Rustavi vs Samgurali• Erovnuli Liga, Georgia

#41.2:1.42-0FT07/11 · Poladi Stadium, Rustavi1.4:1.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80B365X3.60BFR24.661XBMargin at best4.8%Books10Markets57Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:23 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.69	3.59	4.63	8.6%
BetVictor	1.67	3.60	4.60	9.4%
Betfair	1.67	3.60	4.50	9.9%
Dafabet	1.69	3.55	4.40	10.1%
1xBet	1.63	3.56	4.66	10.9%
Bet365	1.80	3.50	3.70	11.2%
Betano	1.70	3.45	4.25	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.61	3.56	4.55	12.2%
William Hill	1.67	3.30	4.40	12.9%
SBO	1.62	3.38	4.26	14.8%
Best of all books	1.80	3.60	4.66	4.8%
Average	1.67	3.51	4.39	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RustaviSamgurali

Last 10#4Table position#71.75Points per game1.227Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 51.246Attack rating5446Defence rating5450Form rating5038H2H rating6271Goals model2949Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 14:01 UTC

Rustavi

4W 2D 4L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

1 Nov	A	Gagra	2-2	D
27 Oct	A	Gagra	1-2	L
23 Oct	H	Dinamo Tbilisi	0-2	L
18 Oct	A	Torpedo Kutaisi	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Dila	3-1	W
26 Sep	A	Samtredia	2-1	W
21 Sep	H	FC Iberia 1999	0-2	L
14 Sep	A	Meshakhte	1-0	W
9 Sep	A	Spaeri	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Dinamo Batumi	0-1	L

Samgurali

2W 2D 6L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

31 Oct	H	Spaeri	0-0	D
24 Oct	A	Dinamo Batumi	0-3	L
17 Oct	H	Meshakhte	2-0	W
11 Oct	H	Gagra	3-0	W
19 Sep	H	Dinamo Tbilisi	2-3	L
14 Sep	A	Torpedo Kutaisi	2-3	L
9 Sep	H	Dila	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	FC Iberia 1999	1-2	L
30 Aug	H	Rustavi	1-1	D
26 Aug	A	Dila	1-2	L

Head to head

5Rustavi wins

3draws

5Samgurali wins

13 meetings · goals 16:16 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Rustavi

30 Aug 2026Erovnuli Liga	Erovnuli Liga	Samgurali1-1Rustavi
21 May 2026Erovnuli Liga	Erovnuli Liga	Rustavi1-0Samgurali
3 Apr 2026Erovnuli Liga	Erovnuli Liga	Samgurali2-1Rustavi
22 Sep 2020Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Samgurali2-1Rustavi
2 Mar 2020Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Rustavi1-1Samgurali
1 Oct 2017Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Rustavi1-0Samgurali
28 Jul 2017Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Samgurali2-1Rustavi
9 May 2017Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Rustavi2-1Samgurali
10 Mar 2017Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Samgurali4-2Rustavi
10 Oct 2016Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Samgurali1-1Rustavi

Erovnuli Liga tableUmaglesi Ligaupdated 8 Nov 19:10 UTC

In the Erovnuli Liga table, Rustavi sit 4th with 56 points from 32 games, while Samgurali are 7th with 39 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Dinamo Batumi	32	17	8	7	56:40	+16	59
2	Dinamo Tbilisi	32	16	10	6	52:32	+20	58
3	FC Iberia 1999	31	17	5	9	45:33	+12	56
4	Rustavi	32	16	8	8	40:28	+12	56
5	Torpedo Kutaisi	32	11	10	11	53:44	+9	43
6	Dila	32	12	4	16	41:41	0	40
7	Samgurali	32	11	6	15	43:57	-14	39
8	Spaeri	32	6	13	13	41:51	-10	31
9	Gagra	31	6	13	12	28:45	-17	31
10	Meshakhte	32	3	11	18	25:53	-28	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.68X26%3.51221%4.39

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.76 → 1.68 -4.5%X3.55 → 3.51 -1.1%23.86 → 4.39 +13.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.90	1.88	5.8%
SBO	1.92	1.86	5.8%
1xBet	1.84	1.83	9.0%
BetVictor	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Betano	1.82	1.82	9.9%
Best of all books	1.92	1.95	3.4%
Average	1.86	1.86	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
1xBet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
William Hill	1.80	1.85	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.84	9.9%
Best of all books	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Average	1.80	1.86	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rustavi 35%Draw 35%Samgurali 30%

The statistical model rated Rustavi at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Samgurali at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 3.51 | 4.39, which imply roughly 59.5% for a Rustavi win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Erovnuli Liga table: Rustavi are 4th (56 pts, 40-28 goals), Samgurali 7th (39 pts, 43-57).

