Varketili vs Dinamo Tbilisi II• Liga 3, Georgia

#21.8:1.017:00Today1.8:1.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.481XBX4.33WH26.00WHMargin at best7.3%Books4Markets29Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 16:20 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.42	4.33	5.75	10.9%
1xBet	1.48	4.16	5.14	11.1%
William Hill	1.40	4.33	6.00	11.2%
Betano	1.42	4.30	5.70	11.2%
Best of all books	1.48	4.33	6.00	7.3%
Average	1.43	4.28	5.65	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VarketiliDinamo Tbilisi II

Last 10#2Table position#92.23Points per game1.456Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 51.450Attack rating5058Defence rating4243Form rating57100H2H rating082Goals model1860Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC

Varketili

4W 4D 2L · goals 21:8 · per match 2.1 for, 0.8 against

17 Sep	A	Gonio	0-1	L
10 Sep	H	FC Iberia 1999 II	1-1	D
3 Sep	A	Lokomotivi Tbilisi	3-3	D
27 Aug	H	Iveria Khashuri	5-0	W
20 Aug	A	Iberia 2010	0-0	D
13 Aug	H	Kolkheti Khobi	4-0	W
6 Aug	A	Margveti 2006	1-1	D
26 Jul	H	Rustavi	0-1	L
26 Jun	A	Aragvelebi	4-0	W
21 Jun	A	Gardabani	3-1	W

Dinamo Tbilisi II

5W 2D 3L · goals 21:22 · per match 2.1 for, 2.2 against

17 Sep	A	Guria	0-2	L
10 Sep	H	Gonio	2-1	W
3 Sep	A	FC Iberia 1999 II	1-1	D
27 Aug	H	Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1-1	D
20 Aug	A	Iveria Khashuri	5-2	W
13 Aug	H	Iberia 2010	4-3	W
6 Aug	A	Kolkheti Khobi	3-2	W
25 Jul	H	Spaeri	1-5	L
26 Jun	A	Skuri	4-3	W
21 Jun	A	Margveti 2006	0-2	L

Head to head

1Varketili wins

0draws

0Dinamo Tbilisi II wins

1 meeting · goals 2:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Varketili

29 Apr 2026Liga 3

Liga 3

Dinamo Tbilisi II1-2Varketili

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 9 Oct 15:10 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, Varketili sit 2nd with 49 points from 22 games, while Dinamo Tbilisi II are 9th with 32 points from 22.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Guria	23	17	3	3	67:11	+56	54
2	Varketili	22	14	7	1	54:14	+40	49
3	FC Iberia 1999 II	23	11	9	3	37:19	+18	42
4	Merani Tbilisi	23	11	7	5	39:29	+10	40
5	WIT Georgia	23	11	5	7	37:25	+12	38
6	Gonio	23	11	5	7	32:24	+8	38
7	Irao	23	10	5	8	39:28	+11	35
8	Didube 2014	23	9	7	7	35:31	+4	34
9	Dinamo Tbilisi II	22	9	5	8	34:30	+4	32
10	Lokomotivi Tbilisi	23	8	7	8	30:29	+1	31
11	Margveti 2006	23	9	3	11	30:39	-9	30
12	Kolkheti Khobi	22	6	3	13	28:45	-17	21
13	Gardabani	22	4	4	14	18:53	-35	16
14	Iveria Khashuri	23	1	11	11	24:48	-24	14
15	Betlemi	22	3	4	15	13:54	-41	13
16	Iberia 2010	22	2	5	15	18:56	-38	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.43X21%4.28216%5.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.54 → 1.43 -7.1%X4.09 → 4.28 +4.6%24.64 → 5.67 +22.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.49	2.41	8.6%
1xBet	1.60	2.14	9.2%
Betano	1.60	2.12	9.7%
Best of all books	1.60	2.41	4.0%
Average	1.56	2.26	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
1xBet	1.68	2.01	9.3%
Best of all books	1.68	2.05	8.3%
Average	1.67	2.03	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Varketili 45%Draw 45%Dinamo Tbilisi II 10%

The statistical model rates Varketili at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Dinamo Tbilisi II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.43 | 4.28 | 5.67, which imply roughly 69.9% for a Varketili win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: Varketili are 2nd (49 pts, 54-14 goals), Dinamo Tbilisi II 9th (32 pts, 34-30).

Over their last five matches, Varketili averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Dinamo Tbilisi II averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Varketili or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.43	4.28	5.65

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.53	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
1.89	2.53	5.28

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.40	17.0	2.88

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2	1.24	3.50
2.25	1.35	2.90
2.5	1.56	2.26
2.75	1.61	2.18
3	1.93	1.77
3.25	2.02	1.71
3.5	2.44	1.48
3.75	2.58	1.43

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	3.00	1.32
-1.75	2.44	1.48
-1.5	2.22	1.57
-1.25	1.91	1.86
-1	1.79	1.93
-0.75	1.51	2.35
-0.5	1.42	2.62
0	1.19	3.94