Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong• K League 2, South-Korea

#120.8:1.207:3025/10 · Paju Stadium, Paju1.4:1.4#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.90BVCX3.69PIN21.97DAFMargin at best3.5%Books9Markets64Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.85	3.55	1.97	4.9%
Pinnacle	3.76	3.69	1.90	6.3%
Betano	3.75	3.40	1.95	7.4%
BetVictor	3.90	3.50	1.83	8.9%
Betfair	3.75	3.50	1.85	9.3%
1xBet	3.56	3.34	1.90	10.7%
Bet365	3.60	3.40	1.83	11.8%
Marathonbet	3.48	3.34	1.88	11.9%
William Hill	3.60	3.25	1.85	12.6%
Best of all books	3.90	3.69	1.97	3.5%
Average	3.69	3.44	1.88	9.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Paju CitizenHwaseong

Last 10#12Table position#61.11Points per game1.575Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 51.436Attack rating6454Defence rating4650Form rating5050H2H rating5038Goals model6245Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:02 UTC

Paju Citizen

3W 3D 4L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

17 Oct	A	Gimpo Citizen	1-4	L
10 Oct	H	Busan I Park	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Gimhae City	2-0	W
4 Sep	H	Daegu FC	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Gyeongnam FC	0-1	L
23 Aug	A	Seoul E-Land FC	1-1	D
16 Aug	H	Seongnam FC	2-1	W
8 Aug	H	Suwon City FC	0-1	L
2 Aug	A	Jeonnam Dragons	2-1	W
29 Jul	A	Bucheon FC 1995	0-3	L

Hwaseong

3W 4D 3L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	A	Suwon Bluewings	2-3	L
9 Oct	A	Suwon City FC	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Seongnam FC	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Ansan Greeners	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Cheonan City	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Cheongju	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Jeonnam Dragons	0-1	L
15 Aug	A	Busan I Park	0-0	D
7 Aug	H	Seoul E-Land FC	0-0	D
1 Aug	H	Daegu FC	5-1	W

Head to head

3Paju Citizen wins

4draws

2Hwaseong wins

9 meetings · goals 10:9 · last 9: 3W 4D 2L for Paju Citizen

11 Jul 2026K League 2	K League 2	Hwaseong1-2Paju Citizen
21 Jul 2024K3 League	K3 League	Paju Citizen0-2Hwaseong
7 Apr 2024K3 League	K3 League	Hwaseong2-0Paju Citizen
15 Jul 2023K3 League	K3 League	Paju Citizen2-1Hwaseong
2 Apr 2023K3 League	K3 League	Hwaseong0-0Paju Citizen
29 Oct 2022K3 League	K3 League	Paju Citizen3-0Hwaseong
5 Jun 2022K3 League	K3 League	Hwaseong1-1Paju Citizen
1 Oct 2021K3 League	K3 League	Hwaseong1-1Paju Citizen
29 May 2021K3 League	K3 League	Paju Citizen1-1Hwaseong

K League 2 tableK League 2updated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the K League 2 table, Paju Citizen sit 12th with 30 points from 27 games, while Hwaseong are 6th with 44 points from 28.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	27	18	5	4	46:23	+23	59
2	Suwon City FC	27	15	9	3	53:30	+23	54
3	Seoul E-Land FC	28	16	6	6	52:32	+20	54
4	Daegu FC	27	14	7	6	51:36	+15	49
5	Busan I Park	28	13	6	9	44:36	+8	45
6	Hwaseong	28	12	8	8	43:31	+12	44
7	Gimpo Citizen	27	9	11	7	35:32	+3	38
8	Asan Mugunghwa	27	9	9	9	35:32	+3	36
9	Gyeongnam FC	27	8	11	8	31:31	0	35
10	Cheongju	28	6	14	8	35:45	-10	32
11	Seongnam FC	27	7	10	10	30:35	-5	31
12	Paju Citizen	27	8	6	13	26:33	-7	30
13	Yongin City	27	5	12	10	32:41	-9	27
14	Cheonan City	27	5	11	11	31:37	-6	26
15	Ansan Greeners	28	7	4	17	32:53	-21	25
16	Jeonnam Dragons	27	5	9	13	31:46	-15	24
17	Gimhae City	27	2	8	17	22:56	-34	14

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.69X27%3.44249%1.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.93 → 3.69 -6.1%X3.40 → 3.44 +1.2%21.81 → 1.88 +3.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.87	1.92	5.6%
Betano	1.90	1.87	6.1%
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
1xBet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
BetVictor	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Best of all books	1.90	1.92	4.7%
Average	1.88	1.85	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
Betano	1.72	2.00	8.1%
1xBet	1.73	1.98	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.76	1.95	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Paju Citizen 10%Draw 45%Hwaseong 45%

The statistical model rates Paju Citizen at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Hwaseong at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.69 | 3.44 | 1.88, which imply roughly 29.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the K League 2 table: Paju Citizen are 12th (30 pts, 26-33 goals), Hwaseong 6th (44 pts, 43-31).

Over their last five matches, Paju Citizen averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Hwaseong averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Hwaseong.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.69	3.44	1.88

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.80	1.23	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.74	1.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.95

1st half

1	X	2
4.27	2.14	2.51

2nd half

1	X	2
3.81	2.44	2.27

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.18	14.6	24.6
HT X	8.10	5.22	4.88
HT 2	36.2	14.0	2.99

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.39	11.1	1.66

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.86
1.5	1.27	3.42
2.5	1.88	1.85
3.5	3.23	1.30
4.5	6.34	1.09
5.5	12.0	1.03
6.5	23.3	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.98
1	1.01	8.50
1.25	1.13	4.61
1.75	1.32	2.93
2	1.43	2.60
2.25	1.65	2.08
2.75	2.11	1.64
3	2.53	1.45
3.25	2.89	1.33
3.75	3.99	1.17
4	5.50	1.08
4.25	5.95	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.76	1.40
+0.25	2.15	1.63
+0.5	1.90	1.87
+0.75	1.62	2.14
+1	1.40	2.73
+1.25	1.31	3.14

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.30	1.01
-1.25	7.80	1.02
-1	7.20	1.03
-0.75	4.70	1.14
-0.5	3.71	1.27
-0.25	3.17	1.31
+1.5	1.25	3.54
+1.75	1.15	4.48
+2	1.07	6.63
+2.25	1.06	7.13
+2.5	1.05	7.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.32
6.5	1.22	3.75
7.5	1.44	2.57
8.5	1.80	1.95
9.5	2.32	1.55
10.5	3.16	1.30
11.5	4.43	1.12
12.5	6.92	1.02

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.06	5.75
7	1.24	3.32
8	1.56	2.25
9	2.01	1.71
10	2.74	1.36
11	4.06	1.16
12	6.47	1.03

Next K League 2 matches

24 Oct	Jeonnam Dragons – Daegu FC
24 Oct	Gimpo Citizen – Gimhae City
25 Oct	Suwon City FC – Asan Mugunghwa
25 Oct	Busan I Park – Gyeongnam FC
25 Oct	Seongnam FC – Suwon Bluewings
25 Oct	Cheongju – Yongin City

All K League 2 fixtures and the table

Latest K League 2 results

18 Oct	Busan I Park 2-1 Jeonnam Dragons
18 Oct	Seoul E-Land FC 6-2 Gimhae City
18 Oct	Suwon Bluewings 3-2 Hwaseong
17 Oct	Gyeongnam FC 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa
17 Oct	Yongin City 0-4 Ansan Greeners
17 Oct	Gimpo Citizen 4-1 Paju Citizen