1.45	2.37
3.25	1.95	1.75
3.5	2.07	1.60
4.5	3.25	1.25
5.5	5.00	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	1.82	1.88