Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi• Liga 3, Georgia

#102.0:1.40-0LiveToday · Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi2.8:1.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.041XBX3.80WH23.75WHMargin at best2.0%Books4Markets40Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.73	3.80	3.75	10.8%
William Hill	1.73	3.80	3.75	10.8%
1xBet	2.04	3.52	2.99	10.9%
Marathonbet	2.02	3.52	2.92	12.2%
Best of all books	2.04	3.80	3.75	2.0%
Average	1.88	3.66	3.35	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lokomotivi TbilisiMerani Tbilisi

Last 10#10Table position#41.35Points per game1.748Form pts · last 5112.0Goals for · last 52.81.4Goals against · last 51.242Attack rating5846Defence rating5442Form rating5860H2H rating4041Goals model5950Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 10:30 UTC

Lokomotivi Tbilisi

4W 4D 2L · goals 17:10 · per match 1.7 for, 1.0 against

9 Oct	A	Didube 2014	3-1	W
17 Sep	H	Irao	2-0	W
9 Sep	A	WIT Georgia	1-2	L
3 Sep	H	Varketili	3-3	D
27 Aug	A	Dinamo Tbilisi II	1-1	D
20 Aug	H	Gonio	4-0	W
13 Aug	A	FC Iberia 1999 II	1-1	D
6 Aug	A	Guria	1-0	W
26 Jun	A	Basa	1-2	L
21 Jun	A	Iveria Khashuri	0-0	D

Merani Tbilisi

4W 4D 2L · goals 20:20 · per match 2.0 for, 2.0 against

9 Oct	H	Iveria Khashuri	2-2	D
17 Sep	A	Iberia 2010	2-2	D
10 Sep	H	Kolkheti Khobi	4-1	W
3 Sep	A	Margveti 2006	2-0	W
27 Aug	H	Gardabani	4-1	W
20 Aug	A	Betlemi	2-0	W
13 Aug	H	Guria	0-5	L
6 Aug	H	Didube 2014	2-2	D
26 Jun	A	Guria	1-6	L
21 Jun	H	Irao	1-1	D

Head to head

5Lokomotivi Tbilisi wins

1draws

4Merani Tbilisi wins

10 meetings · goals 25:13 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Lokomotivi Tbilisi

3 May 2026Liga 3	Liga 3	Merani Tbilisi1-0Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1 Dec 2023Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Lokomotivi Tbilisi5-0Merani Tbilisi
22 Sep 2023Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Merani Tbilisi0-2Lokomotivi Tbilisi
9 Jun 2023Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Lokomotivi Tbilisi5-2Merani Tbilisi
25 Apr 2023Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Merani Tbilisi3-2Lokomotivi Tbilisi
21 Apr 2021David Kipiani Cup	David Kipiani Cup	Merani Tbilisi2-5Lokomotivi Tbilisi
3 Oct 2020Erovnuli Liga	Erovnuli Liga	Merani Tbilisi0-4Lokomotivi Tbilisi
26 Jun 2020Erovnuli Liga	Erovnuli Liga	Lokomotivi Tbilisi1-1Merani Tbilisi
13 May 2012Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Merani Tbilisi2-0Lokomotivi Tbilisi
23 Apr 2012Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Lokomotivi Tbilisi1-2Merani Tbilisi

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 16 Oct 03:30 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, Lokomotivi Tbilisi sit 10th with 31 points from 23 games, while Merani Tbilisi are 4th with 40 points from 23.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Guria	23	17	3	3	67:11	+56	54
2	Varketili	23	15	7	1	57:14	+43	52
3	FC Iberia 1999 II	23	11	9	3	37:19	+18	42
4	Merani Tbilisi	23	11	7	5	39:29	+10	40
5	WIT Georgia	23	11	5	7	37:25	+12	38
6	Gonio	23	11	5	7	32:24	+8	38
7	Irao	23	10	5	8	39:28	+11	35
8	Didube 2014	23	9	7	7	35:31	+4	34
9	Dinamo Tbilisi II	23	9	5	9	34:33	+1	32
10	Lokomotivi Tbilisi	23	8	7	8	30:29	+1	31
11	Margveti 2006	23	9	3	11	30:39	-9	30
12	Kolkheti Khobi	23	7	3	13	31:46	-15	24
13	Gardabani	23	4	4	15	19:56	-37	16
14	Betlemi	23	4	4	15	15:55	-40	16
15	Iveria Khashuri	23	1	11	11	24:48	-24	14
16	Iberia 2010	23	2	5	16	19:58	-39	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.88X25%3.66227%3.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.75 → 1.88 -49.9%X3.68 → 3.66 -0.5%21.75 → 3.35 +91.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.63	2.11	8.7%
1xBet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Best of all books	1.70	2.11	6.2%
Average	1.65	2.09	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.54	2.26	9.2%
William Hill	1.62	2.10	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.22	10.0%
Best of all books	1.62	2.26	6.0%
Average	1.57	2.19	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lokomotivi Tbilisi 45%Draw 45%Merani Tbilisi 10%

The statistical model rates Lokomotivi Tbilisi at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Merani Tbilisi at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.88 | 3.66 | 3.35, which imply roughly 53.2% for a Lokomotivi Tbilisi win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 10th (31 pts, 30-29 goals), Merani Tbilisi 4th (40 pts, 39-29).

Over their last five matches, Lokomotivi Tbilisi averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Merani Tbilisi averaged 2.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Lokomotivi Tbilisi or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.88	3.66	3.35

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.27	1.72	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	3.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.19

1st half

1	X	2
2.41	2.28	3.79

2nd half

1	X	2
2.29	2.55	3.45

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.98	14.5	30.0
HT X	5.25	6.25	8.00
HT 2	21.0	14.0	5.38

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.81	14.3	2.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.0
1.5	1.16	4.15
2.5	1.65	2.09
3.5	2.59	1.40
4.5	4.90	1.11
5.5	9.00	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.30
1.75	1.20	3.68
2	1.26	3.22
2.25	1.45	2.46
2.75	1.79	1.86
3	2.05	1.64
3.25	2.32	1.50
3.75	3.14	1.27
4	4.15	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.28	1.56
-0.5	2.10	1.64
-0.25	1.81	1.89
0	1.63	2.16
+0.25	1.41	2.53
+0.5	1.35	2.80

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.40	1.01
-2	7.50	1.03
-1.5	3.86	1.18
-1.25	3.42	1.23
-1	3.04	1.29
+0.75	1.21	3.58
+1	1.09	5.40
+1.5	1.05	6.40