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Utah Royals W vs North Carolina Courage W• NWSL Women, USA

#41.2:2.02-1FT27/09 · Rio Tinto Stadium, Sandy2.4:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.05BTNX3.70B36523.12PINMargin at best7.9%Books6Markets37Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.253.602.729.0%
Pinnacle2.263.622.689.2%
1xBet2.223.522.6710.9%
Betfair2.203.602.6311.3%
Marathonbet2.203.522.6112.2%
William Hill2.253.302.6212.9%
Best of all books2.263.622.728.6%
Average2.233.532.6510.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Utah Royals WNorth Carolina Courage W
Last 10#4Table position#81.70Points per game1.567Form pts · last 561.2Goals for · last 52.42.0Goals against · last 51.433Attack rating6741Defence rating5950Form rating5050H2H rating5041Goals model5945Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 01:40 UTC

Utah Royals W

5W 1D 4L · goals 18:17 · per match 1.8 for, 1.7 against

3 OctARacing Louisville W1-1D
27 SepHNorth Carolina Courage W2-1W
20 SepHAngel City W0-3L
13 SepAHouston Dash W1-0W
5 SepHBoston Legacy W1-2L
29 AugAOrlando Pride W2-1W
22 AugASan Diego Wave W2-4L
15 AugHBay FC W3-2W
9 AugADenver Summit W1-2L
2 AugHPortland Thorns W5-1W

North Carolina Courage W

5W 0D 5L · goals 22:16 · per match 2.2 for, 1.6 against

3 OctASeattle Reign FC W1-0W
27 SepAUtah Royals W1-2L
19 SepHNJ/NY Gotham FC W1-2L
12 SepASan Diego Wave W1-2L
6 SepAChicago Red Stars W6-0W
29 AugAKansas City W2-3L
27 AugHAngel City W2-0W
22 AugHBoston Legacy W2-1W
16 AugHHouston Dash W2-3L
8 AugAWashington Spirit W4-3W

Head to head

2Utah Royals W wins
2draws
4North Carolina Courage W wins

8 meetings · goals 9:12 · last 8: 2W 2D 4L for Utah Royals W

25 Jul 2026NWSL WomenNWSL WomenNorth Carolina Courage W1-4Utah Royals W
6 Sep 2025NWSL WomenNWSL WomenNorth Carolina Courage W1-1Utah Royals W
4 May 2025NWSL WomenNWSL WomenUtah Royals W0-2North Carolina Courage W
18 May 2024NWSL WomenNWSL WomenNorth Carolina Courage W1-0Utah Royals W
23 Mar 2024NWSL WomenNWSL WomenUtah Royals W2-1North Carolina Courage W
22 Sep 2019NWSL WomenNWSL WomenUtah Royals W0-3North Carolina Courage W
28 Jul 2019NWSL WomenNWSL WomenUtah Royals W1-2North Carolina Courage W
19 May 2019NWSL WomenNWSL WomenNorth Carolina Courage W1-1Utah Royals W

NWSL Women tableNwsl Womenupdated 17 Oct 00:21 UTC

In the NWSL Women table, Utah Royals W sit 4th with 46 points from 27 games, while North Carolina Courage W are 8th with 42 points from 27.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W27167435:21+1455
2San Diego Wave W27163840:28+1251
3Washington Spirit W27154839:26+1349
4Utah Royals W27144944:35+946
5Kansas City W27135948:38+1044
6Angel City W27127845:29+1643
7Portland Thorns W27127845:39+643
8North Carolina Courage W271331150:39+1142
9Seattle Reign FC W271241133:32+140
10Denver Summit W27108945:37+838
11Orlando Pride W271031436:43-733
12Houston Dash W27861334:39-530
13Boston Legacy W27851436:46-1029
14Bay FC W27751528:42-1426
15Racing Louisville W27731736:52-1624
16Chicago Red Stars W27522015:63-4817

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.00X25%3.51230%2.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

24 Sep 00:0127 Sep 14:511 2.00X 3.522 2.96
12.23 → 2.00 -10.3%X3.53 → 3.52 -0.3%22.66 → 2.96 +11.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.542.357.5%
1xBet1.532.299.0%
Marathonbet1.532.299.0%
Betano1.522.2210.8%
Best of all books1.542.357.5%
Average1.532.299.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Marathonbet1.452.449.9%
William Hill1.442.4011.1%
Betano1.452.3711.2%
Best of all books1.452.449.9%
Average1.452.4010.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Utah Royals W 10%Draw 45%North Carolina Courage W 45%

The statistical model rated Utah Royals W at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and North Carolina Courage W at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.00 | 3.51 | 2.97, which imply roughly 28.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NWSL Women table: Utah Royals W are 4th (46 pts, 44-35 goals), North Carolina Courage W 8th (42 pts, 50-39).

Over their last five matches, Utah Royals W averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; North Carolina Courage W averaged 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or North Carolina Courage W.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Utah Royals W

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. Haught

Defence

  • 22M. Moriya
  • 8K. Del Fava
  • 18K. Riehl
  • 14Nuria Rábano

Midfield

  • 99M. Hammond
  • 10N. Miura
  • 5C. Kizer
  • 11Minami Tanaka
  • 24C. Lacasse

Attack

  • 21K. Palacios
Substitutes (9)
  • 71A. Swensen
  • 23M. Justus
  • 3Jameese Joseph
  • 16Courtney Brown
  • 2T. Milazzo
  • 13B. Mozingo
  • 15D. Pierre-Louis
  • 6Necole Simmonds Kameron
  • 30A. Spaanstra

North Carolina Courage W

4-2-3-1

Coach: S. Nahas

Goalkeeper

  • 1K. Sheridan

Defence

  • 13R. Williams
  • 18U. Shiragaki
  • 12N. Staude
  • 11F. Rauch

Midfield

  • 16R. Jackson
  • 20S. Koyama
  • 23G. Paul
  • 19E. Parkinson
  • 2A. Sanchez

Attack

  • 10E. Ijeh
Substitutes (9)
  • 5C. Brooks
  • 26V. Bøe Risa
  • 21Ana Beatriz Gomes Lopes
  • 8Chioma Okafor
  • 17D. Weatherholt
  • 99M. White
  • 14C. Wickenheiser
  • 33H. Betfort
  • 6I. Garner

Match Statistics

Utah Royals WNorth Carolina Courage W
294Passes accurate320
5Shots insidebox7
2Shots outsidebox4
2Blocked Shots1
11Free Kicks12
2Shots on Goal6
5Goalkeeper Saves0
3Shots off Goal4
1Offsides1
392Total passes404
7Total Shots11
4Yellow Cards1
2Corner Kicks4
13Fouls13
0Red Cards0
47%Ball Possession53%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.233.532.66

Double chance

1XX212
1.391.541.23

Draw no bet

12
1.691.98

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.452.40

1st half

1X2
2.722.313.13

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8017.51.96

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.0
1.51.134.60
2.51.532.29
3.52.311.51
4.53.831.18
5.58.001.07
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.164.15
21.203.72
2.251.382.76
2.751.662.05
31.851.83
3.252.111.63
3.752.741.37
43.341.24

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.581.42
-0.52.251.61
-0.251.951.75
01.702.01
+0.251.522.29
+0.51.442.63
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.501.01
-27.701.03
-1.54.101.16
-1.253.741.19
-13.341.26
+0.751.283.08
+11.144.30
+1.51.105.15
+2.51.0110.0