Over their last five matches, Rustavi averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Samgurali averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Rustavi or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Rustavi

5-3-2

Coach: G. Tsetsadze

Goalkeeper

21P. Beruashvili

Defence

2S. Andghuladze
4David
24I. Iakobidze
3V. Patsatsia
19N. Chikovani
40D. Ubilava

Midfield

8K. Kakashvili
7K. S. Abdul
20L. Parkadze

Attack

11S. Kessi

Substitutes (9)

22Y. Nakano
10P. Osei
5Kevin William Ceijas
30G. Chkheidze
13A. Gujabidze
18N. Japaridze
9Jean
27M. Kapanadze
1S. Kardava

Samgurali

4-1-4-1

Coach: G. Oniani

Goalkeeper

21A. Siukaev

Defence

13L. Gegetchkori
25M. Shatirishvili
39Ryan
27L. Shergelashvili
29nika manjgaladze

Midfield

20Vinicius Vianna

Attack

9T. Gaprindashvili
15Gean Carlos
11D. Krasovski
28Cláudio Cebolinha

Substitutes (9)

22G. Gogia
14T. Goletiani
26Z. Iashvili
33Isac Martins
12A. Kasradze
18G. Meparishvili
19I. Siradze
17N. Tsetskhladze
8I. Bidzinashvili

Match Statistics

RustaviSamgurali

5Shots on Goal0

0Red Cards0

49%Ball Possession51%

7Shots off Goal1

6Corner Kicks2

0Free Kicks0

3Yellow Cards4

0Blocked Shots0

12Total Shots1

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.68	3.51	4.39

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	1.98	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.26

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
2.24	2.16	4.75

2nd half

1	X	2
2.01	2.49	4.50

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.60	15.0	39.9
HT X	4.42	5.48	9.40
HT 2	23.1	15.5	7.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.56	10.5	2.62

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	9.35
1.5	1.24	3.34
2.5	1.86	1.86
3.5	3.08	1.28
4.5	5.90	1.07
5.5	13.0	1.03

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.78
1	1.02	8.20
1.25	1.13	4.61
1.75	1.32	3.01
2	1.40	2.62
2.25	1.63	2.11
2.75	2.08	1.64
3	2.49	1.44
3.25	2.81	1.36
3.75	3.80	1.19
4	5.15	1.10
4.25	5.50	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.82	1.35
-1.25	2.49	1.44
-1	2.19	1.59
-0.75	1.85	1.85
-0.5	1.72	2.03
-0.25	1.44	2.49

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	10.0	1.01
-2.75	7.30	1.03
-2.5	5.60	1.08
-2.25	5.20	1.10
-2	4.80	1.12
-1.75	3.42	1.23
0	1.24	3.44
+0.25	1.18	3.90
+0.75	1.07	5.90
+1	1.02	8.30
+1.25	1.01	8.50
+1.5	1.01	9.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.69	2.10
9	1.60	2.13
9.5	1.84	1.82
10	2.16	1.59
10.5	2.47	1.45
11	3.12	1.29

Next Erovnuli Liga matches

9 Nov

FC Iberia 1999 – Gagra

All Erovnuli Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Erovnuli Liga results

8 Nov	Dila 0-2 Dinamo Tbilisi
7 Nov	Spaeri 3-2 Dinamo Batumi
7 Nov	Meshakhte 2-3 Torpedo Kutaisi
2 Nov	Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 Dila
1 Nov	Dinamo Batumi 1-0 Meshakhte
1 Nov	Gagra 2-2 Rustavi